County Hurdle Tips 2024 – 7/1 Betting Tip for the Day 4 Race

Cheltenham Ryanair Chase tips

Our 2024 County Hurdle tips come from Ciaran Murphy in the race run just over two miles with eight hurdles and can be a stepping stone on to the Champion Hurdle.

 

County Hurdle Betting Tip

10 Year Trends

  • 7 of 10 winners were aged 5 or 6 (Average Age 6.33)
  • Average Winner Rating: 140
  • 8 of last 9 winners have been trained by Dan Skelton (4) or Willie Mullins (4)

Given their recent record in the race, we must respect the chances of Willie Mullins and Dan Skelton. The latter saddles defending champion Favoir who gets in off just a 2-pound higher mark, although at 9, may be vulnerable to a younger improver. Willie has a few lively chances, the best of which might be Biakystock who was brought down when traveling well and well-backed at the DRF. However, I think Gordon Elliot has the strongest hand in this year’s race, firstly with Pied Piper who carried 11st 13 and a substandard Davy Russell to second place in last year’s renewal. With Danny Gillian likely to take off 5 pounds, he would effectively be running off a 4-pound lower mark in this year’s contest and would be very dangerous. However, I have long held the belief that KING OF KINGSFIELD (7/1) is tailor-made for the strong pace of a County Hurdle.

Verging on Supreme class, I think the handicapper has made up Gordon’s mind for him by leaving his Irish mark of 140 unchanged. A highly thought-of Bumper horse last year, he was a NR at Cheltenham before being placed behind A Dream to Share and Tullyhill in the Grade 1 Punchestown Flat Race. He has Grade 1 placed form on 2 of his last 3 starts, sandwiching an impressive Christmas win over the well-touted brother of Ferny Hollow, Mirazur West. With Jack Kennedy likely to be in the saddle, I can see him scything through the field and finishing off best of all coming up the Cheltenham hill. 

KING OF KINGSFIELD (7/1 with Betfred)

 

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County Hurdle Trends

  • Age – 9 of the last 12 winners have been aged 5 or 6.
  • Price – 1 of the last 12 winners have been favourites/joint favourites, 3/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting.
  • Weight – 9/12 winners weighed 11st 1lb or less.
  • Last Run – 3/12 winners won on their last run before the County Hurdle, 8/12 winners ran within the last 72 days.
  • Previous Course Form – 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 1/12 winners had a previous win at Cheltenham.
  • Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win over 15-17 furlongs.
  • Previous Hurdle Form – 9/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles.
  • Rating – 12/12 winners were rated 134 or higher.
  • Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 8/12 winners had at least 1 win that season.

 

Cheltenham Festival Day 4 Tips

The last day of the 2024 Cheltenham Festival includes the Gold Cup on Friday 15th March 2024.

RaceTipBet
1.30pm - Triumph HurdleMajborough9/2
2.10pm - County HurdleKing of Kingsfield 5/1
So Scottish (ew)14/1
2.50pm - Albert Bartlett Novices' HurdleGidleigh Park7/1
3.30pm - Cheltenham Gold CupGalopin Des Champs11/10
4.10pm - Festival Challenge Cup Hunters ChaseIt's on the Line9/4
Premier Magic13/2
4.50pm - Paddy Power Mares ChaseRiviere D’Etel (each-way)20/1
5.30pm - Martin Pipe HurdleBetter Days Ahead10/1