Saturday’s ITV Racing Tips from Ayr and Newbury (17th September)

ITV Racing’s coverage for this weekend comes from Ayr and Newbury and the big race of the day is the Ayr Gold Cup due off at 3.40pm

We also have the Group 2 Mill Reef Stakes from Newbury on a bust day of racing and Henry has been through all nine races and given his betting tip and preview for each race.

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1:20 Ayr

The opener on a busy day of action comes from Aye and it’s a trappy handicap over the mile.

I like KOY KOY (5/1) here. I always like backing the three year-olds taken on their elders at the end of the season as they can strengthen up throughout the year more and gain the necessary experience throughout the season. The selection has run some really solid races throughout the season including a decent win at Newmarket in July beating another promising sort in Bass Player. He ran well enough last time out at Goodwood and I do believe he’s better than a mark of 95. This isn’t the deepest of races.

 

1:40 Newbury

The first race from Newbury is the Group 3 Legacy Cup Stakes over 1m3f.

I like LYSANDER (8/1) EW here who is the most unexposed sort in the line-up. He was a decent winner on seasonal debut at Newcastle before finishing third twice in decent races at Goodwood and Ascot. The son of New Approach can continue to improve and I’m hoping the break since Ascot will have freshened him up to finish the season strongly. William Haggas has a great record with horses returning from over 100 days off the track and hopefully he can have another one run a big race for us at a nice price.

 

1.55 Ayr

The 1:55 race is the Doonside Cup Stakes, a listed contest over 1m2f.

It’s hard to oppose PHANTOM FLIGHT (7/4) NAP here. He is a real improver and was mightily impressive last time out at York beating a solid yardstick in Spirit Dancer decisively by 5L. He’s comfortably the best 3 year-old and gets weight off his more exposed rivals. Tough to beat.

 

2:15 Newbury

It’s more Group 3 action from Newbury with the World Trophy Stakes over 5f.

I like MANACCAN (7/2) NB here. He has been a good servant for the column this season and I think he can continue on an upward curve. Again, he’s only three so his best days are likely still ahead of him and his two wins from last three starts have been really encouraging. He won well at Ascot staying on strongly three starts back and won in similar nature last time our at Doncaster. His run in between wasn’t bad at all where he finished a solid third over 6f and he was headed late on there which is likely way he stepped back down to 5f. I think a strongly run race over 5f is spot on for him and again, he should get that here. There’s no reason why he can’t go close under Pat Dobbs.

 

2:30 Ayr

Next up is the competitive Ayr Silver Cup over 6f.

I’ll chance DUSKY LORD (12/1) here. Not the most straightforward or consistent horse but he most definitely has the talent to win a race of this nature. He tends to either go very close or falls out the back of the telly but there’s optimism he has ideal conditions today to put his best out forward. I think 6f is his best trip as they sometimes go too quick for him over 5f, especially on fast ground. This isn’t the strongest of races with it being a consolation race and off a mark of 90 here, he has to be my selection.

 

2:50 Newbury

The feature from Newbury is at 2:50, the Group 2 Mill Reef Stakes over 6f.

I think the value here has to be HEROISM (8/1) EW. It was hard not to be taken by his debut win at Salisbury as things didn’t quite go to plan from the get go but he still managed to stay on strongly to get his head first past the post. He’ll come on a lot for that as Clive Cox 2 year-olds often do and Clive does like to target one at this race. He has a strong record in this contest and at the prices, he’ll do for me here.

 

3:05 Ayr

The next race from Ayr is a Group 3 for the 2 year-old fillies over 6f known as the Firth Of Clyde.

It’s BONNY ANGEL (11/2) for me here. A rapidly improving filly who is riding a crest of a wave at the moment. She completes the double in fine style at Doncaster last time out never looking in trouble powering clear to win by 4l. I think she can continue on the upward curve and land the hat-trick with Kevin Stott a positive jockey booking.

 

3:25 Newbury

The last race from Newbury is a tricky handicap over 1m2f.

It’s WARREN POINT (5/1) for me here. Another improving Godolphin colt who looks the stables first string on bookings. A winner of three of his four starts he done well to beat stablemate Blue Trail at Goodwood last time out. The front two pulled clear that day which is encouraging and he seems to be getting better all the time. Quick ground looks ideal and he’s the one for me in a tasty looking race.

 

3:40 Ayr

The finale is the feature, the Ayr Gold Cup again over 6f.

I like TINTO (22/1) EW here. He ran a cracker two starts back in the Goodwood Stewards Cup finishing 5th in a competitive renewal. His last run at Toek was by no means a disaster but he races off the same mark at the Goodwood effort today. He has a useful claimer taken off a further 7lb and Michael Dods is certainly no stranger to these big sprint handicaps. I think he’s certainly overpriced here.

 

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