Mansfield vs Newport County predictions and betting tips for this crucial second leg of the League Two play-off semi-finals on Sunday 12th May. It ended 1-1 at Rodney Parade with both sides playing their part in a tremendously exciting 90 minutes. Can Mansfield take advantage of being back at Field Mill?
Mansfield have beaten Newport 3-0 and 5-0 during their last two meetings at this ground
Newport won just six times on the road this season
Mansfield have the third best home form in League Two. Only Bury and Newport can boast a better record in front of their own fans
Kick Off Time: 18:00pm
Date: Sunday 12th May, 2019
Venue: Field Mill
Thursday night proved to be a frustrating one for Newport fans, who saw their side fail to make the most of home advantage. As predicted, it was a low-scoring game, but it wasn’t short on quality, and there were plenty of chances throughout the 90 minutes.
Mansfield’s fast-start really caught Newport off-guard, and their swift counter-attacking football helped them take an early lead at Rodney Parade. The Stags are quick, they have pace in their side, and they will be looking to cause problems for their opponents once again.
Flitcroft’s men were excellent at home this season, with only two sides possessing better records on their own patch. Only four sides won at this ground, and it’s going to be difficult for Mike Flynn’s men to book their place in the final.
Head-to-head records are generally taken with a pinch of salt when it comes to the end of season play-offs, but Newport have generally struggled on previous visits here, and that doesn’t bode well.
Mansfield arguably should have been further ahead in the first half, and they should be able to take advantage of the home crowd here. They will have to take a different approach here, as counter-attacking football is unlikely to bear fruit in this second leg. They are likely to start on the front foot.
I enjoyed Newport’s spirited second half display, but having played far more games this season, energy levels may be slightly lower this time around.
Mansfield are favourites, and rightly so, and I think they will be able to book their place at Wembley with a victory inside 90 minutes here.
Mansfield have scored plenty of goals at home this season, with only five sides scoring more on their own patch. CJ Hamilton got the goal on Thursday, but Tyler Walker looked dangerous throughout, and Jacob Mellis showed plenty of quality throughout the 90 mins.
Mansfield only failed to score three times in front of their fans this season, and they’ll be aiming to start quickly in this tie. They should be able to find the net.
Newport have nothing to lose now, they must simply attack their opponents, and Mike Flynn’s side will be up for this. Conrad Logan made a number of decent stops in the first leg, and the big keeper is likely to be fairly busy once more.
The Exiles have now scored in six of their last seven games, and netted seven times in their last four League Two matches. With Padraig Amond’s penchant for scoring in big games combined with Jamille Matt’s energy, they should have enough to get on the score-sheet.
Both Teams to Score? Yes is priced at a tempting 11/10 with Betfred, and it’s the second of our League Two betting tips for Sunday. New customers can get a £30 free bet to use on this game.
Read More: Fancy some goals? See today’s best BTTS tip won last week at 7/1
The aforementioned Jacob Mellis was excellent in the first leg, and he certainly looked up for it. The former Chelsea youngster has not always been the most consistent performer, but he does have plenty of good days, and he could be the difference maker here.
He’s scored four times this season, with his last goal coming at this stadium. He’s also scored some big goals this campaign with strikes against MK Dons and Lincoln amongst his contributions.
Mellis was one of the best players on the pitch on Thursday, and he tested Joe Day from range on a couple of occasions. He could have a change of luck on Sunday.
Jacob Mellis to Score Anytime is the third of our League Two betting tips, and he is 11/2 with Bet365. New customers can get a £100 of free bet credits to use on this week’s action.
Mansfield Win – 10/11
Draw – 12/5
Newport Win – 13/5
Odds from William Hill