Cheltenham Day 1 Tips – Cheltenham Tuesday Betting Tips 12th March 2024

Cheltenham Day 1 tips 2024

Cheltenham day 1 tips, race by race preview and predictions for all seven races on Tuesday 12th March from the 2024 Cheltenham Festival.

There are seven races across the day, with the Champion Hurdle the big one, and Adam O’Brien has given his thoughts ahead of one of the biggest days in the racing calender. See all our Cheltenham Tuesday tips below with a preview of each race and the best bookies offers to use this year.

 

Tuesday’s Cheltenham Tips for Day 1

RaceTipODDS
1.30pm - Supreme Novice HurdleSlade Steel (EW)9/2
2.10pm - ArkleGaelic Warrior7/2
2.50pm - Ultima HandicapChianti Classico (EW)15/2
Trelawne (EW)15/2
3.30pm - Champion HurdleIberico Lord W/O State Man AND Irish Point15/8
4.10pm - Mares' HurdleTelmesomethinggirl WITHOUT Lossiemouth AND Ashroe Diamond (EW)5/1
4.50pm - Boodles Fred WinterPalamon (EW)20/1
Ose Partir (EW)14/1
5.30pm - National Hunt ChaseSalvador Ziggy11/2

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1.30pm – Supreme Novices’ Hurdle

Only 12 go to post for this year’s Supreme but with ante-post favourite Ballyburn heading to the Gallaghers Novice Hurdle over the longer trip instead of this, we have an open and very competitive contest to get the 2024 Cheltenham Festival underway. Despite sidestepping the opener with his best novice hurdler, Willie Mullins still has the top 2 in the betting in Mystical Power and Tullyhill who are fighting for favouritism currently. I’m happy to take them both on though as they are short enough for what they have achieved so far over hurdles. I would be worried about the latter’s jumping in a Supreme after he has continued to make jumping errors in his races since he was beaten at 1/8 on hurdles debut at the end of November. That was over 2m6f and although he has since won twice over 2 miles, he hasn’t jumped with any fluency and has had freebies up front, which he won’t get in a Supreme.

Mystical Power comes here after following a popular route of Willie’s by winning the Moscow Flyer in impressive fashion last time out. Before that start, he had a break after starting his novice hurdling campaign in the summer which is an unlikely starting point for a Willie Mullins Supreme hot pot. He was due to run in the 2 ½ mile Lawlors of Naas race in January before that got abandoned and there is just a doubt in my mind that he has been shoehorned into a 2miler.

Preference is for the Henry De Bromhead trained SLADE STEEL who comes here after a 7-length second to the beforementioned Ballyburn at the DRF. He couldn’t get near the winner that day but I think the form in behind him will stand up as he finished 7 and 10 lengths ahead of King of Kingsfield and Absurde. He toughed it out on his previous start when beating Lecky Watson and Stellar Story over 2m4. That trip is probably his optimum and it is no secret that connections would have gone to the longer distance Gallaghers if Ballyburn stuck to the 2m route of the Supreme. Having said that, he has the class, pace and stamina needed to win a Supreme and with the likelihood of soft ground on Tuesday, I can see him running his race and being bang there when it matters. At the slightly bigger prices of the leading 4 I think he’s the play here.

  • 1.30pm Tip: Slade Steel (each-way) – 9/2 with Betfred (paying 4 places). 

2.10pm – Arkle Challenge Trophy

The Arkle is a race that usually goes to a short-priced fancy with 7 of the last 9 winners being favourites and 5 of those going off odds-on. This year is completely different and we are currently 7/2 the field. It is as a competitive betting market as I can remember and that is largely due to most of the field having question marks over them. My thought process of this race has gone round in circles a number of times but I’ve landed on the thing to do and that’s back the best horse in the race. GAELIC WARRIOR on pure ability, should be a cut above this field and if it was run on a right-handed track then he would be odds on. Fortunately for the rest of the field, it is on a left-handed track and that brings them all into play due to Gaelic Warrior’s tendency to jump/shift right at his fences. It is tough backing a horse who is capable of doing this, especially in an Arkle but I’m willing to take the chance at the prices. He jumped several fences well and straight on his last start going left-handed at the DRF and even though this course isn’t ideal for that characteristic, his engine is something the rest cannot match. He blew out over 2m5 at the DRF but the drop back down to 2 miles could be to his favour here and if he has recovered from the fall and race from Leopardstown then I think he wins. I think Quilixios is the next best and would be a good EW play to follow him home.

