Derby vs Middlesbrough predictions and betting tips for this Championship match on New Years Day with a goals prediction included.
Expert Tipster Prediction: Middlesbrough saw off a sorry Ipswich side on Saturday to keep themselves in contention at the top of the table but this will be much tougher for Tony Pulis’ inconsistent side. Derby were involved in a thriller as they edged out Norwich in the final seconds of the game. They start the day level on points with their opponents and they could go above the Teessiders with a victory at Pride Park. Their home form has been very strong this season with just two defeats in front of their own fans (vs Leeds and Villa) and they will be full of confidence following their late show in East Anglia. Boro have also only lost twice on the road but they’ve only won one of their last three on their travels and patience is wearing thin from some sections of supporters. Derby play the better football and should edge this although they won’t find it easy to break through the Boro rearguard.
Most Championship bettors will tell you that it’s difficult to trust Middlesbrough at the moment. Yes, they were always expected to see off Ipswich at the Riverside Stadium but they fail to deliver at short-prices on a regular basis. They have only lost twice away from home and they are incredibly difficult to penetrate but it’s often at the expense of creativity and they struggle to carve out chances on a regular basis. Their recent defeats to Sheffield Wednesday and QPR were hugely disappointing and they are yet to beat any side above 11th whilst on their travels. Derby are strong on home turf and have already beaten Sheffield United and Birmingham at Pride Park this season. They’ve scored 17 home goals and overall, they are the eighth highest scorers in the division. They come off the back of a 4-goal salvo against Norwich and they will be full of confidence for this tie. Boro have the leagues best defence and have conceded just nine times away from home although they’ve only kept two clean sheets since mid-November. This is a real contrast of styles but with the likes of Mason Mount and Harry Wilson in the line-up, Derby should have too much quality and should edge this tie. They are the first of our Derby vs Middlesbrough betting tips for New Years Day.
What is the best price on Derby to beat Middlesbrough? 27/20 with William Hill
Boro’s impressive defensive record allows us to get decent odds on Both Teams to Score? Yes in their games at the moment. Although this was never likely to land against Ipswich and other bottom-half dwellers, it does tend to be a decent option against top six rivals. They are facing a side who have scored 17 times on their own patch but also conceded 13. BTTS has landed in 77% of their home matches and I think there’s a decent chance of it coming in again. Frank Lampard’s side often just concede a single goal but they routinely fail to keep clean sheets with just two shutouts since September 18th. For all of Boro’s problems going forward, they do possess talented individuals and the likes of Britt Assombalonga and Jordan Hugill always offer a threat. It finished 1-1 when they met at the Riverside and BTTS should land again. It’s the second of our Derby vs Middlesbrough betting tips for this afternoon’s Championship game.
What are the best odds for Both Teams to Score? Yes – 10/11 with Betfred
Jack Marriott has been in excellent form but the majority of his goals have tended to arrive away from home. Frank Lampard has also rested the striker on a number of occasions recently. Harry Wilson also has nine goals in all competitions this season and is a slightly bigger price. The Liverpool loanee is an expert from a set-piece and his dead-ball skills may be the key to unlocking Boro’s defence. He’s not afraid of netting against decent opposition having already found his range against West Brom, Sheffield United and Manchester United in the Carabao Cup. He looks the value pick in this market and is therefore the third of our Derby vs Middlesbrough predictions for New Year’s Day.
What are the best odds for Harry Wilson to Score Anytime? 5/2 with 888Sport
The statistics suggest that this game isn’t going to be a high-scoring one and that’s due to Middlesbrough’s dogged resistance. Any Tony Pulis side is going to be hard to overcome and this will be far from straightforward for Derby. Frank Lampard’s men are young and they do score goals but they also make mistakes at the back. With the best price on Both Teams to Score? Yes being 5/6, many punters will also be looking towards Over 2.5 Goals. This is available at 11/10 and would have landed in three of Derby’s last five home games.
It ended 1-1 when the pair met in the North East earlier in the season and the same scoreline is available once again at 5/1 with the majority of bookmakers.
Jack Marriott will be a popular first goalscorer choice and is 4/1 with 888Sport. He has hit the ground running since joining from Peterborough and will be fancied to continue where he left off. He hit the winner against Norwich on Saturday. For the visitors, Jordan Hugill has suddenly started scoring and he could continue his productive loan spell with a strike here. He’s 11/2 to break the deadlock.