League Two Tips from our Stats Prediction Model

League Two tips

Our free League Two tips cover every EFL matchday — best bets, bet builders and accumulators for the biggest fourth-tier fixtures, each backed by the stats. Every selection on this page carries two numbers: our probability and the market’s. That comparison is the whole method, and it is the only reason to read us rather than anyone else.

Every betting price is a probability in disguise. A shot at 8/11 is the bookmaker saying 58%; a goalscorer at 10/3 is the bookmaker saying 23%. We work out the same number independently and publish both, so you can see exactly where we disagree with the market and by how much.

Our figure comes from the player’s own record rather than from opinion. For a shots or goalscorer line, we count how often he has cleared it in his last six matches and check the rate per 90 minutes behind it. For a team market, we use both sides’ last 20 matches. When a rate comes off a small sample, we pull it toward a positional baseline before quoting it, because four goals in 266 minutes is a hot streak rather than a rate.

A selection needs three things to appear here. A 40% chance or better on our figure, because a large edge on a 20% shot is a lottery ticket rather than a bet. A price of 4/6 or longer, so the return justifies the risk. And a gap to the market of no more than 20 points — the bookmaker is usually right, and when our number sits far above theirs, the likelier explanation is that ours is wrong.

That last rule is why some fixtures appear here with nothing. We publish the blanks too, in the section below the selections, along with the markets we considered and rejected. A round where four of 12 fixtures produce no bet is a result rather than an oversight.

Prices are checked on the morning of the round and change. Where no referee has been appointed, we use a league-average official of 4.20 cards a game, the mean across the referees we have measured, and say so on the selection. League Two throws up bigger prices and thinner markets than the divisions above, so the discipline matters more here, not less.

This Week’s League Two Tips

Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town Tips

League Two · Sat 24 Oct 12:30

5 tips
  1. Tom James 1+ ShotsTBCbet365

    Tom James has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Bristol Rovers, at 1.01 per 90 across 985 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

    Bristol Rovers take 14.15 shots a game and hit 4.35 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  2. Aaron Drinan 1+ Shot on TargetTBCbet365

    Aaron Drinan has had a shot on target in 9 of his last 10 for Swindon Town, at 1.04 per 90 across 1,731 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

    Swindon Town take 9.55 shots a game and hit 3.35 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  3. Shaqai Forde 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

    Shaqai Forde has committed a foul in 10 of his last 10 for Bristol Rovers, at 2.46 per 90 across 1,463 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.

    Swindon Town hold 46.35% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  4. Bristol Rovers to Win8/15Add to slip

    Bristol Rovers have won 12 of their last 20, drawing 1, and at home they have scored 2.10 a game and conceded 0.90 across 10 matches.

    Swindon Town average 1.05 scored and 1.50 conceded. The venue splits project 1.94 against 0.86, which puts Bristol Rovers at about 62% to win, against 21% for the draw.

  5. Correct Score 1-015/2Add to slip

    On the venue splits this projects Bristol Rovers 1.94 against Swindon Town 0.86, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 10.1%.

    Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Bristol Rovers, which is where the board has the match too.

Cheltenham Town vs Newport County Tips

League Two · Sat 24 Oct 12:30

11 tips
  1. Charlie McCann 1+ ShotsTBCbet365

    Charlie McCann has had a shot in 10 of his last 10 for Cheltenham Town, at 1.82 per 90 across 989 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

    Cheltenham Town take 9.15 shots a game and hit 3.1 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  2. Jake Evans 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

    Jake Evans has committed a foul in 10 of his last 10 for Cheltenham Town, at 2.08 per 90 across 910 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

    Newport County hold 42.1% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  3. Charlie McCann Anytime Goalscorer9/4Add to slip

    Charlie McCann has scored in 5 of his last 10 for Cheltenham Town, at 0.64 per 90 across 989 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

    Cheltenham Town score 1.55 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.

  4. Andreas Weimann Anytime Goalscorer21/10Add to slip

    Andreas Weimann has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Cheltenham Town, at 0.41 per 90 across 878 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.

    Cheltenham Town score 1.55 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.

