Kim Muir Challenge Cup Tips – Preview, Odds & Trends: Cheltenham Festival 2021, Day 3 5.30pm
Run over 3 miles 2 furlongs on the New Course at Cheltenham, the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup is a handicap chase traditionally restricted to amateur jockeys.
However, unless the British government has a late change of heart, allowing amateur jockeys to compete at the Cheltenham Festival, the race may be contested by professional jockeys, including conditionals, in 2021.
Kim Muir Odds
|Run Wild Fred||8/1||Bet|
Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Preview
- Run Wild Fred & Coko Beach
- Dickie Diver
- Minella Times
- Longhouse Poet
- Jersey Bean
Run Wild Fred & Coko Beach
Gordon Elliott has won the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup twice before, including last year, and two of his representatives, Run Wild Fred (8/1) and Coko Beach (12/1), feature prominently in the ante-post betting this time around. Indeed, the pair met in the
Goffs Thyestes Handicap Chase at Gowran Park in late January, when Run Wild Fred, who was receiving 2lb, proved no match for his stable companion in the closing stages, eventually going down by 4 lengths. However, a mistake at the final fence didn’t help and, on revised terms, he can reasonably be expected to reverse the from with Coko Beach.
The unexposed Dickie Diver (10/1), who finished fourth in the Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle last year, but has raced just once over fences, has been the subject of recent support in the ante-post market. Owned by J.P. McManus and trained by Nicky Henderson, who has also saddled two winners of this race, the Gold Well gelding raced keenly when second in a novices’ limited handicap chase, over a seemingly-inadequate 2 miles 6½ furlongs, on his chasing debut at Newbury over Christmas. That form, alone, wouldn’t be good enough, but Dickie Diver retains immeasurable potential after just four start under National Hunt Rules.
Minella Times (12/1), also owned by J.P. McManus, but trained by Henry De Bromhead, has raced just twice at, or beyond, 3 miles over regulation fences, without success. However, his style of racing suggests not only that an extra quarter-of-a-mile is well within his compass, but also that he may improve for a further step in distance. He already boasts high-class handicap form so, if he does, he looks only to take very seriously indeed.
Longhouse Poet (14/1) beat Run Wild Fred by 1½ lengths, at level weights, in a beginners’ chase at Punchestown on New Year’s Eve and, on marginally better terms, is understandably well fancied to confirm that form. Indeed, Martin Brassil’s 7-year-old appeared to show improved form when stepped up to 3 miles 1 furlong on that occasion, so may be capable of better yet as an out-and-out staying chaser after just four starts over regulation fences.
At longer odds, Jersey Bean has already won twice this season, including over 3 miles 2 furlongs, and although only third, over 3 miles, at Doncaster last time, looked in need of a stiffer test of stamina. That he certainly has here and, while he was raised 10lb in the weights for winning at Exeter on his penultimate start, trainer Oliver Sherwood said beforehand that he believed he had ‘a bit to play with off his current mark.’ He’ll probably need a career-best to win here, but he has plenty going for him and looks to have bright prospects.
Kim Muir (5.30pm Day 3) Tips
The Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup is a typically impenetrable Festival handicap but, as a sporting wager, we’re putting up Jersey Bean, in the hope that Oliver Sherwood can saddle his first Cheltenham Festival winner for many a year!
Each-way bet: Jersey Bean (20/1 with Unibet)
Kim Muir Trends
- Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged between 7 and 9.
- Price – 2 of the last 12 winners have been favourites, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting.
- Weights – 11/12 winners weighed 11st 1lb or higher.
- Last Run – 1 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Kim Muir Challenge Cup, 11/12 winners had their last run within the last 76 days.
- Previous Course Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous Cheltenham run, 3/12 had 1 previous Cheltenham win.
- Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 24-26 furlongs, 5/12 winners had at least 1 win over 24-26 furlongs.
- Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles.
- Previous Chase Form – 11/12 winners had at least 6 previous chase runs, 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win.
- Rating – 11/12 winners were rated 137 or higher.
- Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs that season, 3/12 winners had at least 1 win that season.
Kim Muir Recent Winners
|2009||Character Building||J J Codd||John Quinn|
|2010||Ballabriggs||R O Harding||Donald McCain|
|2011||Junior||J J Codd||David Pipe|
|2012||Sunnyhillboy||A J Berry||Jonjo O’Neill|
|2013||Same Difference||Ryan Hatch||Nigel Twiston-Davies|
|2014||Spring Heeled||Robbie McNamara||J H Culloty|
|2015||The Package||J J Codd||David Pipe|
|2016||Cause of Causes||J J Codd||Gordon Elliott|
|2017||Domesday Book||Miss G Andrews||Stuart Edmunds|
|2018||Missed Approach||N McParlan||Warren Greatrex|
|2019||Any Second Now||Derek O’Connor||Ted Walsh|
|2020||Milan Native||R James||Gordon Elliott|
Kim Muir Result 2020
1st – Milan Native (9/1)
2nd – Kilfilm Cross (8/1)
3rd – Bob Mahler (16/1)
4th – Plan of Attack (10/1)
Cheltenham Day 3 Tips
|1.20pm||Marsh Novices' Hurdle||10/11|
|1.55pm||Pertemps Network Final||10/1|
|3.40pm||Brown Advisory Plate||25/1|
|4.15pm||Mares' Novices Hurdle||33/1|
|4.50pm||Kim Muir Handicap||20/1|