Italy will want to put behind them the disastrous World Cup 2018 qualifying campaign that seen them miss out on the finals and they should have no trouble qualifying from this group containing Bosnia & Herzegovina, Finland, Greece, Armenia and Liechtenstein. The start this weekend against Finland and you can see the reasons for our Italy vs Finland predictions and betting tips below.
Italy have reached the last six European Championship finals and they certainly won’t want a repeat of their World Cup campaign, where they failed to qualify after losing in the play-offs to eventual quarter finalists Sweden. Roberto Mancini is now the man in charge and he’ll be expecting a comfortable run through to the Euro’s next summer in what looks a straight forward group. Fabio Quagliarella is hitting his twilight years but he’s back in the Italy fold and on a remarkable goalscoring run domestically, and without Mario Balotelli or Andrea Belotti in the squad, the veteran could lead the line.
Finland picked up just one point from their first six World Cup qualifying matches before winning two and drawing two of their final four games. They then won their first four Nations League matches before losing the final two – an interesting stat to come from those fixtures in that both teams to score would have been a losing bet in all six ties. In fact, their last 13 FIFA recognised matches have not seen both teams to score. BTTS no in this game is around 4/11 at bet365 but we can tie this into our first Italy vs Finland Prediction and bet on Italy to win to nil at odds of 4/6 with Betfred.
Teemu Pukki will be a familiar name to fans of English Championship side Norwich City and he’ll be the main prong of attack for the Fins in this qualifying campaign, however, we’re not expecting much from the visitors in this match and that means our anytime goalscorer tip has to come from the Italian line-up. They are a relatively inexperienced squad with Roberto Mancini ruthlessly cutting some of the older players from the squad, but they have still only won three of their last 11 matches since World Cup qualifying ended, however two of these wins have been in their last three fixtures. Goals could be at a premium here but we’re still going to select Fabio Quagliarella as a first goalscorer betting tip here. THe in-form striker should start the match and with only a couple of Italy goals predicted, the value is to bet on him to score first at 16/1 with Betway rather than anytime around 23/20.
We’ve already outlined the reasons for a bet on Italy to win this match to nil in the preview and that can be backed up with a correct score prediction for the match. Finland aren’t expected to put up much of an attacking threat here but Italy’s goalscoring record in recent matches is poor. They have not found the net more than once in a game only once in their last 17 matches, that was against Saudi Arabia. With that in mind, a 1-0 correct score looks a solid option here and although the odds are quite short at 4/1, that’s the Italy vs Finland prediction for the final score.
Italy to win – 3/10 @ bet365.
Draw – 9/2
Finland to win – 14/1 @ Ladbrokes.
Bet £10 on this match and win or lose you will get a £30 free bet added to your new Betfred account. For example:
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