  5. Shaquille Gwengwe Anytime Goalscorer21/10Add to slip

    Shaquille Gwengwe has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Newport County, at 0.6 per 90 across 754 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.

    Newport County score 1.30 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.

  6. Jonathan Tomkinson to be CardedTBCbet365

    Jonathan Tomkinson has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Cheltenham Town, at 0.32 per 90 across 1,706 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

    Cheltenham Town pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 3.6 in their matches. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  7. Cheltenham Town to Win8/5Add to slip

    Cheltenham Town have won 8 of their last 20, drawing 4, and at home they have scored 1.73 a game and conceded 1.73 across 11 matches.

    Newport County average 1.30 scored and 1.35 conceded. The venue splits project 1.69 against 1.32, which puts Cheltenham Town at about 41% to win, against 24% for the draw.

  8. Both Teams to Score4/6Add to slip

    Both teams have scored in 14 of Cheltenham Town's last 20 matches and 12 of Newport County's. Cheltenham Town concede 1.80 a game and Newport County 1.35.

    On the venue splits the projection is 1.69 against 1.32, which puts both teams scoring at about 62%.

  9. Over 2.5 Goals9/10Add to slip

    Cheltenham Town have gone past 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 20 matches and Newport County in 55%, with 90% and 70% going past 1.5.

    Cheltenham Town average 1.55 scored and 1.80 conceded, Newport County 1.30 and 1.35. On the venue splits that projects 1.69 against 1.32, about 3.0 goals in the match and 60% for over 2.5.

  10. Correct Score 2-19/1Add to slip

    On the venue splits this projects Cheltenham Town 1.69 against Newport County 1.32, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.3%.

    Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Cheltenham Town, which is where the board has the match too.

  11. Cheltenham Town to Win and Both Teams to Score4/1Add to slip

    Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Cheltenham Town to win is about 41% and both teams scoring about 62%. Cheltenham Town score 1.55 a game and concede 1.80, and Newport County have scored in 12 of their last 20.

    bet365 price the combination at 4/1.

Northampton Town vs Colchester United Tips

League Two · Sat 24 Oct 12:30

4 tips
  1. Jack Payne 1+ ShotsTBCbet365

    Jack Payne has had a shot in 10 of his last 10 for Colchester United, at 2.41 per 90 across 1,568 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

    Colchester United take 13.85 shots a game and hit 4.2 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  2. Joe Wormleighton 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

    Joe Wormleighton has committed a foul in 8 of his last 9 for Northampton Town, at 1.69 per 90 across 747 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.

    Colchester United hold 55.9% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  3. Under 2.5 Goals4/6Add to slip

    Northampton Town have stayed under 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Colchester United in 60%, with just 25% and 25% of their matches going past 3.5.

    Northampton Town average 0.70 scored and 1.70 conceded, Colchester United 1.15 and 1.15. On the venue splits that projects 1.03 against 1.21, about 2.2 goals in the match and 62% for under 2.5.

  4. Correct Score 1-011/2Add to slip

    On the venue splits this projects Northampton Town 1.03 against Colchester United 1.21, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.1%.

    Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Northampton Town, which is where the board has the match too.

Barnet vs Oldham Athletic Tips

League Two · Sat 24 Oct 15:00

11 tips
  1. Idris Kanu 1+ ShotsTBCbet365

    Idris Kanu has had a shot in 9 of his last 10 for Barnet, at 1.7 per 90 across 1,327 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.

    Barnet take 15.45 shots a game and hit 5.2 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  2. Charlie Lakin 1+ Shot on TargetTBCbet365

    Charlie Lakin has had a shot on target in 8 of his last 10 for Barnet, at 1.54 per 90 across 879 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.

    Barnet take 15.45 shots a game and hit 5.2 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  3. Kabongo Tshimanga 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

    Kabongo Tshimanga has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Barnet, at 2.16 per 90 across 1,751 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.

    Oldham Athletic hold 47.7% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  4. Kabongo Tshimanga Anytime Goalscorer5/4Add to slip

    Kabongo Tshimanga has scored in 7 of his last 10 for Barnet, at 0.77 per 90 across 1,751 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.

