Derby vs West Brom predictions and betting tips for this pulsating Championship fixture on Sunday 5th May. This is a game which could potentially secure Derby’s place in the play-offs. WBA are already guaranteed a top six position, but James Shan’s men could act as party poopers at Pride Park.
West Brom have won five in a row at home, but they’ve taken just four points from a possible 15 on the road.
Derby have lost just once since March 2nd.
Only Millwall, Villa and Leeds have won at Pride Park this season
Kick Off Time: 12:30pm
Date: Sunday 5th May
Venue: Pride Park
Derby NEED to win this game, to ensure that Bristol City (vs Hull) and Middlesbrough (vs Rotherham) can’t pip them to the final play-off spot. The Rams will be pleased to have their final game at home, as they’ve been incredibly strong in the East Midlands this campaign.
West Brom are the visitors with James Shan’s side already guaranteed a spot in the play-offs. The Baggies have know for a long time, that they would finish inside the top six, and they have been preparing themselves for that eventuality. They rested a couple of players against Rotherham last weekend, and Shan has spoken about the importance of keeping his squad fresh for the end-of-season endeavours.
He’s unlikely to make wholesale changes for this game, but he may be tempted to rotate. Their away form is a bit concerning. Under Darren Moore, the Baggies struggled at the Hawthornes, but found winning on the road came easy, however Shan’s arrival has inverted those formlines, and they are currently struggling to pick up points on their travels.
Derby’s home form is exceptional, and they always play far better in front of their own fans. Mason Mount is the key man once again, and he will be looking to co-ordinate things in the centre of the park. If the Chelsea loanee can take control of this game, Derby should be able to secure three points.
Only three sides have beaten them here this season, and I can’t see WBA adding their name to that list. Shan’s men have recently been outclassed by Leeds and Bristol C on the road, and I think they will chalk up another loss here.
Derby have been scoring goals from all over the field with Richard Keogh notching the opener against Swansea in midweek. Very few players have scored more important goals this season than Harry Wilson, and the 22-year old is the man for the big occasion. He’s deadly from a set-piece situation, and this could be his final game in a Derby shirt, if he can’t help guide the Rams to the play-offs.
He’s netted 16 times this season, with eight of those coming at Pride Park.
He scored both goals against QPR recently, which helped keep them firmly in the play-off race, and I think he can step up again here.
Derby will know that they can’t afford to sit back if they go in front. There will be a few nerves around Pride Park, and the fans will be encouraging their team to go for broke here.
West Brom looked far from convincing last week at the back against Rotherham, and Derby will be looking to take a healthy lead in this one.
The Rams have scored at least two goals in six of their last nine home games, and they could continue that positive record here. Over 1.5 Derby Team Goals is 4/5 with Bet365 and it is the third of our betting tips for this crucial Championship encounter.
Derby Win – Evens
Draw – 5/2
West Brom Win – 14/5
Odds from Unibet