Glorious Goodwood Day 3 Lucky 15 Tips – Thursday 30th July
The highlight of Day 3 at Goodwood will be Deirdre attempting to win the Nassau Stakes for the second successive season and that race features in our lucky 15 tip.
She will face strong opposition and that race is supported by two earlier Group races. A decent Nursey race is also included on the card and the main four contenders for all four races are analysed with each contest televised on ITV.
Goodwood Lucky 15 Day 3 Tip
2.15 – Yazaman
2.45 – English King
3.15 – Nazeef
3.45 – William Bligh
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Qatar Richmond Stakes – 2.15 Goodwood
For this 6f Group 2 race for 2-year-olds, Aidan O’Brien will hope that Admiral Nelson will be more involved than his disappointing effort in the Coventry Stakes. He had earlier won a 5f Curragh maiden and may be better than the Ascot form suggests.
Qaader was second in that race after winning impressively on his racecourse debut at Newbury. However, a fourth-place finish in the July Stakes was a setback and he has much to find with Yazaman who was second in that contest.
The William Haggas trained colt has twice been beaten by Tactical and by the same one-length margin, but he had comfortably won his opening race in a small-runner field.
Connections of Supremacy may also be confident of a bold showing in this race after he won a low-key Windsor maiden earlier this month but he will need significant improvement for this far tougher event. That may not be the case for Gussy Mac who recently won a Sandown Listed event over 5f and the easier finish of this race may suit.
Tip – Yazaman to win.
John Pearce Racing Gordon Stakes – 2.45 Goodwood
After failing to justify a decent reputation in the Epsom Derby, English King returns to action in this 1m4f Group 3 contest. The Ed Walker trained colt could only finish fifth in that strange classic but had earlier won the Lingfield Trial in good style. He may just not have handled the Epsom gradients.
Mogul finished just behind English King in that race and could also have been unsuited by the course, but he had disappointed in the King Edward VII and may not have improved that much over the Winter.
Newmarket specialist Al Aasy will be another contender after winning his last two races at that course. A Group 3 victory on his latest start was particularly noteworthy while Khalifa Sat was the closest horse to Serpentine at Epsom and started at 50/1.
A winner of a Derby trial on this course, he also won at Goodwood back in September and needs to be respected.
Tip – English King to Win.
Qatar Nassau Stakes – 3.15 Goodwood
For this 1m2f Group 1 contest, Japanese trained Deirdre will attempt to repeat her 2019 victory when she scored by just over one length from Mehdaayih. Unfortunately, the mare has not won in six subsequent outings although she has been campaigned at the highest level.
Fancy Blue could be a real danger to Deirdre after suffering just one defeat in four outings. Now trained by Donnacha O’Brien, she narrowly won the Prix De Diane in a bunch finish last time after finishing second in the Irish 1,000 Guineas. She appears to be suited by this distance.
Nazeef could also come into the reckoning after winning her last six races including the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes at Newmarket. She has become a difficult horse to beat while Magic Wand was fourth in the Eclipse and has won just twice in nearly two years.
Tip – Nazeef to Win.
Gusbourne Nursery Handicap – 3.45 Goodwood
William Bligh will carry top weight in this 7f Nursey and the 2-year-old has improved with each of his three races this term culminating in a three lengths victory at Haydock last time. He had previously been narrowly beaten by Master Of The Seas.
Among his opposition will be Running Back who has started as favourite in both of his races and finished second on both occasions. He just seems to lack that extra gear in the final furlong.
Calcutta Cup is another horse who has failed to win in two appearances to date and while beaten into fourth place last time, this easier finish may be more suitable. There is also a suggestion that Quarantini could improve for his third-placed effort at Newcastle recently where he was staying on at the finish of that 7f race.
Tip – William Bligh to Win.
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