It's time to look at the relegation battle again this week and it's a market that shows real value, Premier League relegation treble betting.
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For obvious reasons the three newly promoted teams, Hull City, Cardiff City and Crystal Palace, top the betting odds at 11/1 (Sky Bet), but for me this isn't the bet to take on. If you refer to my previous post here you can read my thoughts on survival for the newly promoted trio.
That post see's Hull City as my tip to go down, which leaves just two more relegation threatened teams to put into the treble. The team with the most to worry about for the the 2013-14 season is Stoke City.
Mark Hughes has been drafted in to steady the ship and has already started by clearing a boatload of squad members, including Rory Delap, Carlo Nash, Jermaine Pennant, Matthew Upson and Dean Whitehead.
By releasing these fringe players he has no doubt freed up a lot of the wage budget. But transforming a whole squad in a few months isn't something Mark Hughes does well. Just ask QPR fans.
There's no doubt Hughes will aim to improve the Stoke City strike force, but remodeling will have to have an instant impact, as fans already seem to be unhappy with the appointment of Hughes, and that unhappiness could soon turn hostile should the result go against the Potters.
Stoke City go down for me and go down easy. They are my tip to finish rock bottom come May and that's 12/1 with Ladbrokes.
Aston Villa now, and they will almost certainly have another tough season ahead of them. But the biggest worry for me is who they can keep hold of in the transfer window. It's clear now that Benteke will almost certainly leave Villa Park before the start of the 2013-14 season, and without his goals Villa will struggle. Of course, it all depends on who they can replace Benteke with, and for me The Villans will find it difficult to entice someone to Villa Park with the calibre to produce 23+ goals.
Looking at Aston Villa's pre-season signings and I'm struggling to find a reason why they're priced so high to be relegated. 8/1 with Coral for the drop is interesting enough to take on alone.
So, my treble for relegation includes, new boys Hull City and established Premier League sides Aston Villa and Stoke City and that is priced at an inviting 80/1 with Sky Bet.
Hull City, Aston Villa and Stoke City to be relegated – 80/1 with Sky Bet
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