Horse Racing Betting Tips for Newbury and Newcastle – 30/11/19
The Ladbrokes Trophy Chase is the highlight of this Saturday afternoon racing and the main contenders of that race and two other supporting events at Newbury are discussed in this preview.
Meanwhile at Newcastle, Buveur D’Air is expected to start a very short price to retain the Fighting Fifth Hurdle and the later Rehearsal Chase offers more of a betting opportunity. Most of the races are set to be televised on ITV racing.
Ladbrokes Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle – 12.05 Newbury
Mares from the Nicky Henderson and Paul Nicholls stables are set to dominate the betting for this 2m hurdle event. The former trainer will saddle Floressa who was only just beaten over course and distance by the Nicholls trained Silver Forever. Despite the defeat, the Henderson mare finished the stronger of the pair and could easily avenge that loss.
She was an easy winner of an earlier Worcester race while the winner at Newbury that day is unbeaten in two races over hurdles and won two of four bumper contests.
One contestant who could upset the two favourites is Early Morning Rain who was a comfortable winner at Fontwell earlier this month in her only start over hurdles. This race is a big step upwards in class but she could be an improving mare.
Tip – Floressa to Win.
Ladbrokes Intermediate Handicap Hurdle – 2.25 Newbury
Staged over 2m, this listed contest could be an opportunity for Antunes from the Dan Skelton yard. After two decent novice performances earlier this year, he registered a comfortable ten-lengths success at Wetherby last month and could be worth noting.
Challengers will include both Elvis Mail and Epatante. The former gelding has raced predominantly in Scotland and won by over three lengths last time at Ayr earlier this month. A below-par effort in the mares’ novices’ hurdle at Cheltenham was a setback for the hopes of Epatante, but she had won two previous races and should not be written off.
It may also be worth considering Elusive Belle who may not have handled the course at Cheltenham back in March but she later won a useful novice hurdle at Warwick.
Tip – Antunes to Win.
Ladbrokes Trophy Handicap Chase – 3.00 Newbury
As expected for this valuable 3m2f graded handicap chase, another large field of 24 runners has been declared with OK Corral tipped to be favourite. The Nicky Henderson trained gelding won his first two chases last season before pulling up in the amateur riders’ novice chase at the Cheltenham festival. At nearly 10-years-old, he is a late recruit to the larger obstacles and he still has much to prove.
Among the other challengers is Cabaret Queen from the Willie Mullins yard who returned to form last time off a low weight when winning easily at Limerick but this race is a much more serious test. Stable companion Yorkhill has never really fulfilled his potential and is probably best watched.
There is also likely to be some interest in the horses from the Colin Tizzard stable with Elegant Escape carrying top weight. The 2018 Welsh Grand National winner was second in this race last season before winning the Chepstow event and he was running on in the closing stages of the Charlie Hall Chase last time.
West Approach will be another runner from that yard carrying a stone less than his stable-mate. The 9-year-old gelding has returned to chasing racing twice at Cheltenham this term culminating in a decent win just two weeks previously. He had previously been beaten by The Conditional and they meet on similar terms. Mister Malarky from the same Tizzard yard raced very poorly last time and does not inspire that much confidence.
One further horse to note is On The Blind Side from the Henderson yard. He flopped in the RSA Chase but his strong finish when recently fourth in a decent race at Ascot suggests there may be more to come with this extra distance.
Tip – On The Blind Side to win
Betfair Rehearsal Handicap Chase – 3.20 Newcastle
On the support card to the Fighting Fifth Hurdle earlier in the afternoon, Kilfilium Cross from the Henry Oliver could be a decent hope for this near 3m Listed chase. A close third in his seasonal debut at Stratford when carrying top weight over an inadequate trip, he was consistent for most of last season and narrowly won a decent three-miler at Ludlow.
However, the 8-year-old gelding was convincingly beaten by local horse Top Ville Ben at Wetherby about eleven months previously and the Philip Kirby gelding was then just six lengths behind Lostintranslation at Aintree. He may improve for a fifth-placed effort in the Charlie Hall Chase last month and this lower graded chase could be ideal.
There is expected to be strong opposition from another Northern horse Jonniesofa who returned from a near two years absence to win comfortably at Ayr last time, but this is a far tougher event.
2019 Scottish Grand National winner Takingrisks could also be a threat and he warmed up for this event by running in a three miles handicap hurdle at Ayr last time, while top weight Lake View Lad won this race first time out last season but meets Captain Chaos on far worse terms. The latter has disappointed in two contests this term.
Tip – Top Ville Ben to Win
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