ITV Racing Tips for Saturday 25th June: Newcastle, Newmarket and the Irish Derby
A week on from Royal Ascot, we're back with the usual Saturday ITV Racing preview…
The 2022 Cheltenham Festival continues into it’s third day and this looks a tough day for punters with some wide open races on the Thursday card.
The Thursday action gets underway at 1.30pm with the Turners Novices Chase before the tricky Pertemps Hurdle. The Ryanair Chase looks to have one of the bankers of the week in Allaho but there are plenty of challengers for the current favourite.
The feature race of the day is the Stayers’ Hurdle and it looks set to be a cracker over the long trip.
See our day 3 tips below including the best bookies to use for each race to ensure you get the very best value for all your bets on Thursday.
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The opener on day 3 is the intriguing clash between Galopin Des Champs and Bob Olinger in the Turners Novices Chase, the Grade 1 for the novice chases over the 2m4f trip.
It’s hard to split them but I think the likely emphasis on stamina will play to the strengths of GALOPIN DESCHAMPS. He was faultless on Chase debut and looked like a real star. He followed that up with a Grade 1 success at Dublin Racing Festival and his jumping will be a useful asset in this intriguing match up.
Next up, is one of the most competitive handicaps of the weeks, the Pertemps Handicap Hurdle over 3m
I like WINTER FOG here for the Emmet Mullins team. I think this has been Emmet’s big handicap plot for this years Festival and he always seem to go close with them when that is the case. He got to the front too soon at Leopardstown last time out but still ran a cracker to finish second place. I think he can improve again for that effort and the jockey booking of Paul Townend is very intriguing.
The next race is the Grade 1 Ryanair Chase ran over the 2m4f trip.
The banker of the week has to be ALLAHO here. He was faultless when winning this race last year in breathtaking fashion. This race looks slightly stronger but he’ll get plenty of these in trouble along way out and may win the race in the third quarter of the contest. I think Janadil can pick up the pieces and finish second.
The feature on Day 3 at HQ is the Grade 1 Stayers Hurdle over 3m and it’s a wide open renewal.
The one for me is KLASSICAL DREAM. The Supreme winner of 2019 went off the boil for a while but bounced right back to form when a well supported winner at the 2021 Punchestown Festival. He backed that up when beating the defending champion Flooring Porter over Christmas. I think he just ran too soon when disappointing in the Galmoy Hurdle last time out and I’d expect master trainer Willie Mullins to have him spot on for this today. The ground won’t be an issue.
The 4:10 race is the Paddy Power Plate, another tricky handicap over the chase course ran over 2m4f.
The one for me is THE GLANCING QUEEN NAP. Alan King, already in the winners enclosure this week with Edwardstone is fancied to have another winner here. She is a gutsy mare who ran a cracker on New Year’s Day here at Cheltenham when second behind L’Homme Presse who’s done a lot for that form to say the least. She’s open to further improvement and I think she’ll go close.
The 4:40 contest from Cheltenham is the Mares Novice Hurdle ran over the 2m trip. Plenty of intriguing mares within the line-up this year.
I like PARTY CENTRAL NB here. A strong traveller who does nothing in front, Davy Russell will have to be at his very best and deliver her as late as possible. The strong gallop they go here will suit her very well and she’s certainly improving all the time. Her handicap victory last time out really caught my eye with this race in mind.
The finale on Day 3 is the Kim Muir handicap chase ran over 3m2f. It’s another opportunity for the amateurs to get a winner here at the Festival.
My selection in the finale is AINT THAT A SHAME EW. Another horse who’ll be well suited by the strong gallop they’ll go here and he certainly won’t mind the ground. He is improving with each start and he stayed on well last time out to just be beaten a hard by a fairly useful yardstick in Champagne Platinum. Ben Harvey takes the reigns and he’s one of the better amateurs riders in my book. Good each way bet.
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Sporting John was beaten favourite behind the veteran Kansas City Chief on his penultimate start, over course and distance, in December, but returned to winning ways with a ready, 3-length victory over The Jam Man at Warwick the following month. The runner-up did that form no favours when beaten out of sight in a valuable handicap hurdle at Leopardstown last month, but Sporting John still looks realistically handicapped off a 4lb higher mark.
Selection: Sporting John (8/1 with Ladbrokes)
My Stayers Hurdle winner is Champ. There are a few horses who like to lead and can see them going off at an absolute burn up and get racing way too far out. The jockeys won’t make the same mistake and let Danny Mullins get his own way in the lead, nor will Klassical Dream be allowed to get the head start he got at Christmas, and I can see the race falling right into Champs lap. I have been keen on him for a while, and he has everything you need to win a Stayers Hurdle.
Selection – Champ (5/1 with William Hill)
Celebre D’Allen made a seamless transition back to fences at Warwick last month, winning not by far, but comfortable enough to suggest a 6lb rise in the weights is entirely justified. The Network gelding has won all three starts since joining Philip Hobbs from French trainer Louisa Carberry in October and looks a worthy favourite, despite facing his toughest test so far.