    Barnet score 2.45 a game. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.

  5. Charlie Lakin Anytime Goalscorer6/4Add to slip

    Charlie Lakin has scored in 5 of his last 10 for Barnet, at 0.61 per 90 across 879 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.

    Barnet score 2.45 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.

  6. Over 10.5 Corners11/10Add to slip

    Barnet win 6.85 corners a game and Oldham Athletic 5.1, with 3.65 and 2.6 of those in the first half.

    That leaves about 12 in the match, a 65% chance of 11 or more against the 48% implied by 11/10.

  7. Barnet to Win8/11Add to slip

    Barnet come in on L W W W W D, and at home they have scored 2.40 a game and conceded 1.60 across 10 matches. They have won 13 of their last 20 overall, drawing 5.

    Oldham Athletic average 1.45 scored and 1.50 conceded. The venue splits project 2.43 against 1.25, which puts Barnet at about 59% to win, against 18% for the draw.

  8. Both Teams to Score8/13Add to slip

    Both teams have scored in 19 of Barnet's last 20 matches and 11 of Oldham Athletic's. Barnet concede 1.45 a game and Oldham Athletic 1.50.

    On the venue splits the projection is 2.43 against 1.25, which puts both teams scoring at about 70%.

  9. Over 2.5 Goals13/20Add to slip

    Barnet have gone past 2.5 goals in 85% of their last 20 matches and Oldham Athletic in 65%, with 95% and 90% going past 1.5.

    Barnet average 2.45 scored and 1.45 conceded, Oldham Athletic 1.45 and 1.50. On the venue splits that projects 2.43 against 1.25, about 3.7 goals in the match and 73% for over 2.5.

  10. Correct Score 2-115/2Add to slip

    On the venue splits this projects Barnet 2.43 against Oldham Athletic 1.25, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.9%.

    Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Barnet, which is where the board has the match too.

  11. Barnet to Win and Both Teams to Score9/4Add to slip

    Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Barnet to win is about 59% and both teams scoring about 70%. Barnet score 2.45 a game and concede 1.45, and Oldham Athletic have scored in 11 of their last 20.

    bet365 price the combination at 9/4.

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Chesterfield vs Crewe Alexandra Tips

League Two · Sat 24 Oct 15:00

8 tips
  1. Louie Marsh 2+ ShotsTBCbet365

    Louie Marsh has had 2 or more shots in 9 of his last 9 for Chesterfield, at 4.75 per 90 across 644 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.

    Chesterfield take 15.35 shots a game and hit 4.8 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  2. Dilan Markanday 1+ Shot on TargetTBCbet365

    Dilan Markanday has had a shot on target in 8 of his last 10 for Chesterfield, at 1.18 per 90 across 1,524 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

    Chesterfield take 15.35 shots a game and hit 4.8 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  3. George James McEachran 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

    George James McEachran has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Chesterfield, at 1.88 per 90 across 957 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.

    Crewe Alexandra hold 50.0% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  4. Louie Marsh Anytime Goalscorer7/4Add to slip

    Louie Marsh has scored in 4 of his last 9 for Chesterfield, at 0.7 per 90 across 644 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.

    Chesterfield score 1.35 a game. That is about 44% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.

  5. Dilan Markanday Anytime Goalscorer15/8Add to slip

    Dilan Markanday has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Chesterfield, at 0.3 per 90 across 1,524 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

    Chesterfield score 1.35 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 35% implied by 15/8.

  6. Over 9.5 Corners8/11Add to slip

    Chesterfield win 6.1 corners a game and Crewe Alexandra 4.9, with 2.6 and 2.25 of those in the first half.

    That leaves about 11 in the match, a 66% chance of 10 or more against the 58% implied by 8/11.

  7. Chesterfield to Win8/13Add to slip

    Chesterfield have won 8 of their last 20, drawing 7, and at home they have scored 1.60 a game and conceded 1.10 across 10 matches.

    Crewe Alexandra average 1.25 scored and 1.10 conceded. The venue splits project 1.35 against 0.98, which puts Chesterfield at about 51% to win, against 28% for the draw.

