Mares Hurdle Betting Tips 2022 (Tuesday 4.10pm): Telmesomethinggirl the current favourite for Rachael Blackmore

Telmesomethinggirl

The Mares Hurdle has had some dramatic finishes in recent year’s and this year could be no different, with golden girl Rachael Blackmore set to ride the current favourite Telmesomethinggirl.

The races takes place after the Champion Hurdle on day 1 of the Cheltenham Festival with an off-time of 4.10pm. It looks a wide-open race with no short priced favourite or superstar from the Willie Mullins yard set to go to post.

 

Mares Hurdle Betting Tip – TELMESOMETHINGGIRL (11/4)

I think this is a better race than it’s being made out to be by certain areas of the racing world. 5 previous Festival winners could end up coming here and it’s 1 of them I go with in TELMESOMETHINGGIRL (11/4 with Betfred).  Everything this season has been aimed with this race in mind and I don’t believe her 2 runs this season have a huge bearing here. Even though this is quite a competitive field, she’s the right favourite based on her run over Christmas. Even though she was 3rd to Royal Kahala & Heaven Help Us, she came out best at the weights (had to concede 5 & 8lb respectively).

Both of those horses are dangers to my selection and Royal Kahala has even franked her chances by winning the Galmoy hurdle and giving a beating to Klassical Dream in the process. As good as that form is though I think the Peter Fahey mare (who disappointed at Cheltenham last year) needs a 3m trip or really testing ground.

It looks like the king of mares races Willie Mullins will fire at least 3 or 4 bullets at this but none of his team really worry me at this stage. Echoes in Rain has disappointed, Stormy Ireland just falls below G1 level and Burning Victory’s jumping will let her down.

I would be more worried about a British runner in Marie’s Rock who looks to have turned a corner this season and impressed with a good turn of foot on more than one occasion at Kempton and Warwick. She is a lively outsider and is probably the best each-way value in the race now, however, I am confident TELMESOMETHINGGIRL is the one they all have to beat.

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Mares Hurdle Trends

  • Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 5-7
  • Price – 7 of the last 12 winners have been favourite, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
  • Last Run – 9/12 winners won on their last run before the Mares Hurdle, 7/12 winners ran within the last 52 days
  • Previous Course Form – 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 5/12 had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
  • Previous Distance Form – 12/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 12/12 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs, 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over 19-21 furlongs
  • Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over hurdles, 11/12 had at least 3 previous wins over hurdles
  • Rating – 10/12 winners had a rating of 150 or higher
  • Graded Wins – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a Grade 1-3 race

 

Mares Hurdle Last 10 Winners

Year Horse Jockey Trainer
2009 Quevega Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins
2010 Quevega Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins
2011 Quevega Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins
2012 Quevega Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins
2013 Quevega Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins
2014 Quevega Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins
2015 Glens Melody Paul Townend Willie Mullins
2016 Vroum Vroum Mag Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins
2017 Apple’s Jade Bryan Cooper Gordon Elliott
2018 Benie Des Dieux Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins
2019 Roksana Harry Skelton Dan Skelton
2020 Honeysuckle Rachael Blackmore Henry De Bromhead

 

Mares Hurdle 2020 Result

1st – Honeysuckle (9/4)

2nd – Benie Des Dieux (4/6)

3rd – Elfile (16/1)

4th – Roksana (12/1)

 

2022 Cheltenham Festival Tips