The FA Cup Final, once the centrepiece of the Footballing calendar, and the ‘oldest and most prestigious domestic cup competition in the world’, now reduced to an inconvenience participated by the two teams who failed to get themselves eliminated along the way.
Man City are the overwhelming favourites at a best price of 4/11 with Ladbrokes, whereas Wigan can be backed as high as 19/2 with Bet Victor. A draw at 90 minutes is available at 22/5, again with BetVictor.
READ MORE: See our 2019 FA Cup final betting tips and predictions for Man City vs Watford.
As it’s the FA Cup Final there are obviously a whole host of offers available, the best ones are from Bet Victor and Ladbrokes, who will both offer refunds on the usual markets if Wigan somehow win.
It’s a shame to see Dave Whelan, Wigan’s Owner and rent-a-soundbite Chairman so candid when interviewed this week about whether he’d prefer to win the Cup or Stay up, and he picked staying up without even a hesitation. After all, isn’t, as Danny Blanchflower once famously said, the game about glory? When are Wigan ever going to get another chance to go Wembley, to compete for one of the three trophies available to them? You can’t have an open top bus parade for finishing 17th in the league, can you?
Both Teams have had fairly easy routes to the final, with Chelsea being the only stiff opposition for Man City, and Everton the only Premier League opponents for Wigan. In fact, Wigan’s route to the final included Bournemouth (twice!) Macclesfield, Huddersfield, Everton and Millwall. Demba Ba’s goal for Chelsea in the Semi Final was the only goal that City conceded on the way to the final in a route which saw routine wins against Watford, Stoke, Leeds and Barnsley.
Look, we all know that Man City are going to lift the trophy, and no talking about Wigan’s usual end of season form, every dog has his day and that anything can happen on the Wembley pitch is going to convince me otherwise. A straight 4/11 will appeal for the bigger betters, but for those of us on more modest budgets there is some value to be had elsewhere. Wigan have not scored a goal against Man City in any of their last seven meetings with Man City, naturally losing all seven of them. Man City have won 10 of their last 11 FA Cup games, with nine clean sheets in those games. A Man City win to nil at 11/8 with 888sports therefore definitely appeals, and is my NAP for the FA Cup final. As a backup, I would recommend backing Man City with a -1 goal handicap at evens with Ladbrokes. Man City are good for at least a few goals, and it covers the event that Man City switch off when 3-0 up and cruising.
In terms of the player betting, Tevez is the standout candidate to open the scoring at Wembley – he’s scored five already in the FA Cup this season, and has scored seven goals in his 12 appearances against Wigan. He’s 4/1 generally to open the scoring, and that includes Ladbrokes, who offer the Wigan win cashback offer – you mind as well get some sort of insurance, even if it’s not necessary!
Finally, for a longer odds correct score opportunity, despite the majority of the FA Cup finals being low scoring (there’s only been nine goals total in the last five finals, including three 1-0’s) I think that Man City will probably open up the taps a little bit and ease to victory here. A 3-0 scorelin is available at 17/2, which, when you consider that a 2-0 scoreline is only around 11/2, represents pretty good value indeed for a side with the firepower at Man City’s dispoal.
Man City to win to nil @ 11/8 (William Hill)
Man City to win with a -1 handicap @ Evens (Ladbrokes)
Tevez to score first @ 4/1 (Ladbrokes)
Correct Score 3-0 @ 17/2 (Bet Victor)
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