San Marino host England on Friday in what should be to all intents and purposes an absolute stroll in the park for Hodgson’s men.
In the highly unlikely event that San Marino score, Blue Square will refund the usual bets from the usual markets.
So, San Marino come into this game in a bit of a downturn at the moment, narrowly losing their last 50 games in a row, with a goal difference of circa -200 for those 50 games, and scoring in just seven of them. This doesn’t tell the whole story though, as San Marino can consider themselves unlucky on a number of occasions, and there is every chance that their fortunes will change – you’re not buying any of this, are you?
I think we all know that San Marino are rubbish, joint 207th (and last) in the world, along with the Turks and Caicos Islands (near the Bahamas, since you asked…) and that this game is not about the result, but the performance. So the question is how on earth do you make money from this game? I’ve saved you the trouble of looking, an England win, England win to nil or England/England HT/FT are all 1/10 at best (and most considerably lower…), England to win by 4 or more goals is 4/11, which is the same price for Wayne Rooney to score anytime. Bet Victor has SEVEN players at odds on to score any time.
So where do we go from here? Reading some of the build up to this game, some commentators are talking about 8 or 9 goal thrashings – I genuinely don’t think this will happen, England rarely put teams to the sword the way that Holland or Germany do. England’s performances generally shrink or expand to the opposition they are facing, and I expect them to put in a functional, albeit turgid performance here. England to be 1-0 up at half time is 15/4 with Titan Bet, and I reckon that might be all that they muster before the second half where the superior fitness kicks in. You have to go all the way up to 5.5 before the overs/unders approaches evens, I would recommend that instead of entering that market, you just dutch a couple of scores instead. I’m going for 5-0, at 11/2 with William Hill.
Whomever you pick for first goalscorer, make sure you check the team news as we don't have much clue about who is actually going to start for England. On the proviso he starts, Lampard at 7/2 looks pretty good value for a first goal scorer.
San Marino vs England Best Bets
HT score England 1-0 @ 15/4 (Titan Bet)
Correct score England 5-0 @ 11/2 (William Hill)
Lampard to score first @ 7/2 (Betfred)
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