  • 2.10pm Tip:  Gaelic Warrior (win) – 7/2 with Bet365.

2.50pm – Ultima Handicap Chase

The first handicap of the day sees a race that has been like a graveyard for Irish horses in the past. The last time an Irish-trained horse was successful in this race was 2006 and although they went as close as possible last year when Fastorslow was beaten a neck by Corach Rambler, it still remains a race dominated by the UK.

It might come as a surprise then that the top 2 in the market are both Irish-trained. Meetingofthewaters finds himself heading the betting due to the craziness of what the preview circuit brings as he was talked up as a future Gold Cup horse by Danny Mullins at a preview 2 weeks ago. He has since been bought by JP McManus and that cannot go unnoticed. He’s a horse I’ll be happy to take on though, especially at his current price.

My main focus for the race is always based around UK horses and I’m not going to change tact here. A competitive handicap like this, and with bookies paying extra places, makes it ok to have a couple of darts and that’s what I’ll be doing. Not only will I be backing 2 UK horses but I’ll be backing 2 UK horses form the same stable. CHIANTI CLASSICO has been my fancy for the race all winter and I see no reason to dessert now. Kim Bailey’s charge will be ridden by stable jockey David Bass and this has been the target for some time.

Stablemate TRELAWNE comes here with Cheltenham experience from this season and red-hot form at that. 3¾ lengths behind Turners fancies Grey Dawning and Ginnys Destiny and ahead of Plate favourite Crebilly represents strong and respected form. This horse can be a bit tricky and tends to make a mistake but the step up in trip to 3m will be a benefit. He acts on soft/heavy ground no problem and the booking of Harry Cobden is eye-catching and can only be a positive. Both horses have huge chances and I’m happy to back both in my Cheltenham day 1 tips.

  • 2.50pm Tip: Chianti Classico (EW) 15/2 (Bet365) paying 6 places
  • 2.50pm Tip: Trelawne (EW) 17/2 (William Hill) paying 6 places

3.30pm – Champion Hurdle

The gloss of this race has somewhat been taken off due to the non-participation of reigning champion Constitution Hill but we still have a race on our hands and with a horse like State Man we have a popular favourite. The winner of 8 grade 1s and only behind Constitution Hill in last year’s renewal he deserves to be a short price favourite and he should get rewarded that his efforts on the track deserve. He is a fantastic horse and I can’t see how any horse can finish in front of him. He’s as solid a favourite can be this week.

I have found an alternative bet here though in the without market. IBERICO LORD was supplemented last week and he comes into the race as an improving sort by winning 2 of the most competitive handicaps ran this season in the Greatwood and Betfair hurdles. I don’t expect him to beat State Man but I do believe he will run well and on that basis, I am recommending to back him without State Man AND Irish Point. I believe he will beat all the other horses behind him and I think this market offers great value

3.30pm Tip: Iberico Lord W/O State Man AND Irish Point – 15/8 with bet365.

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4.10pm – Mares Hurdle

I have been wanting to take Lossiemouth on all winter in this but the closer we have got to the race, the more I have changed my opinion and the more I like her chances. I was worried about her staying the 2m4f trip (and it still might be that she won’t) but her performance on trials day in the Unibet hurdle was impressive. That was over 2m1f and she wasn’t stopping at the line and the further she went, the further she pulled clear. This performance, added to Gala Marceau disappointing on her latest outing (was 3rd fav at the time), strengthened her position at the top of the market.

