Royal Ascot Day 4 Lucky 15 Tips on Friday 19th June
The Commonwealth Cup is the feature race of Day 4 at Royal Ascot with a competitive field assembled for the race and we’ve got our lucky 15 tips.
Two further Group contests and a decent handicap later on the card are also previewed for Lucky 15 purposes, and the main contenders for these races are discussed below with each contest televised on ITV.
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Friday’s Lucky 15 Tips
3.00pm – Anthony Van Dyck
3.35pm – Golden Horde
4.10pm – Berkshire Rocco
4.40pm – Durston
Hardwicke Stakes – 3.00 Ascot
This 1m4f Group 2 race will feature 2019 Epsom Derby winner Anthony Van Dyck who has failed to win in six outings since that success. However, he produced a promising effort when second in the recent Coronation Cup and could be fitter for this race.
The Aidan O’Brien trained horse will once again face Defoe after beating him by twelve lengths at Newmarket. There is no reason to suggest that the 6-year-old gelding can reverse form and Elarqam appeals as a more capable challenger.
His performance behind Lord North in the Group 3 Brigadier Gerard Stakes may be better than originally appeared and stamina issues will be the only doubt for a horse who is a Group 2 winner over 1m2f.
Fanny Logan may also come into contention for this race after winning five times last season, but a second-placed effort at Haydock last time raises concerns about her ability at this extended trip.
Tip – Anthony Van Dyck to win.
Commonwealth Cup – 3.35 Ascot
For this Group 1 contest staged over 6f, Pierre Lapin will attempt to stay unbeaten in three races and his performance when winning the Mill Reef Stakes back in September suggests he could improve even further.
The opposition will include the Aidan O’Brien trained Lope Y Fernandez who was twice beaten by Pinatubo last season and then finished third in the Irish 2,000 Guineas. He is a fairly consistent horse but may just lack the quality to win at this level.
Racing at this level may not be a problem for Golden Horde who won the Group 2 Richmond Stakes at Goodwood last season and narrowly failed to claim the Middle Park Stakes. Wesley Ward trained Kimari should also not be overlooked after winning three of five races in the USA and this trip may be suitable.
Among the outsiders, Mums Tipple was engaged to race on Saturday and reverts to 6f after finishing last in the 2,000 Guineas. He won by eleven lengths at York last season before failing in the Middle Park, although he wasn’t too far behind Golden Horde.
Tip – Golden Horde to Win.
Queen’s Vase – 4.10 Ascot
Staged over 1m6f, this Group 2 contest has attracted the Aidan O’Brien trained Santiago who finished second in both opening races last term before winning comfortably at Listowel on his final appearance. A son of Authorized, he may prove better as a 3-year-old.
He will be opposed by Berkshire Rocco from the in-form Andrew Balding yard. After a consistent 2-year-old campaign, the mount of Oisin Murphy finished second behind the impressive English King at Lingfield but was well clear of the remainder and may appreciate this extra distance.
There is also a case for Al Dabaran who raced with merit in Group 3 company towards the end of last season while Born With Pride did not have the pace to challenge in a decent renewal of the Unibet Classic Trial at Kempton. Competing over this trip could be more suitable.
Stamina issues should not be a problem for On Guard who won at Yarmouth on his seasonal reappearance and was staying on strongly towards the end of that near 1m4f event.
Tip – Berkshire Rocco to Win
Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes (Handicap) – 4.40 Ascot
Nineteen runners have been declared for this Class 2 1m4f handicap and the Mark Johnston trained West End Charmer will be offered another opportunity to prove that he can win beyond ten furlongs. He was a good winner on his seasonal debut at Newmarket and won his final race of last season over the same 1m2f trip, but he has failed to secure a first-three-placing in two other races over further.
In-form jockey Jim Crowley is expected to provide a challenge when riding Durston, a horse with proven stamina and a winner of two Class 2 handicaps last season at Chester and Doncaster. He was not disgraced when third in the Geoffrey Freer Stakes later last term.
It would also be unwise to ignore the Gosden/Dettori combination represented by joint top-weight El Misk. A winner twice over this distance last season including a Class 2 event at Kempton, he developed into a very consistent 3-year-old while Universal Order is weighted to finish with El Misk and won at Meydan earlier this year.
Tip – Durston to Win
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