Arkle Chase Tips 2023 – The Sporting Life Arkle Challenge Trophy Steeple Chase (Grade 1)
The Arkle Challenge Trophy provides a test for racing’s best national hunt chasers over the minimum trip of just under two miles and this race is always one of the highlights of the Cheltenham Festival week.
The race is named after racing legend Arkle, who won the Cheltenham Gold Cup three times in the 1960s.
The second race of the Cheltenham Festival is the Arkle Chase, due off at 2.10pm on Tuesday 14th March.
This race has really been a huge stepping stone for some great horses, who have gone on to achieve further glory in their careers. Previous winners include Moscow Flyer, a dual winner of the Tingle Creek; Sprinter Sacre (2012), Timeform’s third-best Chaser ever and Altior who shone over a glittering 21-win career, which included 10 G1s. Although this year doesn’t look to have that potential superstar it’s a very wide-open race, you could make a case for any of the runners and this year could be a year to throw a lot of the stats out the window.
Arkle Tips 2023
- Dysart Dynamo (Arkle Trophy)
Current Odds – 7/1 with bet365
Given Constitution Hill’s demolition of the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle field last year, it may be forgotten that he wasn’t even clear favourite going into the race. In fact, Willie Mullins had such confidence in this week’s selection that he was happy to push the previous year’s bumper winner, Sir Gerhard, up to the Ballymore. Now, there is no doubt that DYSART DYNAMO was beaten when falling 3 out in that Supreme, and he may not even have come second. My reading of that race is that he was far too keen and set an unsustainable gallop, which in turn set the race up for the subsequent winner. A line can also be put through his run at Punchestown, as he was found to have a small heart defibrillation (this may have even been an issue at the festival).
His run in the Moscow Flyer was to me, one of the most visually impressive performances of the year, and while there were no superstars in that race, the way he went through it blew me away.
It is not hard to make the comparison to another Willie 2 miler, Un De Sceaux, and while it is a cliche that fences can calm tearaways like this down, if that old adage applies here, then 16/1 is a huge price. My read of the Arkle ante-post market is Jonbon’s price is artificially short because of his full brother, Douvan’s success in the race and that El Fabiolos is also priced incorrectly due to his short head defeat by that horse at Aintree. I expect Mighty Potter and Appreciate it to step up in trip and Sir Gerhard might even stay over hurdles.
It would not surprise me at all to see Dysart Dynamo tear off in front and if he has recovered from his health issues, it will take a fair one to pass him and at the prices, I think he is the standout price in the Arkle.
Arkle Trophy Trends from the Cheltenham Festival
- Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 6 or 7
- Price – 6 of the last 12 favorites have won, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
- Last Run – 9 of the last 12 winners ran within the last 51 days, 11/12 won on their last start before Cheltenham
- 3/12 winners ran in the Arkle Novice Chase (Leopardstown) on their last run, 3 of the 3 won
- 2/12 winners ran in the Game Spirit Chase (Newbury) on their last run, 2 of the 2 won
- Previous Course Form – 11 of the last 12 winners had at least 1 run at Cheltenham previously, 6/12 had at least 1 win previously at Cheltenham
- Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 8/12 had at least 3 wins over 15-17 furlongs
- Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles, 10/12 had at least 2 wins over hurdles
- Previous Chase Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 12/12 winners had at least 1 chase win, 8/12 had at least 2 chase wins
- Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 151 or higher
- Graded Wins – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1 or grade 2 race
- Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 12/12 had at least 1 win that season, 8/12 had at least 2 wins that season.
Arkle Challenge Trophy Last 10 Winners
|2010||Sizing Europe||A E Lynch||Henry De Bromhead|
|2011||Captain Chris||Richard Johnson||Philip Hobbs|
|2012||Sprinter Sacre||Barry Geraghty||Nicky Henderson|
|2013||Simonsig||Barry Geraghty||Nicky Henderson|
|2014||Western Warhorse||Tom Scudamore||David Pipe|
|2015||Un De Sceaux||Ruby Walsh||Willie Mullins|
|2016||Douvan||Ruby Walsh||Willie Mullins|
|2017||Altior||Nico de Boinville||Nicky Henderson|
|2018||Footpad||Ruby Walsh||Willie Mullins|
|2019||Duc Des Genievres||Paul Townend||Willie Mullins|
|2020||Put The Kettle On||Aidan Coleman||Henry De Bromhead|
Arkle Trophy FAQs
Shiskin in the 10/11 favourite and Energumene is 9/4 in the latest Arkle betting odds and our prediction for the race is Shishkin to win.
Tuesday 16th March, 1.55pm. The Arkle is the second race of the Cheltenham Festival.
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