Newport County vs Manchester City predictions, betting tips and preview for the FA Cup fixture on Saturday 16th February. The Exiles’ reward for seeing off Middlesbrough in the previous round was a glamour tie at home to Premier League champions Manchester City.
Fans of the plucky Welsh club will certainly be looking forward to Saturday evening’s fixture but even Newport’s most ardent fan would have to concede that the likelihood of them reaching the sixth round of the competition is extremely slim. See our predictions and betting tips below.
Manchester City absolutely hammered Burton Albion in the League Cup semi-finals last month in a result that resounded around the continent for its sheer one-sidedness. And Newport fans will be hoping lightning doesn’t strike twice here even though there would be absolutely no shame in it if it did. Frankly, City are arguably the country’s best resourced football club and should be breezing into the next round even if they are playing on unfamiliar territory. I can see Pep’s men dishing out another larruping on Saturday evening, to the tune of several goals to nil. For that reason, I’m highly tempted by the 13/10 available on the visitors winning by four goals or more – particularly after what happened to Burton a few weeks ago.
Sergio Aguero bagged a record-equalling eleventh Premier League hat-trick against Chelsea at the weekend to further reinforce a broadening notion that the Argentinian is one of the greatest players ever seen on these shores. It is, however, fellow South American Gabriel Jesus who tends to be preferred in the domestic cups – and I see no reason why that will change with the trip to Wales on the horizon. The Brazilian sensation has bagged seven goals in as many games in the FA and Carabao Cup this season and will surely add to that tally should he have a starting berth here. Given the opposition, there’s not much value in Jesus to score anytime but with 6/4 available on him to score two or more I’ll have to invest.
Newport are around the 30/1 mark to cause arguably the greatest FA Cup upset of all time and see off City inside the 90 minutes at Rodney Parade. Those odds are reflective of the magnitude of the task ahead and would probably have to be far longer to attract the average punter. Try as I might, I just can’t see County going any further in the competition although that’s certainly not to besmirch their achievement in reaching this far.
There are very few teams who can live with Manchester City when they’re at the peak of their powers, and even fewer still in League Two. One or two neutrals may expect Newport’s packed stadium and lower league pitch to act as a bit of a leveller but it will surely take a lot more than that to unsettle a City side packed to the rafters with fully fledged internationals. With that in mind, and the knowledge that Guardiola will almost certainly select a very strong line-up, I’d have to plump instead for a heavy away victory. A 0-4 or 0-5 score line ought to be in the right ballpark.
Manchester City to win -3 – 13/10 with Betfred.
Gabriel Jesus to score 2 or more – 6/4 with Bet Victor.
Open a new account with either or both bookies below and you’ll get a £10 free bet from SportNation, and a £5 free bet from EnergyBet – NO DEPOSIT NEEDED!