Man City welcome QPR back to the Etihad, in a replay of the ‘greatest ending to a football season ever’ according to one of those awful clip shows hosted by washed up presenters and rent a sound-bite comedians.
Man City are obviously massive favourites at 2/9 with Boylesports (get a free £20 here), whereas the draw can be backed at 13/2 with Bet Victor (free £25 bet). A QPR win is available as high as 17/1 on the exchanges like Betfair, and 16/1 with normal bookies like 32Red. Blue Square are offering money back on the usual markets if QPR score in the first half.
It’s impossible to preview this match without mentioning ‘that game’ on the final day of the season, so let’s get it out of the way nice and early. You’ve probably heard and seen Martin Tyler’s AguerOOOOOOO commentary more than anything else over the last three months. As the resident QPR fan around these parts, I was at the Etihad, and we knew we were safe when he scored. I still maintain that we cost United the title, and I couldn’t be happier about his. I expect a welcome reception from the Man City fans when I return to the Etihad on Saturday!
Fast forward three months, and I think It’s safe to say that it hasn’t been the auspicious start that Mancini would have liked for City. They narrowly beat Southampton, before needing two defensive errors to draw with Liverpool. In fact, Man City have conceded two goals in each of their last four games, including the 3-2 against QPR last season. QPR themselves have certainly found the start to the season tricky, getting spanked at home by Swansea, and lucky to get a point away at Norwich - their next three games are Man City, Chelsea and Spurs, so could find themselves bottom with a single point after five games!
Mancini may bemoan the lack of new arrivals in his squad, but he’s got enough in the tank to beat QPR, with something to spare. The form guide pits a side that does the majority of its scoring in the second half (seven of their last eight have been in the second half...) against a side that cannot defend for toffee at present, with a chopping and changing line up, and error strewn Robert Green making his probable farewell appearance with the arrival of Julio Cesar from Inter. Man City to win both halves is available at 6/5 with Paddy Power (free £50 bet), and we think that’s a pretty decent place to start with this game. We don’t think that they’ll score too many early doors though, a correct score of 1-0 at half time may also appeal at 13/5 (Coral - free £30 bet).
In the goal-scorers market, AguerOOOOOOO’s absence has given Tevez the opportunity to stake his claim as the number 1 diminutive Argentinean striker at Man City. Tevez has scored in his last three games for Man City, and is 4/1 with Coral to open the scoring. For QPR, despite Djibril Cisse being the undisputed first choice striker at QPR, it’s Bobby Zamora who has been taking the plaudits in the last two games, scoring in each of them, and wandering around bandaged up like Terry Butcher. Zamora is 11/2 with William Hill to score anytime (and pathetically only 3/1 with Betfred...), and may be QPR’s best chance of a goal.
Man City vs QPR Best Bets
Man City to win both halves @ 6/5 (Paddy Power)
HT score 1-0 City @ 13/5 (Coral)
Tevez to score first @ 4/1 (Coral)
Zamora to score anytime @ 11/2 (William Hill - click here for a free £25 bet)