  8. Correct Score 1-015/2Add to slip

    On the venue splits this projects Chesterfield 1.35 against Crewe Alexandra 0.98, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 10.8%.

    Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Chesterfield, which is where the board has the match too.

Crawley Town vs Tranmere Rovers Tips

League Two · Sat 24 Oct 15:00

5 tips
  1. Dylan Morgan 1+ ShotsTBCbet365

    Dylan Morgan has had a shot in 8 of his last 8 for Crawley Town, at 2.62 per 90 across 584 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.

    Crawley Town take 12.6 shots a game and hit 3.75 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  2. Patrick Brough 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

    Patrick Brough has committed a foul in 7 of his last 8 for Tranmere Rovers, at 1.77 per 90 across 558 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.

    Crawley Town hold 53.3% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  3. Under 9.5 Corners4/5bet365

    Crawley Town win 4.15 corners a game and Tranmere Rovers 4.0, with 2.0 and 2.3 of those in the first half.

    That leaves about 8 in the match, a 70% chance of 9 or fewer against the 56% implied by 4/5.

  4. Under 2.5 Goals21/20Add to slip

    Crawley Town have stayed under 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 20 matches and Tranmere Rovers in 65%, with just 30% and 20% of their matches going past 3.5.

    Crawley Town average 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, Tranmere Rovers 1.05 and 1.30. On the venue splits that projects 1.22 against 1.08, about 2.3 goals in the match and 61% for under 2.5.

  5. Correct Score 1-09/1Add to slip

    On the venue splits this projects Crawley Town 1.22 against Tranmere Rovers 1.08, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.7%.

    Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Crawley Town, which is where the board has the match too.

Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town Tips

League Two · Sat 24 Oct 15:00

6 tips
  1. Lewis McCann 1+ ShotsTBCbet365

    Lewis McCann has had a shot in 10 of his last 10 for Fleetwood Town, at 2.11 per 90 across 1,066 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.

    Fleetwood Town take 13.85 shots a game and hit 4.1 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  2. Ched Evans 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

    Ched Evans has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Fleetwood Town, at 2.51 per 90 across 1,328 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.

    Exeter City hold 46.85% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  3. Rhys Bennett to be CardedTBCbet365

    Rhys Bennett has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Fleetwood Town, at 0.41 per 90 across 1,111 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.

    Fleetwood Town pick up 2.4 cards a game and there are 4.35 in their matches. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  4. Exeter City to Win31/20Add to slip

    Exeter City have won 5 of their last 20, drawing 8, and at home they have scored 1.30 a game and conceded 0.60 across 10 matches.

    Fleetwood Town average 1.20 scored and 1.35 conceded. The venue splits project 1.31 against 0.84, which puts Exeter City at about 42% to win, against 28% for the draw.

  5. Under 2.5 Goals4/5Add to slip

    Exeter City have stayed under 2.5 goals in 75% of their last 20 matches and Fleetwood Town in 65%, with just 10% and 25% of their matches going past 3.5.

    Exeter City average 0.90 scored and 0.85 conceded, Fleetwood Town 1.20 and 1.35. On the venue splits that projects 1.31 against 0.84, about 2.2 goals in the match and 67% for under 2.5.

  6. Correct Score 1-015/2Add to slip

    On the venue splits this projects Exeter City 1.31 against Fleetwood Town 0.84, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.9%.

    Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Exeter City, which is where the board has the match too.

Gillingham vs Grimsby Town Tips

League Two · Sat 24 Oct 15:00

6 tips
  1. Ronan Hale 1+ ShotsTBCbet365

    Ronan Hale has had a shot in 9 of his last 10 for Gillingham, at 2.61 per 90 across 1,656 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.

    Gillingham take 9.3 shots a game and hit 3.05 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  2. Maldini Kacurri 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

    Maldini Kacurri has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Grimsby Town, at 1.35 per 90 across 1,739 minutes, and he averages 92 minutes a game when he plays.

