Diary of a Punter: Bouncebackability, or a Shanty Town Living.

Shanty Town.jpg

I can hardly look. I can’t eat or sleep. From the early kick off, through the 3pm fixtures and well into Sunday I had an absolute nightmare. The ONLY bet I won at the weekend was the purchase of goals at Old Trafford and even that only came in late. One horrendous weekend. One amazing loss. Inspire a generation:

Sunderland v West Brom – 2pts: UNDER 2.5 GOALS – 10/11 -2.00

Man United v QPR – 2pts: OVER 3.5 GOALS – 20/23 +3.74
                                    0.5pts: UNITED TO WIN BY 1 GOAL – 7/2 -0.50

Leeds v Crystal Palace – 3pts: PALACE TO WIN (DRAW NO BET) – 4/5 -3.00
                                          1.5pts: PALACE TO WIN – 6/4 -1.50

Middlesbrough v Bristol City – 5pts: BORO TO WIN – 8/13 -5.00
                                                      1pt: BORO TO WIN “TO NIL” – 2/1 -1.00

Swansea v Liverpool – 2pts: SWANSEA TO WIN (DRAW NO BET) – 31/20 +2.00
                                        1pt: MICHU TO SCORE ANYTIME – 12/5 -1.00

Chelsea v Man City – 1pt: TORRES TO SCORE ANYTIME – 9/4 -1.00

0.5pts: Charlton, Palace, Middlesbrough, Arsenal – 15.41/1 -0.50

Draw treble:
0.25pts: Chelsea, Wolves, Swansea – 42.74/1 -0.25

12 bets, Stake 19.75, Returns 5.74

Weekend Profit/Loss: -14.01 (-71%)

Total Profit/Loss (from starting kitty of 11.25): 32.01 (+20.67) (+185%)

For not the first time this season I have taken a significant hit. Earlier in the season, a bad run that lasted a couple of weeks resulted in a similar size loss. Off the back of that I put six back-to-back profits together. I need something similar again now. This time I lost almost the same amount in one weekend. Bollocks. And I didn’t even see it coming.

With the weekend from hell behind me, I’m staking my entire profit since the start of the season on a selection of games on Tuesday and Wednesday. Go hard or go back to Bangkok. Here are my bets for this midweek:

Tuesday 27th

Charlton v Peterborough

Both these sides were smoking draw at the weekend. Charlton failed to put Huddersfield’s ten men to bed and it cost them, conceding a late penalty. Peterborough blew a 1-0 lead at dogshit Ipswich. Before these draws these two sides were in contrasting form – Peterborough losing to everyone and Charlton somehow getting up in everyone’s grill since they banged 5 past Cardiff. The only thing worse than Charlton’s home form (apart from the weekend I just had) is Peterborough’s away from and I think the home side can win their 3rd game at home this season (already beaten Leicester and Cardiff) against a Peterborough side who go everywhere and lose. One angle I’m happy to see is Charlton have been drawing at HT in 8 out of 9 home games. Peterborough drawing at HT in 5 out of 9 away games. Maybe late, but a home win all the same.

2.5pts: CHARLTON TO WIN – 4/5 with Bet Victor

0.5pts: HT DRAW, FT CHARLTON – 4/1 with bWin

Wolves v Millwall

After the weekend I’ve just had I’m trying to be wary of reading too much into the form table. Bollocks. Mirwol are flying. They’ve taken 16 points from 6 games (conceding twice, four clean sheets in their last six games) and go to Wolves who have taken only 2 points from 6 games and have only won twice in over two months. They do rely on their home form and have been winning 6/9 at Half-Time at home, that said, they have only won 3 games at home. I like them and that’s all that matters.

0.75pts: MILLWALL TO WIN “TO NIL” – 11/2 with Coral

3pts: MILLWALL TO WIN (DRAW NO BET) – 11/10 Coral

0.25pts: HT WOLVES/ FT MILLWALL – 33/1 with SportingBet

Barnsley v Burnley

Having started the season like free-loving hippies, Burnley games averaged fucking loads of goals. Free love. However, there have only been 8 goals in their 5 games since Sean Dyche took over. Only two of Burnley’s nine away games this season have seen less than 3 goals but against a Barnsley side who have seen less than 3 goals scored in 11 of their last 13 home games and haven’t scored more than once at home since February (friendlies included), odds of 11/10 appeal on there being a goal shortage again.

2pts: UNDER 2.5 GOALS – 11/10 with BoyleSports

Sheffield Wednesday v Watford

Wednesday are all over the place. This mob are shit. Backing Watford  in the “Draw No Bet” market seems reasonable to me at odds of 6/5. Wednesday lost their best player when Ross Barkley went back to Everton and Watford are unbeaten in five.

2pts: WATFORD TO WIN (DRAW NO BET) – 6/5 with Bet365

Wednesday 28th

Everton v Arsenal

Do your own homework. Bet of the day. BTTS in this game. Nailed on. Arsenal cannot defend due to a genetic fault and Everton just don’t bother defending this season. Should be a cracker.

4pts: BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE – 4/7 with Ladbrokes

1pt: FIRST HALF HIGHEST SCORING – 9/4 with Stan James

Stoke v Newcastle

Cabaye. Ben Arfa. Collocini. All out. No creativity. No captain. Third game in 6 days for Newcastle. Newcastle only average a poxy 5 shots on target per game this season. Stoke average less than 4.5. Rubbish. Only two of Stoke’s 13 games this season have seen 3 or more goals (including three 0-0s). Pardew. Pulis. What a prick off. Stoke have kept FIVE clean sheets in SIX home games and can keep another one here against a Newcastle side who didn’t create shit at Southampton of all places.

3pts: UNDER 2.5 GOALS – 8/11 with 188bet

0.25pts: NO GOALSCORER – 9/1 with Coral


0.5pts: Villa, Southampton, Stoke, Charlton – 14.48/1 with William Hill

Draw treble:

0.25pts: Tottenham, Everton, Swansea – 41.88/1 with BetFred

Best of luck everybody betting on the games this midweek. My confidence is shot to bits after the weekend I just had but I’m continuing to do what I was doing so well.

I regulate. I mount up. I MISS HER

hit me @drtwerp on twitter

Bet on any of these bets with a risk free £50 bet when you open a new Betway account today. Here is how to claim your risk free £50:

1. Click this link straight to Betway

2. Open a new account for free

3. Place a £50 bet

4. If the bet loses, get the £50 put back in your account

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