Fairyhouse Preview and Betting Tips for Sunday 4th December
11.55am - Optional can be right in the Mix in Fairyhouse opener A compelling days racing…
Ultima Handicap Chase Tips 2022 (2.50pm Day 1 of the Cheltenham Festival)
Nowadays, the Ultima Handicap Chase, run over 3 miles 1 furlong on the Old Course at Prestbury Park, has the distinction of being the first of nine handicaps staged at the Cheltenham Festival.
Just two favourites – namely Wichita Lineman in 2009 and Coo Star Sivola in 2018 – have won since the turn of the century, but 15 winners in that period featured in the first five in the betting. That statistic alone suggests that, even at this relatively early stage, the head of the market is where we should be looking for a likely winner.
Ultima Handicap Chase, Tuesday, March 15
The score between Does He Know and Threeunderthrufive currently stands at 1-1, but a line through Doyen Breed, whom Does He Know beat most recently in the Reynoldstown Novices’ Chase at Ascot, suggests Kim Bailey’s 7-year-old may have the edge here. He appears versatile, going-wise, and won over course and distance in November, so has plenty going for him.
Selection: Does He Know (7/1 with bet365)
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Ultima Handicap Trends
- Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 7-9
- Price – 2 of the last 12 favorites have won, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
- Weights – 9 of the last 12 winners weighed between 10st 6lbs & 11st 8lbs
- Last Run – 7/12 winners at least placed on their last run before Cheltenham, 9/12 winners had their previous run within the last 45 days
- Previous Course Form – 9/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs at Cheltenham, 7/12 winners had a previous win at Cheltenham
- Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over at least 3 miles, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win in a race of 3 miles or more
- Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 5 runs over hurdles, 12/12 had at least 1 previous win over hurdles
- Previous Chase Form – 10/12 winners had at least 5 previous chase runs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
- Rating – 11/12 winners had a rating of 132 or higher
- Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win that season
Ultima Handicap Last 10 Winners
| Year | Horse | Jockey | Trainer |
| 2011 | Bensalem | Robert Thornton | Alan King |
| 2012 | Alfie Sherrin | Richie McLernon | Jonjo O’Neill |
| 2013 | Golden Chieftain | Brendan Powell | Colin Tizzard |
| 2014 | Holywell | Richie McLernon | Jonjo O’Neill |
| 2015 | The Druids Nephew | Barry Geraghty | Neil Mulholland |
| 2016 | Un Temps Pour Tout | Tom Scudamore | David Pipe |
| 2017 | Un Temps Pour Tout | Tom Scudamore | David Pipe |
| 2018 | Coo Star Sivola | Lizzie Kelly | Nick Williams |
| 2019 | Beware The Bear | Jeremiah McGrath | Nicky Henderson |
| 2020 | The Conditional | Brendan Powell | David Bridgwater |
2020 Ultima Handicap Chase Result
1st – The Conditional (15/2)
2nd – Kildisart (10/1)
3rd – Discorama (11/2)
4th – Vindication (11/2)
Cheltenham 2022 Tips
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