    Gillingham hold 45.65% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  3. Kieran Green Anytime Goalscorer11/5Add to slip

    Kieran Green has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Grimsby Town, at 0.42 per 90 across 1,734 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

    Grimsby Town score 1.65 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 11/5.

  4. Ronan Hale Anytime Goalscorer2/1Add to slip

    Ronan Hale has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Gillingham, at 0.38 per 90 across 1,656 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.

    Gillingham score 1.30 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.

  5. Both Teams to Score8/13Add to slip

    Both teams have scored in 10 of Gillingham's last 20 matches and 13 of Grimsby Town's. Gillingham concede 1.50 a game and Grimsby Town 1.25.

    On the venue splits the projection is 1.38 against 1.32, which puts both teams scoring at about 56%.

  6. Correct Score 1-28/1Add to slip

    On the venue splits this projects Gillingham 1.38 against Grimsby Town 1.32, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.0%.

    Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Grimsby Town, which is where the board has the match too.

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Rochdale vs Accrington Stanley Tips

League Two · Sat 24 Oct 15:00

11 tips
  1. Josh Woods 1+ ShotsTBCbet365

    Josh Woods has had a shot in 9 of his last 10 for Accrington Stanley, at 2.88 per 90 across 1,625 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.

    Accrington Stanley take 12.6 shots a game and hit 4.05 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  2. Dajaune Brown 1+ Shot on TargetTBCbet365

    Dajaune Brown has had a shot on target in 9 of his last 10 for Rochdale, at 0.97 per 90 across 1,022 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.

    Rochdale take 9.93 shots a game and hit 3.13 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  3. Devon Matthews 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

    Devon Matthews has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Accrington Stanley, at 1.75 per 90 across 1,492 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.

    Rochdale hold 55.33% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  4. Josh Woods Anytime Goalscorer12/5Add to slip

    Josh Woods has scored in 5 of his last 10 for Accrington Stanley, at 0.55 per 90 across 1,625 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.

    Accrington Stanley score 1.30 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.

  5. Charlie Caton Anytime Goalscorer2/1Add to slip

    Charlie Caton has scored in 3 of his last 7 for Accrington Stanley, at 0.91 per 90 across 496 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.

    Accrington Stanley score 1.30 a game. That is about 43% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.

  6. Dajaune Brown Anytime Goalscorer11/4Add to slip

    Dajaune Brown has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Rochdale, at 0.35 per 90 across 1,022 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.

    Rochdale score 1.40 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.

  7. Rochdale to Win6/4Add to slip

    Rochdale have won 8 of their last 20, drawing 6, and at home they have scored 1.70 a game and conceded 1.50 across 10 matches.

    Accrington Stanley average 1.30 scored and 1.60 conceded. The venue splits project 1.76 against 1.10, which puts Rochdale at about 45% to win, against 24% for the draw.

  8. Both Teams to Score8/11Add to slip

    Both teams have scored in 13 of Rochdale's last 20 matches and 12 of Accrington Stanley's. Rochdale concede 1.40 a game and Accrington Stanley 1.60.

    On the venue splits the projection is 1.76 against 1.10, which puts both teams scoring at about 59%.

  9. Over 2.5 Goals19/20Add to slip

    Rochdale have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Accrington Stanley in 55%, with 80% and 90% going past 1.5.

    Rochdale average 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, Accrington Stanley 1.30 and 1.60. On the venue splits that projects 1.76 against 1.10, about 2.9 goals in the match and 57% for over 2.5.

  10. Correct Score 2-19/1Add to slip

    On the venue splits this projects Rochdale 1.76 against Accrington Stanley 1.10, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.5%.

    Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Rochdale, which is where the board has the match too.

  11. Rochdale to Win and Both Teams to Score4/1Add to slip

    Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Rochdale to win is about 45% and both teams scoring about 59%. Rochdale score 1.40 a game and concede 1.40, and Accrington Stanley have scored in 12 of their last 20.

    bet365 price the combination at 4/1.

Rotherham United vs Shrewsbury Town Tips

League Two · Sat 24 Oct 15:00

7 tips
  1. Paul Mullin 1+ ShotsTBCbet365

    Paul Mullin has had a shot in 10 of his last 10 for Rotherham United, at 2.6 per 90 across 866 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.

