Premier League Top Goalscorer Tips 2022/23 – 13/2 & 33/1 Golden Boot Betting Tips

Premier League Golden Boot tips

Our Premier League top goalscorer tips for the 2022/23 season gives a win bet and each-way bet at bigger odds and there are some interesting new towards at the top of the Golden Boot odds for the Premier League this season.

In the latest odds, Erling Haaland is best odds 7/2 to be Premier League top scorer after his move to Manchester City. Mo Salah is always there or there abouts in the race for the top scorer accolade and shared the award with Son-Heung Min last season. Salah is 5/1 with Coral to score the most Premier League goals this season and Son is best price 14/1 with SportNation (as short as 9/1 elsewhere).

Liverpool have splashed the cash on striker Darwin Nunez and he will be a popular pick in the Golden Boot odds this season – you can get 16/1 at Coral (as short as 10/1 elsewhere) so make sure you place your bets in the right place!

Manchester City have sold Gabriel Jesus to Arsenal and he’s 22/1 to be top scorer in the league. The Brazilian has never scored more than 14 goals in a Premier League season but he will get the chance to lead the Arsenal line here and this could be his best season yet in England.


Premier League Top Goalscorers Odds

  • Erling Haaland – 7/2 bet365 (worst odds 23/10)
  • Mo Salah – 5/1 Coral (worst odds 4/1)
  • Harry Kane – 13/1 Betfred (worst odds 5/1)
  • Cristiano Ronaldo – 12/1 Coral (worst odds 10/1)
  • Son Heung-Min – 14/1 SportNation (worst odds 9/1)
  • Darwin Nunez – 16/1 William Hill (worst odds 10/1)
  • Gabriel Jesus – 22/1 Paddy Power (worst odds 14/1)
  • Diogo Jota – 25/1 bet365
  • Jamie Vardy – 33/1 Paddy Power (worst odds 25/1)
  • Luiz Diaz – 40/1 SportNation (worst odds 25/1)


Premier League Top Goalscorer Tip

During the second half of last season, Harry Kane had the highest expected goals in the division, scoring 13 goals from 21 appearances since the start of January 2022. Despite scoring 17 goals over the course of the season, he was expected to score over 20, which would have put him as the third highest goalscorer in the division. Both Salah and Son shared the Golden Boot in the Premier League last season, scoring 23 goals. Son achieved this being significantly clinical, outperforming his expected goals by 6 goals, which is unlikely to happen again next season. With Kane having the second highest xG total in the division, it is evident that he is constantly getting into positions where he is expected to score goals. Despite his side performing poorly under Nuno, once Conte had become Spurs manager, the side were performing much better, with Kane scoring 16 goals in 27 appearances under Conte, having the highest xG of any player in the Premier League. With a full pre-season under Conte, Spurs will aim to be consistent, unlike they were under Nuno, whilst Kane remains the focal point of their attack. Having won the Premier League Golden Boot on three occasions, Harry Kane will aim to join Thierry Henry as the only players to achieve this award 4 times.

Although the favourite in this market is Manchester City’s new forward Erling Haaland, of City’s 5 forward options last season, including Jesus, Sterling, Foden, Grealish and Mahrez, not a single one of those players started over 24 games out of a possible 38, with even Bernardo Silva and Kevin De Bruyne starting upfront on occasions. With Pep Guardiola keen on rotating the side, and it being Haaland’s first season in the Premier League, the current odds of 7/2 for him present no value. Therefore, at 13/2, Harry Kane is a worthy option in the Premier League Top Goalscorer market.

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Premier League Top Goalscorer Each-way Tip

  • Jamie Vardy – 33/1 with Paddy Power (each way 4 places)

Jamie Vardy has won the Premier League Golden Boot once during his career, whilst he was one goal shy of Harry Kane during the 2015/16 season. Despite Kane and Son assisting each other on multiple occasions last season, the most common combination of assist to goalscorer was Harvey Barnes to Jamie Vardy, with Barnes assisting Vardy on 6 occasions. Both of these players faced injury problems last season, with Vardy only able to start 20 of 38 games, yet he still scored 15 goals, being joint 6th top goalscorer in the division. He had the joint highest goals per 90 minutes in the division at 0.75, alongside Mo Salah. Salah was top goalscorer last season with 23 goals, and had Vardy remained injury-free, he would have had a chance of rivalling Sarah and Son for the Golden Boot.

Jamie Vardy will also not be going to the World Cup which is taking place during the season, which will enable him to avoid injury and keep his fitness levels consistent, whilst there is a possibility that other potential Premier League forwards could suffer injury or fatigue due to playing in the World Cup. If he does not suffer a serious injury, Vardy could start 30+ games next season, giving him an outside chance of winning the Golden Boot. Combining well with Leicester winger Barnes, Vardy to be Premier League Top Goalscorer at 33/1 provides value in the each way market which covers four places.

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