Ashroe Diamond is a mare I like a lot and she has some good form in behind the boys over the past 2 seasons but I cannot see how she gets the better of the favourite. Like the race previously, I have found a bet without trying to oppose the favourite and it is in the without market again. TELMESOMETHINGGIRL may be 9 and passed her best but she showed she’s still game when going down to Zarak the Brave last time out over a trip that would have been too short for her. Back up to 2 ½ miles and returning to the scene of her Mares Novice Hurdle win, I think Henry De Bromhead will have her primed and ready to run a big race here. I am going to chance her without the top 2 in the market and I think she’s great value. Rachel has chosen to ride her over the 2 stablemates (who were shorter in the betting at the time) and that’s shouts a big bit of confidence to me.

  • 4.10pm Tip: Telmesomethinggirl WITHOUT Lossiemouth AND Ashroe Diamond EW – 5/1 with bet365.

4.50pm – Boodles Fred Winter

A full field of 22 go to post in this ultra-competitive handicap for 4-year-olds. You can make a case for many horses here but with plenty of them open to huge improvement it’s difficult to get a real handle on the form. It’s a race that often has big-priced winners with favourites having a terrible record. For that reason, I want to ignore the top of the market as I don’t have the confidence to be taking shorter prices.

Like the Ultima, I’m going to have 2 stabs at the race at big prices who have been targeted and ‘laid out’ for the race. Martin Brassil’s OSE PARTIR is the main selection after running out the back of the TV on his last 3 starts in graded company. He has had educational rides throughout the season without ever being put into his races and as a result, he has become well handicapped. PALAMON of Paul Nolan’s yard comes here with a similar record and has been running in behind good horses (Lark in the Morning, Ndaawi, Highwind) the last few times. As a result, I think he’s well handicapped and can run a big race here.

  • 4.50pm Tip: Palamon EW 20/1 (William Hill) paying 6 places
  • 4.50pm Tip: Ose Partir EW 14/1 (Bet365) paying 6 places

5.30pm – National Hunt Chase

SALVADOR ZIGGY was my first play in the race in September and I’m still firmly in his camp 6 months on. He has a similar profile to previous Gordon horses who have been targeted at the race where he has got his chasing experience in early before having a break and going into the race fresh. He was last seen finishing last in the American National when he was remarkably leading approaching the last. He was found to have bled badly that day which would explain his sudden demise. His run before that saw him finish 2nd in a competitive Kerry National on only his 4th start over fences. He has acted at the track before when finishing 2nd in last year’s Pertemps hurdle and I believe that will stand him in good stead in this race. Top amateur jockey Rob James rides which is a positive and I would be surprised if he isn’t there at the finish.

The top 2 in the betting have class but they are short enough for me and I want to take them on. They both bombed out at the track in last seasons Albert Bartlett and they come here with lots to prove.

5.30pm Tip: Salvador Ziggy win only – 11/2 with BetVictor.

Follow Adam on Twitter for more Cheltenham tips throughout the week!


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Cheltenham Day 1 Ante-post Betting Tips

The below selections are still live chances from our Cheltenham tips ante-post series.

 

1.30pm Cheltenham Day 1 Tip

TULLYHILL (33/1 NRNB) was awful on seasonal debut, jumping like the proverbial snooker table and getting beaten at 1/7. However, he was an impressive bumper horse last year (running Dream to Share close at Punchestown) and showed much more promise when dropped back to 2m last time out. Jumping would still need to improve markedly but there is an engine there and he will be suited by the end-to-end Gallop of a Supreme Novice Hurdle around Cheltenham. If he were to get one more run in to sharpen the jumping, he would be my pick of the 3 for my Supreme Novice Hurdle tips this year.

 

2.10pm Cheltenham Day 1 Tip

The main Arkle betting tip for this year will be HUNTERS YARN who runs for the same connections as last year’s winner El Fabiolo. He was a more than decent hurdler, who put away the likes of American Mike and Inothewayyourthinkin with ease and who for any other trainer, would have been worthy of a run in the Supreme Novices Hurdle. He was a well-supported 11/2 second favourite when disappointing in the County Hurdle last year and his run at Fairyhouse may have come too soon after. However, he seems to have improved markedly for fences and would have won both his starts this season easily but for a last fence fall on debut. You would hope that he learned from that mistake but he again almost threw the race away with a penultimate fence error last time out. I think overall he jumps quite well and he undoubtedly has a big engine and at the prices in a wide open contest, at 9/1, he will do for me.