    Rotherham United take 11.35 shots a game and hit 3.3 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  2. Kian McMahon-Brown 1+ Shot on TargetTBCbet365

    Kian McMahon-Brown has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 8 for Shrewsbury Town, at 1.11 per 90 across 648 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.

    Shrewsbury Town take 12.15 shots a game and hit 3.55 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  3. William Boyle 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

    William Boyle has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Shrewsbury Town, at 1.06 per 90 across 1,620 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

    Rotherham United hold 50.7% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  4. Paul Mullin Anytime Goalscorer7/4Add to slip

    Paul Mullin has scored in 6 of his last 10 for Rotherham United, at 0.62 per 90 across 866 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.

    Rotherham United score 1.00 a game. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.

  5. Under 7.5 Corners2/1Add to slip

    Rotherham United win 3.5 corners a game and Shrewsbury Town 4.65, with 1.05 and 2.05 of those in the first half.

    That leaves about 8 in the match, a 43% chance of 7 or fewer against the 33% implied by 2/1.

  6. Under 2.5 Goals8/11Add to slip

    Rotherham United have stayed under 2.5 goals in 55% of their last 20 matches and Shrewsbury Town in 60%, with just 30% and 25% of their matches going past 3.5.

    Rotherham United average 1.00 scored and 1.65 conceded, Shrewsbury Town 0.90 and 1.35. On the venue splits that projects 1.32 against 1.05, about 2.4 goals in the match and 58% for under 2.5.

  7. Correct Score 1-013/2Add to slip

    On the venue splits this projects Rotherham United 1.32 against Shrewsbury Town 1.05, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.0%.

    Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Rotherham United, which is where the board has the match too.

York City vs Port Vale Tips

League Two · Sat 24 Oct 15:00

7 tips
  1. Joe Grey 1+ ShotsTBCbet365

    Joe Grey has had a shot in 10 of his last 10 for York City, at 2.09 per 90 across 991 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays.

    York City take 15.93 shots a game and hit 5.8 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  2. Ollie Pearce 1+ Shot on TargetTBCbet365

    Ollie Pearce has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 for York City, at 1.18 per 90 across 1,299 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

    York City take 15.93 shots a game and hit 5.8 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  3. Ollie Banks 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

    Ollie Banks has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for York City, at 1.21 per 90 across 1,266 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

    Port Vale hold 48.8% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

  4. Ollie Pearce Anytime Goalscorer11/10Add to slip

    Ollie Pearce has scored in 6 of his last 10 for York City, at 0.55 per 90 across 1,299 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

    York City score 1.80 a game. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 48% implied by 11/10.

  5. York City to Win19/20Add to slip

    York City have won 11 of their last 20, drawing 6, and at home they have scored 2.40 a game and conceded 0.60 across 10 matches.

    Port Vale average 0.65 scored and 1.10 conceded. The venue splits project 1.80 against 0.70, which puts York City at about 55% to win, against 22% for the draw.

  6. Under 2.5 Goals19/20Add to slip

    York City have stayed under 2.5 goals in 50% of their last 20 matches and Port Vale in 75%, with just 25% and 15% of their matches going past 3.5.

    York City average 1.80 scored and 0.90 conceded, Port Vale 0.65 and 1.10. On the venue splits that projects 1.80 against 0.70, about 2.5 goals in the match and 58% for under 2.5.

  7. Correct Score 1-07/1Add to slip

    On the venue splits this projects York City 1.80 against Port Vale 0.70, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.9%.

    Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs York City, which is where the board has the match too.

Long Lists of League One Tips – Create your own betslip from these

Bet on these as singles or add them to a betslip and create your own bet builder or accumulator across the League One matches taking place over the next few days.

