Leeds vs Derby predictions and betting tips for this crucial second leg of the Championship play-off semi-finals on Wednesday 15th May. Leeds take a narrow, but potentially decisive lead into this second leg at Elland Road, and there is likely to be a wall of noise behind them as they take to the field in West Yorkshire.
Aston Villa await the winners of this match in the Championship play-off final at Wembley, on Monday 27th May.
Leeds finished nine points ahead of Derby in the Championship
The Whites have won each of their last three meetings with Derby
Derby have kept just three clean sheets on their travels this season
Kick Off Time: 19:45pm
Date: Wednesday 15th May, 2019
Venue: Elland Road
Although just a single goal separated the two sides in the first leg, it was a deserved victory for Leeds, and Marcelo Bielsa’s side answered their critics with a tremendous performance in the East Midlands.
The Argentinian out-thought his opponent, with Derby struggling to create chances throughout the game. The Rams have plenty of work to do here, but their away form is a huge concern. Lampard’s men won just seven times on the road this season, with just one of those victories arriving in 2019 (vs Bristol C)
The Rams may still be smarting, and they could potentially use the overturned penalty decision as motivation for this second leg. However, I think Leeds have their number, and having already beaten them at this ground in January, they will fancy their chances of maintainingtheir recent dominance over this opposition.
Aside from the well-documented slip-up against Wigan Athletic, Leeds’ home form has been fairly strong, and only five sides have won at Elland Road this season, including the top two.
The crowd always play a significant part at Elland Road, and following their sides 1-0 win at Pride Park, they are likely to get behind their side for the entire 90 minutes. Leeds need their creator-in-chief Pablo Hernandez to turn up, and perform here, but he should be able to play a significant role once again.
Managerial experience is likely to be the deciding factor here, as it often is in the play-offs. Frank Lampard has definitely improved over the course of the season, but Bielsa has years of experience, across a number of leagues, and he is likely to have a little extra tactical nous.
Leeds should have too much for Derby, and the Whites are expected to book their place at Wembley Stadium on Bank Holiday Monday.
There are a number of Leeds players who could potentially find the back of the net in this game, especially with Kemar Roofe back amongst the goals on Saturday teatime.
Mateusz Klich has scored some fairly important goals this season, and he also found the net against Derby during his side’s 4-1 victory at the beginning of the campaign. The Pole didn’t feature in the fixture at Elland Road in January, but he is always a threat, and Derby could struggle to keep tabs on him.
He potentially could have been sent off in the first leg, and he’ll be determined to make the right kind of headlines this time around.
He netted in each of Leeds’ last two fixtures of the regular season (albeit one on controversial circumstances), and he looks a tempting price to continue his decent form here.
Matieusz Klich is priced at 9/2 with William Hill to score anytime in this fixture, and customers who wish to bet on this game can get a £30 free bet to back an anytime goalscorer in this second leg.
It’s a very simple philosophy, but second-legs are always more open affairs, especially when the visitors are a goal down. Derby need to go for it, and Frank Lampard must announce an attacking XI for this game.
Leeds will be hoping to grab an early goal, and make it a fairly comfortable night for the fans inside Elland Road, but the Rams do have quality in their ranks.
It ended 2-0 earlier this campaign, but the three previous fixtures were very high-scoring affairs.
Both sides are capable of creating chances, and each team will be desperately hoping to extend their season here.
There wasn’t much between the sides in the first leg, but there is no point in Derby sitting back, and that should make this game a very entertaining watch.
Leeds Win – 8/11
Draw – 15/4
Derby Win – 13/5
Odds from Bet365