Marsh Novices’ Chase Tips 2021 – Trends, Odds, Preview and Betting Tip (Day 3 1.20pm)
The Grade One Marsh Novices’ Chase was only added to the Cheltenham Festival programme as recently as 2011 but, in ten runnings, has been won by Irish-trained horses on eight occasions.
Run over the intermediate distance of 2 miles, 3 furlongs and 168 yards on the New Course, the Marsh Novices’ Chase is seen, by many observers, as an ideal stepping stone for Envoi Allen, who was, according to trainer Gordon Elliott, ‘bought to be a Gold Cup horse’.
Marsh Novices’ Chase Betting Tips
The opener on day 3 is the Marsh Novices Chase ran over the intermediate trip of 2m4f. The star that is Envoi Allen heads the market and rightfully so. He has two festival wins to his name already, he’s unbeaten in 11 career starts under rules and has looked a natural over the larger obstacles winning all three starts.
However, there is no value in his price so I’m happy to play one each way here. The one for me is FUSIL RAFFLES EW (18/1 with William Hill). Fusil Raffles has won 3 from his 4 Chase starts and the ground would have been far too soft for him on the occasion he didn’t win. He stepped up to 2m4f to win his last start here at Cheltenham which proves the trip would be no issue. The drying ground is key to him and he has a lot more pace than most of his rivals. If he can stay close to Envoi Allen, he can track him and I wouldn’t be surprised if he does him for pace up the home straight. Good each way bet if the rain doesn’t come.
EACH-WAY BET – FUSIL RAFFLES EW (18/1 with William Hill)
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Marsh Novices’ Chase Trends
Age – 9 of the last 10 winners were aged 6 or 7.
Price – 4 of the last 10 winners were favourites/joint-favourites, 8/10 winners were in the top 3 in the betting.
Last Run – 7 of the last 10 winners won on their last run before the Marsh Novices Chase, 8/10 winners ran in the last 54 days.
Previous Course Form – 10/10 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 6/10 had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham.
Previous Distance Form – 9/10 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 8/10 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs.
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/10 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 8/10 winners had at least 3 wins over hurdles.
Previous Chase Form – 9/10 winners had at least 3 previous chase runs, 8/10 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins.
Rating – 9/10 winners were rated 146 or higher.
Graded Wins – 8/10 winners had at least 1 win in a grade 1 or 2 race.
Season Form – 10/10 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 8/10 winners had at least 2 wins that season.
Marsh Novices Chase Recent Winners
|2011||Noble Prince||A P McCoy||Paul Nolan|
|2012||Sir Des Champs||Davy Russell||Willie Mullins|
|2013||Benefficient||Bryan Cooper||A J Martin|
|2014||Taquin Du Seuil||A P McCoy||Jonjo O’Neill|
|2015||Vautour||Ruby Walsh||Willie Mullins|
|2016||Black Hercules||Ruby Walsh||Willie Mullins|
|2017||Yorkhill||Ruby Walsh||Willie Mullins|
|2018||Shattered Love||Jack Kennedy||Gordon Elliott|
|2019||Defi Du Seuil||Barry Geraghty||Philip Hobbs|
|2020||Samcro||Davy Russell||Gordon Elliott|
Marsh Novices’ Chase 2020 Result
1st – Samcro (4/1)
2nd – Melon (14/1)
3rd – Faugheen (3/1)
4th – Mister Fisher (7/1)