Crystal Palace play Brighton in the Championship play-off first leg tonight looking to take the first step to a place in the Wembley final.
Palace confirmed their play-off place with a final day win against Peterborough, their first win in ten matches while Brighton are unbeaten in nine, winning their last three Championship games of the season.
In the betting for the match tonight Crystal Palace are 8/5 (Bet365), the draw is 23/10 with Sky Bet and Brighton are 2/1 to get a first leg win at Bet Victor.
Despite Crystal Palace’s poor form, they have actually only lost once at home since the first day of the season way back last August. Their recent home form includes one win, one loss and three draws.
Brighton finished the season strongly, and away from home they won two and drawn two following back to back away defeats.
The Championship matches between these two sides ended 3-0, with the home team winning on both occasions and the same result tonight is best priced 33/1 at Bet Victor.
The last six meetings between these two sides have produced 18 goals, an average of three goals per game making the over 2.5 goals to be scored bet a player, although the first leg of play-off matches are usually cagey affairs, as illustrated in the Leicester v Watford match last night.
Crystal Palace have not won a play-off match in their last four attempts, drawing one and losing three times and they have won just one of their last five home matches.
The best bet on the win-draw-win betting tonight is with the draw at 23/10, Brighton are a strong side away from home and both sides have drawn a lot of matches recently, Gus Poyet’s men had the best defensive record in the Championship this season.
Kazenga Lua Lua has scored three goals in his last three matches and we will take a cautious punt on him to make that four from four with a goal tonight.
Draw – 23/10 with Sky Bet
Lua Lua to score anytime – 5/1 with Bet Victor
Best free bets to use tonight: