It’s the sixth round of the FA Cup this weekend (when did it stop being the Quarter Finals?) and Everton will be looking to build on their formidable home form and progress to a semi final against either (hopefully) Millwall or Blackburn.
Everton are the clear favourites at a best price of 5/11 with Bwin, whereas Wigan can be backed at a rather confusing 126/17 with Pinnacle (it’s around 15/2, FYI…) the draw is available at 37/10, again with Pinnacle.
It’s a sign of the times when people look on cup runs as a distraction as opposed to a benefit. I mean realistically, are either sets of supporters really going to see any sort of ‘proper’ silverware in their lifetime other than the League or FA Cup? And yet some people still seem to suggest, one match away from booking a semi-final trip to Wembley, that this cup run is a ‘distraction’ and that they should field weaker teams. As someone once wryly observed, you can’t really have an open top bus parade for finishing 5th in the league…
Everton come into this game the stronger and more confident, boasting one of the best home records in the league, with a solitary defeat. They have come out the other end of a bad run of no wins in four with back to back home 3-1 wins. Wigan, as always, appear to be waiting for mid March to start playing games, and then somehow defying all expectation to avoid relegation. Wigan got demolished by Liverpool last time out, although have won three away FA Cup games on the bounce to get to the Quarter Finals.
Everything about this game points to an Everton win, but both teams scoring in the process, so let’s look at the various permutations involving this. Both teams to score is available at a very generous 10/11 with BetVictor, which, when you consider that Everton have not kept a clean sheet in eight games, looks generous. Everton to win with both teams scoring is currently available at 9/4 with Ladbrokes, and this looks like the standout bet of the tie. Seeing as Everton have won both of their last home games 3-1, and two goals is probably the difference between these two teams, lets opt for that, at a best price of 12/1, again with BetVictor.
In terms of who is going to score the goals, for Wigan you can’t look beyond Arona Kone, who scored in both league games for Wigan against Everton. My recommendation is to back Fellaini anytime however – Wigan are vulnerable from set pieces, and we’re all aware of Fellaini’s height and ability in the box. The big haired Belgian is 6/4 to score anytime with Sporting Bet.
Both Teams to score @ 10/11 (Bet Victor)
Fellaini to score anytime @ 6/4 (Sporting Bet)
Everton win with BTTS @ 9/4 (Ladbrokes)
Correct score 3-1 @ 12/1 (Bet Victor)
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