Paddy Power Plate 2021 Tips – Preview, Odds, Trends and Betting Tip
The Brown Advisory is a Grade 3 handicap chase over 2 and a half miles, with runners having to negotiate seventeen fences.
While the very competitive nature of this race, as well as the added risk of each horse not running is reflected in the current odds, picking out a winner can be a rewarding venture, especially given the juicy ante-post prices.
With many potential runners holding entries for other races at the festival, the recommendation would be to play with a bookmaker offering non-runner no bet if possible, although this will be taken into consideration in the price.
Last year’s running saw Harry Whittington’s Simply The Betts prevail under a strong and tenacious ride from Gavin Sheehan, after being well supported and going off clear favourite at 100/30.
While the past form of trainers may not be worth much in these types of races, it is worth noting that since 2010 David Pipe has won this contest on three occasions, with the Irish horses also enjoying some success in recent years.
Brown Advisory Plate Ante-Post Betting Tip
The 3:40 race is the Paddy Power Plate, a Handicap Chase contest ran over 2m4f. Caribean Boy looks interesting given his profile and looks sure to run his race at a nice price.
However, I can’t get away from THE SHUNTER NB (9/2 with bet365) here. He’s been in great form all season and he bids to win here to collect the 100,000 bonus for his victory last week at Kelso. His victory last week at Kelso was over hurdles so his chase mark has been unaffected by the victory so he doesn’t carry a penalty here. That is a shrewd move by the Emmet Mullins team and another shrewd move is appointing Jordan Gainford to do the stirring claiming 7lbs. He is the next big thing according to the Irish experts and his 7lb claim is a real steel. The horse will be suited by the strong pace here and he’s proven over further. He’s just a very good versatile horse that can get the job done here.
THE SHUNTER NB (9/2 with bet365)
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Brown Advisory Plate Trends
Age – 8 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8.
Price – 3 of the last 12 favourites have won, 4/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting.
Weight – 10/12 winners weighed below 11st.
Last Run – 4/12 winners won on their last run before the Festival Plate, 8/12 winners had their last run within the last 47 days.
Previous Course Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 2/12 winners had a previous win at Cheltenham.
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs.
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/12 winners had at least 5 runs over hurdles, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win over hurdles.
Previous Chase Form – 9/12 winners had at least 5 previous chase runs, 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins.
Rating – 10/12 winners had a rating of 136 or higher.
Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 8/12 winners had at least 1 win that season.
Brown Advisory Merribelle Stakes Recent Winners
|2009||Something Wells||W Biddick||Venetia Williams|
|2010||Great Endeavour||Danny Cook||David Pipe|
|2011||Holmwood Legend||Keiran Burke||Patrick Rodford|
|2012||Salut Flo||Tom Scudamore||David Pipe|
|2013||Carrickboy||Liam Treadwell||Venetia Williams|
|2014||Ballynagour||Tom Scudamore||David Pipe|
|2015||Darna||David Bass||Kim Bailey|
|2016||Empire of Dirt||B J Cooper||C A Murphy|
|2017||Road To Respect||B J Cooper||Noel Meade|
|2018||The Storyteller||Davy Russell||Gordon Elliott|
|2019||Siruh Du Lac||Lizzie Kelly||Nick Williams|
|2020||Simply The Betts||Gavin Sheehan||Harry Whittington|
Brown Advisory Merribelle Stakes Result 2020
1st – Simply The Betts (10/3)
2nd – Happy Diva – (20/1)
3rd – Mister Whitaker (22/1)
4th – Oldgrandgewood (11/1)
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