Oldham host Everton in the FA Cup in an attempt to do the double over the two Liverpool clubs after they knocked Liverpool out in the 4th round.
Boundary Park will be rocking come 6pm on Saturday afternoon in what will be their biggest game since, well since the 4th round. In what has been a difficult season for the Latics, the FA Cup has given the Oldham faithful some much needed relief from the troubles of the League One campaign. Can they defy the odds again and beat a Premier League opponent?
Oldham – 10/1 Betfred
Draw – 19/4 Bet365
Everton – 4/11 William Hill
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Oldham will have caretaker boss Tony Philliskirk in charge after Paul Dickov left the club 4th from bottom in the League 1. In their last 6 home games they have W2 & L4 with the two wins coming from their last two home games. 4 of the games have gone over 2.5 goals and the last two home wins have gone over 3.5 goals. Ladbrokes offer best price of 13/20 on over 2.5 goals which is a bit slim for me. Betway offer 33/20 for over 3.5 goals which looks good to me.
Hero of the last round Matt Smith who got two goals against Liverpool could make his return to the side after he got injured in that game and his return certainly would be a boost and would further back up the over 3.5 goal bet.
William Hill Specials:
MATT SMITH to score and Oldham to win – 10/1
FELLAINI to score and Everton to win – 6/4
Everton will be hoping that history doesn’t repeat itself as the last time they got knocked out of the cup by a third tier side was Oldham five years ago. Having said that, they have not lost an FA Cup match on an opponents' ground in seven years, since Chelsea beat them at Stamford Bridge in a fourth round replay in February 2006. Everton’s last 6 away game have gone W4 D1 L1, 4 of them games have gone over 2.5 goals. David Moyes' men have kept clean sheets in only three of their last 15 FA Cup matches and if Sylvain Distin doesn’t make it and the struggling Johnny Heitinga plays then BTTS is a real possibility, Evens with StanJames.
In conclusion, the fairytail ends for Oldaham today but an Everton win is not worth backing. Goals are where the value lies. Oldham’s last 3 games have gone over 1.5 first half goals and Everton’s last 4 have done the same. Get on it.
Over 1.5 first half goals – 6/4 Stan James
Over 3.5 goals – 33/20 Betway
Correct score 1-3 – 11/1 Bet Victor
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