Cheltenham Gold Cup Tips 2021 – Cheltenham Festival Day 4 (3.30pm)
The Cheltenham Gold Cup is not only the highlight of the Cheltenham Festival but, for many people, the highlight of the entire National Hunt season.
The Roll of Honour reads like a ‘Who’s Who’ of staying steeplechasers down the years and includes such luminaries of the sport as Golden Miller, Cottage Rake, Arkle, Best Mate and Kauto Star, to name but a handful.
Cheltenham Gold Cup 2021 Odds
|Al Boum photo||4/1||bet365|
|Minella Indo||10/1||William Hill|
|A Plus Tard||10/1||bet365|
Cheltenham Gold Cup 2021 Preview
The fourth race on the Cheltenham day 4 card is the big race of the week, the Cheltenham Gold Cup. As things stand, we are set for a fantastic renewal with all of the big fancies still in the race. This is the ultimate test for the best chasers around and it takes a proper horse to win the Gold Cup. Last year’s winner Al Boum Photo will be back to defend his crown once again.
In 2021, the horse standing on the cusp of Cheltenham Festival immortality is defending champion, Al Boum Photo (4/1), who seeks to become the just the fifth horse in history to win the Cheltenham Gold Cup more than twice.
In 2019, after a series of agonising near-misses, stretching back to the turn of the century, Al Boum Photo finally provided trainer Willie Mullins with his first Gold Cup winner and, in 2020, defended his title.
Cheltenham Gold Cup Main Contenders
- Al Boum Photo
- Minella Indo
Al Boum Photo
Still only a 9-year-old, Al Boum Photo, the returning hero looked at least as good as ever when comfortably beating his stable companion Acapella Bourgeois, by 19 lengths, eased down, in his traditional warm-up race for the Gold Cup, the Savills New Year’s Day Chase at Tramore. Of course, Cheltenham Gold Cups are not, as some observers have commented, ‘like London buses’, but Al Boum Photo must have every chance of completing a historic hat-trick.
Santini (10/1) finished a staying-on second, beaten just a neck, behind Al Boum Photo last year and, while beaten of his first two starts of the 2020/21 season, should not be written off just yet. Nicky Henderson’s 9-year-old has won three of his eight steeplechases, at Newbury, Sandown and Cheltenham, all of which are galloping in nature, so it’s easy to forgive him less efforts at Aintree and Kempton, disappointing though they may seem, at first glance.
Of course, the Master of Seven Barrows could also saddle another 9-year-old, Champ (12/1), who produced an extraordinary finishing effort to win the RSA Insurance Novices’ Chase at the 2020 Cheltenham Festival. He lacks experience over fences and has his own idiosyncratic jumping style, but remains unexposed over three miles and beyond. He needs to improve – to the tune of 12lb, according to official ratings – but that’s not beyond the realms of possibility, notwithstanding the fact that he is unlikely to make his seasonal debut until late January.
Minella Indo (10/1) looked all over the winner of the aforementioned RSA Insurance Novices’ Chase until collared close home and is another likely contender. He blotted his copybook when falling before halfway in the Savills Chase at Leopardstown over Christmas, but the fact that he started 5/2 favourite for a vintage renewal of that Grade One contest suggests that he should be taken very seriously indeed. Indeed, he had jumped well when winning easily, albeit at odds-on, at Wexford and Navan on his two previous starts, so he has plenty going for him.
At much longer odds, Lostintranslation (33/1) travelled and jumped well throughout the 2020 Cheltenham Gold Cup and looked the likely winner turning for home. Eventually, he had to settle for third, beaten 1½ lengths, but he deserves credit for a brave effort, particularly as he was returning to action following wind surgery. However, Colin Tizzard’s 9-year-old has fared less well since, floundering in the heavy ground when well beaten in the Betfair Chase at Haydock on his reappearance and bursting a blood vessel when pulled up in the King George VI Chase at Kempton on Boxing Day. Clearly, he is not the most robust horse in training, but that’s not his fault; if he turned up at Cheltenham fit, well and ready to do himself justice, he could go well at rewarding odds.
Cheltenham Gold Cup Betting Tips
Winning the Cheltenham Gold Cup twice, never mind three times, is a formidable task, but it is, frankly, difficult to get away from Al Boum Photo, who has fewer questions to answer than his rivals.
WIN BET: Al Boum Photo – 7/2 with bet365.
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Cheltenham Gold Cup Trends
Age – 11 of last 12 winners were aged between 7-9.
Price – 5 of last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 7/12 winners were top 3 in the betting.
Last Run – 10 of last 12 winners won on their previous run before the Cheltenham Gold Cup, 9/12 winners had their last run within the last 77 days, 12/12 winners had their last run 33 days or longer ago.
3/12 winners ran in the King George VI Chase (Kempton) on their last run, 2 of the 3 won, 0 placed.
3/12 winners ran in the Denman Chase (Newbury) on their last run, 3 of the 3 won.
Previous Course Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous Cheltenham run, 6/12 had a previous win at Cheltenham.
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs over 24 furlongs or further, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 24 furlongs or further, 7/12 winners had at least 2 wins over 24 furlongs or further.
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles, 10/12 had at least 2 wins over hurdles.
Previous Chase Form – 10/12 winners had at least 7 previous chase runs, 12/12 had at least 2 previous chase wins, 8/12 had at least 4 previous chase wins.
Rating – 9/12 winners were rated 166 or higher, 6/12 were rated 170 or higher.
Grade 1 Wins – 12/12 winners had won at least 1 Grade 1 race, 6/12 had won at least 2.
Grade 2 Wins – 9/12 winners had won at least 1 Grade 2 race, 6/12 had won at least 2.
Grade 3 Wins – 9/12 winners had won at least 1 Grade 3 race.
Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 10/12 had at least 1 win that season.
Cheltenham Gold Cup Previous Winners
|2009||Kauto Star||Ruby Walsh||Paul Nicholls|
|2010||Imperial Commander||Paddy Brennan||Nigel Twiston-Davies|
|2011||Long Run||S Waley-Cohen||Nicky Henderson|
|2012||Synchronised||A P McCoy||Jonjo O’Neill|
|2013||Bobs Worth||Barry Geraghty||Nicky Henderson|
|2014||Lord Windermere||Davy Russell||Jim Culoty|
|2015||Coneygree||Nico de Boinville||Mark Bradstock|
|2016||Don Cossack||Bryan Cooper||Gordan Elliott|
|2017||Sizing John||Robbie Power||Mrs John Harrington|
|2018||Native River||Richard Johnson||Colin Tizzard|
|2019||Al Boum Photo||Paul Townend||Willie Mullins|
|2020||Al Boum Photo||Paul Townend||Willie Mullins|
Cheltenham Gold Cup 2020 Result
1st – Al Boum Photo (10/3)
2nd – Santini (5/1)
3rd – Lostintranslation (10/1)
4th – Monalee (20/1)