It can be a frustrating tying betting on England. Crashing out of games to Iceland and failing to get results against Costa Rica makes no fun at all for punters.
However, it doesn’t stop us backing the Three Lions does it? This year we’re encouraging everyone to go in with a strategy. Play as safe as a German goalie in a penalty shootout against us, but in some cases with all the flair of Gazza against Scotland.
We have our method to the madness of backing England at the World Cup, and we’re going to share it with you…
Having studied the tournament closely, the odds favour England to make it through to the Quarter Final. Unless something went horribly wrong – we remember four years ago – we’d expect them to do it.
England’s odds to qualify for the Round of 16 are 1/7 which seems hardly worth betting on. We’d look more towards a Straight Tricast with William Hill which has more lucrative odds of 11/4 for a Belgium/England/Tunisia World Cup Group G prediction.
That’s something we would certainly back, with us fancying a draw against the Belgians and the likes of Kevin De Bruyne, Romelu Lukaku and Eden Hazard to be more clinical against Tunisia and Panama.
That would likely set up a Round of 16 tie with Colombia or Poland. We’d fancy Southgate’s men to sneak past them and reach the Quarter Final at 8/11.
From there we’d be making any bets with World Cup free bets as getting past Germany or Brazil, who they would face should they make it to the Quarter Final, would be a minor miracle.
We of course fancy Harry Kane to get among the goals and with two comfortably winnable ties in Tunisia and Panama he could have an outside shot of World Cup Top Scorer at 16/1 with William Hill.
He’s 11/10 to finish as England’s top scorer which perhaps may not be the best value for punters.
Raheem Sterling has been in impeccable form for Manchester City in front of goal however and may well be worth a punt at 12/1. We’d maybe take this option and risk it for an outside bet on England at the World Cup.
Will Raheem Sterling be England’s top goalscorer at the World Cup?
It’ll be interesting to see who Gareth Southgate names in his squad come May and we’re already looking at the odds to make the plane.
Of course the likes of Dele Alli, Harry Kane and all the other definites aren’t worth betting on. However, there are some interesting outside chances to make the England World Cup 2018 squad worth a punt.
Ashley Young has been in fine form for Manchester United and made the last squad. He’s at 13/8 to make it, while we’d back Daniel Sturridge’s 5/1 which seems great value if he picks up a goal or two at West Brom.
Luke Shaw is another at 5/1 as is Theo Walcott who will also hoping to benefit from a move in January.
We’d perhaps back Walcott to make it. He’s started well for Everton and if that continues we expect his value to change dramatically in this market.
Other notables that potentially may be worth backing are Alfie Mawson (20/1), Chris Smalling (4/1) and Aaron Creswell (12/1).
We think the best bet for England at the World Cup is the 12/5 available for them to be eliminated in the quarter finals. With a tie against either Brazil or Germany likely, it could be the end of the road for England, but it would soften the blow if our World Cup betting tip landed and gave us a nice profit from our bet on England.