Thatsagoal.com Hermosa will attempt to claim a third Group 1 victory this season when contesting the Coronation Stakes on Day 4 of the Royal Ascot meeting. Meanwhile, the supporting card features the ‘Ascot Derby’ for three-year-olds and the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup, with those three contests and the remainder of the six-race card analysed below.
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This 6f Group 3 race for 2-year-olds has attracted another large field with several unbeaten challengers, and Roger Varian will be hoping that Daahyeh can progress from her winning debut in which she beat Raffle Prize who subsequently scored by five lengths at Chester.
Another challenger is expected to be the Godolphin filly Silent Wave who was a very easy Goodwood winner last time while Wesley Ward will be represented by two challengers who comfortably won their American debut races. Chili Petin was a near 5f scorer at Keeneland whereas Nayibeth won over the same course and distance, but Joel Rosario barely moved a muscle throughout the finishing straight. Ward has claimed that the latter filly may be suited more by six furlongs.
Betting Tip – Nayibeth to win (11/2 with William Hill)
Sometimes referred to as the Ascot Derby, Private Secretary from the John Gosden stable could be one horse to note after winning all three races this term including a Listed event at Goodwood last time. That race was a step upwards in class for the 3-year-old colt, and he now seeks a four-timer when bidding for this Group 2 prize.
A likely opponent will be Bangkok who won the Classic Trial at Sandown prior to a very poor effort in the Epsom Derby. He may not have handled the track that day and could return to his early-season sparkle.
Japan finished a close third in the Derby following a rather tame effort in the Dante Stakes and while he could be an improving horse as the season progresses, he may already need further than 1m4f.
Betting Tip – Private Secretary to Win (9/2 with Bet Victor)
Ten Sovereigns was unbeaten in three races as a 2-year-old including a victory in the 6f Middle Park Stakes, but doubts regarding his stamina over the one-mile distance surfaced when he finished only fifth in the 2,000 Guineas. Aidan O’Brien’s colt ran a decent race that day but he may be more comfortable reverting back to this 6f trip, and should be a major contender.
However, there are some worthy challengers with Hello Youmzain beating Calyx last time in a four-runner affair while Jash was beaten less than a length by Ten Sovereigns last season. It would also be unwise to ignore Advertise who was 6f Group 1 and 2 winner as a 2-year-old but failed to stay the 2,000 Guineas distance.
Betting Tip – Ten Sovereigns to Win (5/4 with Bet Victor)
Having already won the Newmarket and Irish 1,000 Guineas this season, Hermosa is expected to be a short-priced favourite for this Group 1 one-mile race for fillies. There is no reason to suggest that she will not build upon her four lengths success at the Curragh.
Jubiloso could be a threat after winning both of her only two races and she was a very easy seven lengths winner last time at Newbury, although this race is a significant step upwards in class. French raider Castle Lady may also be a danger as she has won each of her three races including the 1,000 Guineas equivalent in France.
Betting Tip – Hermosa to Win (Evens with Ladbrokes)
For this one-mile 3-year-old filly’s handicap, John Gosden will hope that Nonchalance can continue her improvement after winning two previous lower grade races while Invitational needs to progress from racing on the all-weather circuit.
Another likely challenger is the Ralph Beckett trained Desirous who was a decent Goodwood winner last time while Layaleena returned to the one-mile distance on her previous outing and scored easily at Nottingham.
Betting Tip – Layaleena to win (12/1 with Betfred)
This 1m4f race completes the Friday card and Irish trained Johnny Drama will be aiming to complete a three-timer this term after easily winning in a small-runner field at Roscommon last month. This assignment will be tougher and he will face Baghdad from the Mark Johnston stable.
The 4-year-old colt won at this meeting last season but then faced an injury absence. After returning on the all-weather surface at Newcastle, Baghdad claimed a Class 2 handicap at Newmarket last month and is one to note for this race with Ryan Moore booked to ride.
Betting Tip – Baghdad to Win (7/1 with Betfred)
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