 

Cheltenham Festival Tips 2024

That’s right, in the run-up to the Cheltenham Festival, we’ll have a wealth of betting tips and pundit predictions and more, as well as our daily NAP, hand-picked by some of the best in the business.

You’ll find all the latest Cheltenham Day 1 betting tips below, as well as plenty more across this page…

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Cheltenham 2024 Day 1 Race Schedule

There’s plenty to back across day one of the Cheltenham Festival, and you’ll find tons of great offers too from all the top brands like SBK, Betfred and beyond. The racing gets underway at 1.30pm on March 14, running through until the early evening.

You can find the full day’s schedule for day one below:

  • Supreme Novices’ Hurdle – 1.30pm
  • Arkle Novices’ Chase – 2.10pm
  • Ultima Handicap Chase – 2.50pm
  • Champion Hurdle – 3.30pm
  • Mares’ Hurdle – 4.10pm
  • Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle – 4.50pm
  • National Hunt Novices’ Chase – 5.30pm

 

Where Can I Bet On Cheltenham Festival Day 1?

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Supreme Novices’ Hurdle Trends 2024 (1.30pm)

  • Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
  • Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
  • Last Run – 11 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Supreme Novices Hurdle, 11/12 winners ran within the last 66 days
  • 4/12 winners ran in the Tattersalls Ireland Novice Hurdle (Leopardstown) on their last run, 4 of the 4 won, 0 placed
  • 2/12 winners ran in the Tolworth Hurdle (Sandown) on their last run, 2 of the 2 won, 0 placed
  • Previous Course Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham , 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
  • Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 12/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
  • Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 9/12 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
  • Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 144 or higher
  • Graded Wins – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
  • Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 9/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 2 wins that season

 

Arkle Chase Trends 2024 (2.10pm)

  • Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 6 or 7
  • Price – 8 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
  • Last Run – 12/12 won on their last run before the Arkle Chase, 9 of the last 12 winners ran within the last 51 days
  • 3/12 winners ran in the Arkle Novice Chase (Leopardstown) on their last run, 3 of the 3 won
  • 2/12 winners ran in the Game Spirit Chase (Newbury) on their last run, 2 of the 2 won
  • Previous Course Form – 11 of the last 12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 6/12 had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
  • Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 8/12 had at least 3 wins over 15-17 furlongs
  • Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles, 10/12 had at least 2 wins over hurdles
  • Previous Chase Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 12/12 winners had at least 1 chase win, 9/12 had at least 2 chase wins
  • Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 151 or higher
  • Graded Wins – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1 or grade 2 race
  • Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 12/12 had at least 1 win that season, 9/12 had at least 2 wins that season.

 

Festival Trophy Trends 2024 (2.50pm)

  • Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 7-9
  • Price – 1 of the last 12 winners were favourites , 6/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
  • Weights – 8 of the last 12 winners carried between 10st 6lbs & 11st 8lbs
  • Last Run – 3/12 winners won on their last run before the Festival Trophy Handicap Chase, 10/12 winners had their previous run within the last 45 days
  • Previous Course Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 8/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs at Cheltenham, 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
  • Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 3 miles ot further, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win in a race of 3 miles or further
  • Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 5 runs over hurdles, 12/12 had at least 1 previous win over hurdles
  • Previous Chase Form – 11/12 winners had at least 5 previous chase runs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
  • Rating – 11/12 winners had a rating of 132 or higher
  • Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous win that season

 

Champion Hurdle Trends 2024 (3.30pm)

  • Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8
  • Price – 8 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
  • Last Run – 11/12 winners won or placed on their last run before the Champion Hurdle, 10/12 won on their last run, 9/12 ran within the last 51 days
  • 5/12 winners ran in the Irish Champion Hurdle (Leopardstown) on their last run, 4 of the 5 won, 0 placed
  • 3/12 winners ran in the Christmas Hurdle (Kempton) on their last run, 2 of the 3 won, 1 placed
  • Previous Course Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 7/12 had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
  • Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 6 runs over 15-17 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 5 wins over 15-17 furlongs
  • Previous Hurdle Form – 10/12 winners had at least 6 previous runs over hurdles, 11/12 had at least 4 wins over hurdles
  • Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 161 or higher
  • Grade 1 Wins – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous grade 1 win
  • Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 12/12 had at least 1 win that season, 10/12 had at least 2 wins that season

 

Mares Hurdle Trends 2024 (4.10pm)

  • Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 5-7
  • Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 10/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
  • Last Run – 10/12 winners won on their last run before the Mares Hurdle, 8/12 winners ran within the last 52 days
  • Previous Course Form – 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 4/12 had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
  • Previous Distance Form – 12/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 12/12 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs, 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over 19-21 furlongs
  • Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 6 previous runs over hurdles, 11/12 had at least 3 previous wins over hurdles
  • Rating – 9/12 winners had a rating of 148 or higher
  • Graded Wins – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a Grade 1-3 race
  • Season Form – 7/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs that season, 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous win that season

 

Fred Winter Juvenile Novice Hurdle Trends 2024 (4.50pm)

  • Age – Race is for 4yo’s only
  • Price – 1 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 3/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
  • Weight – 9/12 winners weighed between 10st-6lb and 11st-5lb
  • Last Run – 4/12 winners won on their last run before the Fred Winter Juvenile Hurdle, 9/12 winners had their last run within the last 32 days
  • 3/12 winners ran in the Rated Novice Hurdle (Naas) on their last run, 3 of the 3 won, 0 placed
  • Previous Distance Form – 12/12 winners had at least 2 runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 15-17 furlongs
  • Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over hurdles, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win over hurdles
  • Rating – 8/12 winners were rated between 125 and 134
  • Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

 

National Hunt Chase Trends 2024 (5.30pm)

  • Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8
  • Price – 3 of the last 12 winners were favorites/joint favorites, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
  • Last Run – 5/12 winners won on their last run before the National Hunt Chase, 7/12 winners had their last run within the last 52 days
  • Previous Course Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, only 3 had a previous win at Cheltenham
  • Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 3 miles or further, 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 3 miles or further
  • Previous Chase Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous chase runs, 10/12 winners had at least 4 previous chase runs, 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
  • Rating – 11/12 winners had a rating of 142 or higher
  • Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 4 runs that season, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

 

What Are Other Pundits Predicting For Cheltenham Festival Day 1?

Of course, you shouldn’t just be looking at our top tips, there’s a wealth of horse racing expertise out there for you to make the most of. It’s the time of year all the best horse racing pundits have their say, and we do our best not to miss a thing, bringing you all the top picks on our dedicated Pundit Tips page.

You’ll find top picks from the likes of Ruby Walsh, Matt Chapman, Kevin Blake and many more, all complete with the latest odds and best places to bet on them.

 

2024 Cheltenham Festival Free Bets for Day 1

There’s no better way to kick off your Cheltenham Festival betting than with a free bet. We always collate the finest free bet offers for you to enjoy, with brands like SBK offering some pretty incredible promotions not just for the first day, but right across the festival.

You’ll find all the very best Cheltenham Day 1 free bets below and all you need to do is click your favourite, sign-up and start betting.

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bet365’s Cheltenham Festival 2024 Sign-up Offer: Bet £10 get £30 in Free Bets for New Customers bet365’s Cheltenham Festival 2024 Sign-up Offer: Bet £10 get £30 in Free Bets for New Customers

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New UK customers only. Min £10 first deposit using Card. Place a bet of £10 at min odds of 1.5 and get £10 upon settlement. Further £10 in Horse Racing Multiple tokens will be credited after 24 hours and a further £5 Horse Racing Multiple token and a £5 Football Bet Builder token will be credited after 48 hours. Full T&Cs apply.18+. BeGambleAware.org.
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