ITV Racing Betting Tips for Saturday 12th September
After a superb Saturday last week hopefully we can celebrate more winners this weekend with our ITV Racing betting tips from Doncaster, Chester and Leopardstown.
Plenty of fancied outsiders this weekend and you can see our race by race selections below!
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The first race live on ITV on St Leger day is the Champagne Stakes, a 7f contest for the 2-year-olds. Albasheer heads the market after his impressive course and distance winning debut here and will make a bold bid to follow up. Trainer Owen Burrows’ horses aren’t running as well now though with only 1 winner in his last 17 runners.
The horse I like is CHINDIT 9/4 NB. Chindit won over course and distance on his debut too but he has more substance to his form after following up in a listed contest next time out. He appears to be a very professional 2-year-old that responds well for pressure. Hannon has a few exciting 2-year-olds again this term and this lad is right up there.
We head to Chester next for a listed contest over 1m4f in which Morando heads the market at 7/4 but the drying ground is a concern for him here. Alignak has similar form lines to Morando and I don’t think they’ll be much between them out the finish line.
I am happy to chance HEREBY 6/1 here for the Beckett team as I am hoping he gets left alone in front. If that’s the case, I think he’ll set a fair enough gallop and I think they’ll struggle to get past him. Hereby won five times in 2019 and has two thirds to his name this term. Hopefully he can kick on now and regain the winning thread.
The forever competitive Portland Handicap over 5f is up next and it is wide open as usual with regular names near the front of the market. Amomentofmadness is likely to be near the front of the market and will bid to bounce out the stalls and make all.
However, I think today could be the day ARECIBO 9/1 EW can finally get his head back in front. The David O’Meara charge always seems to be well fancied prior to running before running a solid race without getting his head in front. He has a lot of solid place form to his name including when he came 4th in this contest last year. At a decent price in a test that we know suits him perfectly I think he is worth an e/w punt today.
The 2:40 race from Chester is a Class 2 handicap over 1m2f. Prejudice heads the market for the David Simcock team and he is a worthy favourite after being beat a short head last time out showing he remains in strong form this term.
The horse I am happy to chance is VICTORY CHIME 11/1 EW. Victory Chime has an impressive strike rate winning 7 of his 18 runs which shows he knows how to get his head in front. I felt he was unlucky last time out at Sandown as he just got going too late to really challenge when staying on into 4th. Beckett reaches back for the headgear today and I think that will help him switch on better and I think he deserves to be a shorter price than he is here.
The 3:00 from Doncaster is the Park Hill Stakes, a Group 2 contest over 7f. Limato heads the market after an impressive win last time out and the drying ground will only aid his chances. His trainer, Henry Candy isn’t in great form at the moment and I’m happy to look elsewhere.
I prefer ONE MASTER 7/2 NAP here for the William Haggas team. One Master has strong form over 7f and as we know it’s certainly his best trip. He won well at Goodwood two starts back despite being short of room at crucial stage and then he finished second last time out behind Safe Voyage at York who got first run on him. I expect him to resume winning ways today.
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We head to Ireland for the first time in what looks a fascinating renewal of the Matron Stakes, a Group 1 contest for the fillies over the mile. Fancy Blue and Peaceful are the front two in the market and no one can argue with that. The Coolmore pair have shown strong form throughout the season at this level and there isn’t much between them on form. You could argue that the pair are suited by further than the mile which is the slight concern for them today.
I am happy to chance one at a wild price here and that is SO WONDERFUL 25/1 EW. So Wonderful has been somewhat of a frustrating horse after she placed in the Group 1 Irish 1000 Guineas. She took a while to get her head in front but finally lost her maiden tag two starts ago. She then followed up in a listed contest at Killarney last time out and I’m hoping them couple of victories has gave her the confidence to run another huge race in a Group 1.
The St Leger is up next, the final classic of the year. The 1m6f contest is a true test for the 3-year-olds. Pyledriver heads the market in what would be a fantastic story. Trainer William Muir is 0-15 at Doncaster and jockey Martin Dwyer is 0-25 at the track which is slightly off putting for me. Santiago is next for Aiden O’Brien and he has the strongest form but I’m worried he’s peaked earlier in the season and is too short for me here.
The horse I like is MOHICAN HEIGHTS 25/1 EW at a huge price. Mohican Heights showed strong form as a 2-year-old and things just haven’t quite gone his way this term. He ran a good race at Royal Ascot finishing third and he looked in need of the run that day. He then ran a poor race in the Derby but I’m happy to forgive that given the way the race was run. Pyledriver has proven that a Derby run can be forgiven as he obviously went on to win after disappointing in the Derby.
Mohican Heights is still unexposed and I think this step up in trip will bring out more improvement. Simcock has his horses running well at the moment and I think he could well run into a place at a minimum here.
We head back to Ireland for the finale on ITV and what a way to bow out, the Irish Champion Stakes over 1m2f. Ghaiyyath is the odds on favourite here and you can’t really argue with that given the form he’s shown this year. The track is sure to suit and he’s going to prove a tough nut to crack yet again. Japan and Magical line up against him again and on home soil, this is their best chance to maybe get their head past Ghaiyyath.
I am happy to chance SOTTSASS 17/2 EW here though. The strong pace Ghaiyyath will set here will set it up perfectly for this hold up performer. He looked very ring rusty last time out and I’m confident that run at Deauville will have brought him on a lot. I think this ground will suit him as he will be able to show us his turn of foot. Magical and Japan are likely to take Ghaiyyath on early and I can see Sottsass coming home strongly over the top and at least getting past the O’Brien pair.
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