Cancel whatever you're doing on Sunday, and make sure you're watching Super Sunday, as Manchester City host Manchester United.
I'll lay it out on the table nice and early for you all, so you can decide whether to stop reading here or not – I'm opposing Man City, and recommending United here. I understand entirely if you want to ignore the next 300 words, and feel free to abuse me on twitter (@Andy_Hillman) Hopefully if you read on I can at least justify my selections though, even if you don't agree with them!
Man City come into this game in shaky form at best. They have just crashed out of the Champions League in bottom place, failing to win a single game in the group stages. They've only won one of their last five games in all competitions, and draw three of the last six in the league – they may be unbeaten, but they are certainly playing well within themselves at the moment. They have only scored five goals in their last five games. They are currently second in the league, trailling United by three points. United qualified for the Champions League knockout stages at such a canter that they could afford to rest the majority of their squad for this game. Ignoring the last two Champions League games where they essentially put out the stiffs for a run around, Man U have won 11 of their last 13 games in all competitions.
Look, I know that Man City have not lost at home in the league in almost exactly two years (vs Everton, 20th December 2010…), I also know that Man City won both league fixtures last season, and i’m acutely aware that however rubbish City may have been recently, they will raise their game for the derby, finally, i know that Man Utd are leaking goals like a sieve – three in the first half against Reading for Christ-sakes – But i just can’t shake the feeling that City have lost that air of invincibility they had last season, and they are eminently beatable – The only teams they have beat in the top half of the table this season are Spurs, West Brom and Swansea – and as well as they’ve played, it’s safe to say that West Brom & Swansea are possibly punching about their weight somewhat.
So putting all of this together, i feel that 12/5 with BetVictor on a Man Utd win represents value, if nothing else, and is worth backing. What is also worth considering, is that both of these teams have a horrible knack of going behind in games – City have rescued 15 points from losing positions, whereas Man U have rescued a whopping 21 points from behind – they have been behind in 15 of their 23 games this season! For the traders among you, it might be worth laying whomever scores first, but you can get a massive 14/1 on Man Utd to win from behind with Boylesports, and even if you don’t agree with the outright win for United, it’s hard to argue that those odds represent value.
Bearing in mind i expect Man Utd to win from behind, i can’t go out and recommend a Man Utd player to score first, can I? What i am pretty certain of though, is that Van Persie will score in this game – he’s already got 15 this season, to confirm that he really does score when he wants. He’s a huge 15/8 to score anytime with Stan James.
Man Utd win @ 12/5 (BetVictor) sign up here get £25 free
Man Utd to win from behind @ 14/1 (Boylesport) sign up here get £20 free
Van Persie to score anytime @ 15/8 (Stan James) sign up here get £10 free
MONEY BACK SPECIAL: Betway are refunding losing bets on the Manchester Derby if there is a red card in the match. New Betway customers also get a risk free £50 bet as long as you sign up using our link below.
To get your risk free £50 bet:
2. Open a new account for free
3. Place a bet up to £50
4. If you lose, you will get the stake refunded