Seven days after the conclusion of the prestigious Royal Ascot five-day festival, the Curragh stages the Irish Derby and Newcastle hosts the ‘Pitman’s Derby’ Northumberland Plate.
Both contests are covered below alongside another event from a good supporting card at the Northern all-weather track and a race from a competitive meeting at Newmarket. Three of the four races are scheduled to be televised on ITV.
A £1 lucky 15 bet on these four selections returns £740 if all four horses win.
We’ve picked out four bets from the Saturday afternoon cards and we’d advise a lucky 15 bet involving the four horses.
For this Group 3 contest over 6f, James Tate is hoping that Invincible Army can return to winning ways after finishing only seventh in the Diamond Jubilee Stakes won by Blue Point. The 4-year-old colt had won his only two other races this term including a Group 2 success at York and he also has winning form on the Kempton all-weather surface.
Among the likely opposition, Laugh A Minute represents Roger Varian with the Southern-based trainer hoping that his colt can win a Group level race despite a few failures in Listed events.
Mr Lupton from the Richard Fahey stable may provide a greater threat to Invincible Army having won a Group 2 6f event at the Curragh in his only start this season after racing predominantly over 5f in Listed / Group company during the latter part of last term. However, finishing fifth in the 2016 edition of this race on the same surface is a concern.
Take note also of the William Haggas mare Island Of Life who was a course and distance winner last year and who hasn’t been disgraced in four defeats this season.
Betting Tip – Invincible Army to win (7/4 with Betfred)
Set to carry top weight of 9st 10lb for this 7f Group 3 contest, Limato returns to arguably his favoured distance after finishing fourth over 6f at York last month on his seasonal debut. The 7-year-old gelding did win over 6f last term but has claimed at least one Group 1 or 2 prize over the extra furlong in each of the four previous seasons.
Meanwhile, Glorious Journey from the Charlie Appleby yard claimed a Group 3 prize back in his 2-year-old days when winning at Salisbury but has won only at Deauville in two subsequent seasons. This race is his preferred engagement to an entry at Newcastle.
Another challenger is expected to be Tabarrak who has failed to win on several attempts at Group 3 level, but has claimed a few Listed races while Suedois has not won a race since October 2017.
Betting Tip – Limato to Win (11/4 with Betfred)
In-form trainer Roger Varian is expected to saddle Gibbs Hill for this race. Despite the 6-year-old gelding not racing beyond 1m 4f and not competing on a track for nearly two years, he has been the subject of a significant ante-post gamble. The horse has never finished outside the first three placings in seven outings which includes two efforts at Newcastle during 2016.
Other contenders include King’s Advice who has yet to be beaten in six races for Mark Johnston this year including three victories on separate all-weather tracks. The 5-year-old horse has also demonstrated admirable battling qualities with narrow victories in decent handicaps at Goodwood and Thirsk in recent weeks. He has yet to tackle two miles but has won twice at 1m6f.
2018 winner Withhold should also be in contention, but he suffered a bleeding problem in a prep-race for the Melbourne Cup and has not appeared on a track since late October 2018. Bartholomeu Dias is another course winner having won over an extended 1m4f back in April. Although he was beaten by King’s Advice over two furlongs extra during April, he will meet his conqueror on 11lb better terms in this handicap.
Betting Tip – Bartholomeu Dias to Win (12/1 with Betfred)
After winning both the Lingfield trial and Epsom Derby, Anthony Van Dyck will be aiming for a seasonal hat-trick when contesting this Irish Derby. The Aidan O’Brien colt emerged victorious in a very close multi-runner finish on Epsom Downs and may have benefitted from racing on the far rails during the final furlong. He will still be difficult to beat.
Both Broome and Madhmoon will re-oppose but there is no reason to suggest that they can reverse placings with their Epsom conqueror. One horse who could be a threat is the Dermot Weld trained Rakan who was comfortably beaten by Broome on his seasonal debut. However, he has since won a three-runner contest over 1m4f with connections maintaining that we will improve still further for that race.
Betting Tip – Anthony Van Dyck to Win (5/4 with Betfred)
ENHANCED ODDS – 11/1 for Anthony Van Dyck to win (£5 max bet)
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