Ryanair Chase Betting Tips 2021 – Melon can finally gethis head in front at Cheltenham
The Ryanair Chase comes on Day 3 of the Cheltenham Festival and it is a Grade 1 contest over 2m4f ran on the New Course. It looks set to be one of the most open rules races of the Festival this year with three horses all available at 6/1.
We have seen some great winners in recent times including the fan favourite Un De Sceaux jumping like a stag on his way to victory in 2017 to the emotional scenes in 2019 when Frodon went on to win under Bryony Frost.
This year’s contest is wide open and looks set to be one of the best races of the whole week.
Ryanair Chase Preview
This race has been won by some wonderful horses in recent seasons including Cue Card, the late Vautour and Alberta’s Run. The likes of Frodon, Min and A Plus Tard all lined up in the 2020 renewal which was won by Min.
The Irish came for Min and he was a well backed winner at odds of 2/1, and is likely to return to defend his crown in 2021. This is currently a wide open race with Min the 6/1 favourite.
You can see the fancied runners below and the latest Ryanair Chase betting tips.
Ryanair Chase Main Contenders
- Saint Calvados
- Imperial Aura
Min is the right favourite for the race given he won the race last year where he beat Saint Calvados by a neck with Gold Cup contender A Plus Tard back in third.
He has since returned to action at Punchestown at the start of December winning the Grade 1 John Durkan Chase by 1l jumping well and looking as well as ever. He has strong consistent form and is a worthy market leader.
It looks like they have finally got to the bottom of Allaho, which seems to be making the most of his jumping in a strong run 2m4f/2m5f. Having made a poor comeback in the John Durkan in the fog, Allaho went on to finish an honourable fourth in the Savills Chase at Christmas.
The Mullins camp were underwhelmed by that effort though, and the Kinloch Brae at Thurles was a hail mary, it was now or never. Luckily for those involved with the horse, it was now. He put in a big effort to beat Elimay, who has a wonderful chance in the Mares Chase, with the two a long, long way clear of fair standard-bearers in Annamix and Balko Des Flos. His jumping was clean and precise and found a fair bit for pressure when it was required, winning snugly at the line. Paul Townend suggested that he might still come on for that run, which is a good sign for his backers also.
Saint Calvados who was second in the 2020 race was an eye-catcher in the King George where he travelled really well but didn’t get home over the 3m distance. He will be trained with this race in mind but the price has gone from a punting perspective.
Imperial Aura started the season with two good wins at Carlisle and Ascot. However, he fell last time out at Kempton and I would want to see him again prior to the Ryanair Chase to ensure that fall hasn’t knocked his confidence.
Melon has a fine Cheltenham Festival record. He has been second in four Cheltenham Festival races including twice in the Champion Hurdle. He was so unlucky last year in the Marsh Novices Hurdle where he was touched off by a nose behind Samcro.
He often tends to need his first run of the season but he ran a decent seasonal debut behind Min where he finished third beaten 7l. He then stepped up to 3m over Christmas for the Savills Chase and he travelled beautifully, jumping like a stag from the front to finish third. His performance at the Dublin Racing Festival probably wasn’t as bad as the fifth place finish suggests and he does seem to save his best for Cheltenham.
Ryanair Chase Betting Tips
The one I like is MELON. He was just outstayed in the Savills Chase and with connections having defending champion Al Boum Photo for the Gold Cup, I’m pretty certain Melon will head here.
Melon relishes the Spring ground and with the Cheltenham Festival form in the book, I think he’s a cracking bet at the double figured price that is available.
WIN BET – Melon: 6/1 with bet365.
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Ryanair Chase Trends
- Age – 11 of the last 12 winners have been ages 7-9
- Price – 4 of the last 12 favorites/joint favorites have won, 10/12 winners have been in the top 3 in the betting
- Last Run – 4 of the last 12 winners won on their previous run before Ryanair Chase, 11/12 winners ran within the last 77 days
- 4/12 winners ran in the King George VI Chase (Kempton) on their last run, 0 of the 4 won, 1 placed
- 3/12 winners ran in the Ascot Chase (Ascot) on their last run, 2 of the 3 won, 1 placed
- Previous Course Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs at Cheltenham, 9/12 winners have had a previous win at Cheltenham
- Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 10/12 winners had at least 2 wins over 19-21 furlongs
- Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles, 9/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
- Previous Chase Form – 10/12 winners had at least 7 chase runs, 10/12 winners had at least 4 chase wins
- Rating – 11/12 winners were rated 161 or higher
- Graded Wins – 11/12 winners had at least 1 win in a grade 1-3 race, 9/12 winners had at least 1 win in a grade 1 race
- Season Form – 8/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Ryanair Chase Past Winners
|2009||Imperial Commander||Paddy Brennan||Nigel Twiston-Davies|
|2010||Albertas Run||Jonjo O’Neill||A P McCoy|
|2011||Albertas Run||Jonjo O’Neill||A P McCoy|
|2012||Riverside Theatre||Barry Geraghty||Nicky Henderson|
|2013||Cue Card||Joe Tizzard||Colin Tizzard|
|2014||Dynaste||Tom Scudamore||David Pipe|
|2015||Uxizandre||A P McCoy||Alan King|
|2016||Vautour||Ruby Walsh||Willie Mullins|
|2017||Un De Sceaux||Ruby Walsh||Willie Mullins|
|2018||Balko Des Flos||Davy Russell||Henry De Bromhead|
|2019||Frodon||Bryony Frost||Paul Nicholls|
|2020||Min||Paul Townend||Willie Mullins|
Ryanair 2020 Result
1st – Min (2/1)
2nd – Saint Calvados (16/1)
3rd – A Plus Tard (7/4)
4th – Frodon (11/2)