Ultima Handicap Chase Tips 2022 (2.50pm Day 1 of the Cheltenham Festival)

Nowadays, the Ultima Handicap Chase, run over 3 miles 1 furlong on the Old Course at Prestbury Park, has the distinction of being the first of nine handicaps staged at the Cheltenham Festival.

Just two favourites – namely Wichita Lineman in 2009 and Coo Star Sivola in 2018 – have won since the turn of the century, but 15 winners in that period featured in the first five in the betting. That statistic alone suggests that, even at this relatively early stage, the head of the market is where we should be looking for a likely winner.

 

Ultima Handicap Chase, Tuesday, March 15

The score between Does He Know and Threeunderthrufive currently stands at 1-1, but a line through Doyen Breed, whom Does He Know beat most recently in the Reynoldstown Novices’ Chase at Ascot, suggests Kim Bailey’s 7-year-old may have the edge here. He appears versatile, going-wise, and won over course and distance in November, so has plenty going for him.

Selection: Does He Know (7/1 with bet365)

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Ultima Handicap Trends

  • Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 7-9
  • Price – 2 of the last 12 favorites have won, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
  • Weights – 9 of the last 12 winners weighed between 10st 6lbs & 11st 8lbs
  • Last Run – 7/12 winners at least placed on their last run before Cheltenham, 9/12 winners had their previous run within the last 45 days
  • Previous Course Form – 9/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs at Cheltenham, 7/12 winners had a previous win at Cheltenham
  • Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over at least 3 miles, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win in a race of 3 miles or more
  • Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 5 runs over hurdles, 12/12 had at least 1 previous win over hurdles
  • Previous Chase Form – 10/12 winners had at least 5 previous chase runs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
  • Rating – 11/12 winners had a rating of 132 or higher
  • Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win that season

 

Ultima Handicap Last 10 Winners

Year Horse Jockey Trainer
2011 Bensalem Robert Thornton Alan King
2012 Alfie Sherrin Richie McLernon Jonjo O’Neill
2013 Golden Chieftain Brendan Powell Colin Tizzard
2014 Holywell Richie McLernon Jonjo O’Neill
2015 The Druids Nephew Barry Geraghty Neil Mulholland
2016 Un Temps Pour Tout Tom Scudamore David Pipe
2017 Un Temps Pour Tout Tom Scudamore David Pipe
2018 Coo Star Sivola Lizzie Kelly Nick Williams
2019 Beware The Bear Jeremiah McGrath Nicky Henderson
2020 The Conditional Brendan Powell David Bridgwater

 

2020 Ultima Handicap Chase Result

1st – The Conditional (15/2)

2nd – Kildisart (10/1)

3rd – Discorama (11/2)

4th – Vindication (11/2)

 

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