Derby County vs Leicester City predictions and betting tips for their FA Cup fixture on Friday 26th January at 7:55pm. Are the Rams capable of progressing against the Premier League champions?
Leicester have only won one away game all campaign in England this season, however that away win came against Everton in the FA Cup. They face a Derby side who have been very impressive under the returning Steve McClaren. The Rams are unbeaten in their last nine home matches and have won seven in the process. Before last weekend when they shipped in two to Reading, Derby had kept eight consecutive clean sheets on home turf.
Leicester’s last match was a dismal 3-0 defeat away at Southampton. Will the Foxes continue their awful away record this season, or are they capable of piecing together a Cup run?
The Foxes have lost eight of their 12 of away matches this season, and although they are in the league below, Derby County will be relishing the challenge to face the Premier League champions. Derby couldn’t have picked a better time to face the Foxes. The Rams secured an excellent three points over the high-flying Reading last time out, and after their win over West Brom in the 3rd round, a side who sit 8th in the Premier League, they will certainly fancy their chances against Claudio Ranieri’s side. If Derby were to progress, it wouldn’t be seen as a huge upset seeing as the way Leicester’s season is going, but I do think the Rams will come out on top. Valued at 7/4 with Betfred, my first Derby vs Leicester betting tip for this fixture is going to be for Derby to win.
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Leicester have only kept two away clean sheet all season, and they came against FC Copenhagen and Middlesbrough. The Foxes have shipped in 16 goals in their last eight matches, which underlines their defensive concerns. Meanwhile for Derby, even though managed eight consecutive home clean sheets, last time out they conceded two against Reading and now they prepare to face a Premier League side who are capable of scoring goals, emphasised by the fact they netted twice at Goodison Park in the 3rd round. With Jamie Vardy expected to lead the line for Ranieri’s side, it is likely that the Derby defence will become exposed throughout the match and ultimately, I can see Leicester getting on the scoresheet. My second Derby vs Leicester prediction is for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals which is valued at 31/20 with Coral.
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Darren Bent has a big influence on this Derby side, as in the last three games where the Englishman has netted, the Rams have gone on to win the match. Bent scored in Derby’s latest victory over Reading, and before that, his brilliant equaliser against West Brom helped Derby on their way to the 4th round. Darren Bent is valued at 21/10 to score anytime with Bet365, and I feel that is great value due to the defensive vulnerabilities Leicester have shown this season and that’s out third and final FA Cup betting tip for Derby vs Leicester.
Following Derby’s excellent win over West Brom last time out in the FA Cup, it is unlikely that Steve McClaren will make wholesale changes to that side they host the Premier League champions on Friday. However, Cyrus Christie, James Wilson and Matej Vydra are all expected to miss out for the Rams.
Meanwhile for Leicester, Algeria couldn’t make it out the group stages at the African Cup of Nations, meaning Islam Slimani and Riyad Mahrez could feature. Claudio Ranieri sees the FA Cup as a potential “morale-booster” for his side, so the Italian is likely to field a strong side on Friday evening.
The Rams haven’t had too much luck against Leicester in recent years. The Foxes have defeated Derby seven times out of a possible eight, with their most recent win being back in 2014 when they were promoted to the Premier League. David Nugent scored a brace in Leicester’s 4-1 victory then, however, having signed for Derby, the striker may feature against his old side tomorrow.
The odds from the bookies suggest how evenly contested this match is on paper. The Rams are best valued at 7/4 to knock out another Premier League side, while Leicester are around 13/8 to pick up their second away win of the season. If you feel as though a replay is on the cards, the draw is valued at around 9/4. If you fancy a different market, Steve McClaren’s side knocked West Brom out of the FA Cup following a 2-1 victory, and on Friday that is valued at 10/1 with BetStars.
Derby to win – 7/4 with Betfred.
Darren Bent to score anytime – 21/20 with Bet365.
BTTS and Over 2.5 goals – 31/20 with Coral.
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