Selection: Celebre D’Allen (6/1 with Ladbrokes)
The Mares Novice Hurdle had been a Willie Mullins benefit in its first 5 runnings with the Closutton handler saddling the first 5 winners in the race (including 4 of the first 5 in 2020) until Telmesomesomethinggirl scored for the woman of the moment Rachel Blackmore last year.
Mullins again holds the key in this year’s renewal, despite the late defection of the hugely impressive Allegorie de Vassy whose victory in the Solerina had propelled her to the top of the Market. Second that day was current favourite Brandy Love, who would surely have won bar jumping left at every hurdle, culminating in her almost joining the patrons in the Bobbyjo Bistro at the second last. Although many would see a return to going left-handed as a tonic to that problem, and despite the fact that she clearly has massive ability, the violent nature of some of those jumps would be a concern and at prohibitive odds, I will cautiously look elsewhere.
I am also dubious about next in the betting Dinoblue who is a talking horse from the Cheltenham Festival preview circuit and whose form in her one run does not justify her skinny price. Previous winner Concertista was a second season novice having her second go in the race, a profile similar to Joseph O’Brien’s Mighty Blue, who travelled sweetly into last year’s race. However, she fell when seemingly held on her only start over hurdles this year and is far from a certain participant. (A 20/1 NRNB price would tempt me though).
The last 2 winners of this race have come 3rd in the Paddy Mullins Mares Handicap at the DRF, and the winner of this year’s renewal, Party Central, has attracted support. However, she is a Tricky ride and was actually beaten in the DRF mares bumper last year by my selection GRANGEE (8/1). She was far from disgraced against Supreme horses Mighty Potter and Three Stripe Life at Christmas and according to Brian Cooper, was travelling well when coming down in the previously mentioned Solerina. She will have to defy some stats (6/6 winners had come in the top 3 in their previous start and had also placed in a graded/listed race) but with the race in its infancy, those stats could be misleading and I think she will go very close at an each-way price.
Selection: Grange (8/1 with bet365)
Former pointer Omar Maretti has made a promising start to his career under Rules, winning four of his five starts so far and may be capable of taking another step forward here. Indeed, he put up his best effort yet when jumping well to win a similar event at Catterick last month with plenty in hand and a 5lb rise in the weights may well underestimate him. Good to soft, or soft, going should suit him admirably and, at a double-figure price, he looks excellent value.
Selection: Omar Maretti (14/1 with Ladbrokes)
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Things get underway with the Novices’ Chase and then the Pertemps final on day 3 of the 2022 Cheltenham Festival. From there, things get really exciting with the Ryanair Chase and then the Championship race on day 3, the Stayers’ Hurdle.
Following the previous day’s results, it will be either punters or bookies ahead and with Paisley Park running on Thursday, it could be make or break for both sides of the betting fence. If the bookies are ahead you can expect to see some juicy prices for the staying superstar at 3.30pm, but if the favourites have been winning in the first two days of racing, the bookies might look to keep Paisley Park onside and offer less generous odds.
The atmosphere is always electric on St Patrick’s Day at the Cheltenham Festival, with the Guinness tent filled to the brim with Irish punters who make the pilgrimage to Cheltenham every year. You can be sure the bookies will be running for cover if a few of the Irish trained horses win on day 3.
The Marsh Novices’ Chase kicks-off St Patrick’s Day at the Cheltenham Festival 2021 and it is always a big day for the Irish punters.
The second race on the card is the Pertemps Final and this is always a very tough betting heat for punters. Our expert Cheltenham day 3 tips will give you some guidance in what to bet on in this race but with the favourite normally around 7 or 8/1, it is never easy to pick the winner.
Next up is one of the best races of the week, the Ryanair Chase. This race has been won by some wonderful horses in recent seasons including Cue Card, the late Vautour and Alberta’s Run. The likes of Frodon, Min and Melon could all line-up in the 2021 renewal so be sure to keep an eye out for our Ryanair Chase tips when they become available.
Next up it’s the big Championship race of the day, the Stayer’s Hurdle. Big Bucks dominated this race for years and now Paisley Park is back to regain his crown. He won the race two years ago but was disappointing in 2020.
Following the Stayer’s Hurdle, the Brown Advisory Plate comes and it’s another tough betting test for Cheltenham punters. This is another wide-open handicap and after the Ryanair and the Stayer’s, this is normally a quieter betting race unless there is a big gamble taking place.
The penultimate race on day 3 of the Cheltenham Festival is the Mares’ Novices Hurdle. This is another quiet race and one that some horse racing pundits have called for to be scrapped after just three years. It is hard to predict which horses will line-up for this race so it isn’t a big ante-post betting market but once the declarations are in, expect to see some gambles on horses trained by the likes of Willie Mullins and Gordon Elliot.
The final race and the last of our Cheltenham day 3 tips will come from the Kim Muir, another tough handicap race that will see punters trying to work out a big field and find the winner. Only amateur rides are allowed to participate in this race and we often get some fallers in what is always a messy 3m 2f trip. One betting tip for punters here is to look out for the amateur riders who have the most experience, especially around Cheltenham racecourse. This will prove invaluable for the inevitable grandstand finish up the Cheltenham hill.
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