Today's League Two Best Bets

Market
Why this betTom James has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Bristol Rovers, at 1.01 per 90 across 985 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Bristol Rovers take 14.15 shots a game and hit 4.35 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betAaron Drinan has had a shot on target in 9 of his last 10 for Swindon Town, at 1.04 per 90 across 1,731 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Swindon Town take 9.55 shots a game and hit 3.35 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betShaqai Forde has committed a foul in 10 of his last 10 for Bristol Rovers, at 2.46 per 90 across 1,463 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.Swindon Town hold 46.35% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betBristol Rovers have won 12 of their last 20, drawing 1, and at home they have scored 2.10 a game and conceded 0.90 across 10 matches.Swindon Town average 1.05 scored and 1.50 conceded. The venue splits project 1.94 against 0.86, which puts Bristol Rovers at about 62% to win, against 21% for the draw.
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Bristol Rovers 1.94 against Swindon Town 0.86, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 10.1%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Bristol Rovers, which is where the board has the match too.
Why this betCharlie McCann has had a shot in 10 of his last 10 for Cheltenham Town, at 1.82 per 90 across 989 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Cheltenham Town take 9.15 shots a game and hit 3.1 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
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Why this betJake Evans has committed a foul in 10 of his last 10 for Cheltenham Town, at 2.08 per 90 across 910 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.Newport County hold 42.1% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betCharlie McCann has scored in 5 of his last 10 for Cheltenham Town, at 0.64 per 90 across 989 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Cheltenham Town score 1.55 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.
Why this betAndreas Weimann has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Cheltenham Town, at 0.41 per 90 across 878 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.Cheltenham Town score 1.55 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.
Why this betShaquille Gwengwe has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Newport County, at 0.6 per 90 across 754 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.Newport County score 1.30 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.
Why this betJonathan Tomkinson has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Cheltenham Town, at 0.32 per 90 across 1,706 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Cheltenham Town pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 3.6 in their matches. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betCheltenham Town have won 8 of their last 20, drawing 4, and at home they have scored 1.73 a game and conceded 1.73 across 11 matches.Newport County average 1.30 scored and 1.35 conceded. The venue splits project 1.69 against 1.32, which puts Cheltenham Town at about 41% to win, against 24% for the draw.
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Why this betBoth teams have scored in 14 of Cheltenham Town's last 20 matches and 12 of Newport County's. Cheltenham Town concede 1.80 a game and Newport County 1.35.On the venue splits the projection is 1.69 against 1.32, which puts both teams scoring at about 62%.
Why this betCheltenham Town have gone past 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 20 matches and Newport County in 55%, with 90% and 70% going past 1.5.Cheltenham Town average 1.55 scored and 1.80 conceded, Newport County 1.30 and 1.35. On the venue splits that projects 1.69 against 1.32, about 3.0 goals in the match and 60% for over 2.5.
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Cheltenham Town 1.69 against Newport County 1.32, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.3%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Cheltenham Town, which is where the board has the match too.
Why this betTwo things have to land, and the numbers support both: Cheltenham Town to win is about 41% and both teams scoring about 62%. Cheltenham Town score 1.55 a game and concede 1.80, and Newport County have scored in 12 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 4/1.
Why this betJack Payne has had a shot in 10 of his last 10 for Colchester United, at 2.41 per 90 across 1,568 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Colchester United take 13.85 shots a game and hit 4.2 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betJoe Wormleighton has committed a foul in 8 of his last 9 for Northampton Town, at 1.69 per 90 across 747 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.Colchester United hold 55.9% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
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Why this betNorthampton Town have stayed under 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Colchester United in 60%, with just 25% and 25% of their matches going past 3.5.Northampton Town average 0.70 scored and 1.70 conceded, Colchester United 1.15 and 1.15. On the venue splits that projects 1.03 against 1.21, about 2.2 goals in the match and 62% for under 2.5.
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Northampton Town 1.03 against Colchester United 1.21, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.1%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Northampton Town, which is where the board has the match too.
Why this betIdris Kanu has had a shot in 9 of his last 10 for Barnet, at 1.7 per 90 across 1,327 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.Barnet take 15.45 shots a game and hit 5.2 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betCharlie Lakin has had a shot on target in 8 of his last 10 for Barnet, at 1.54 per 90 across 879 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Barnet take 15.45 shots a game and hit 5.2 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betKabongo Tshimanga has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Barnet, at 2.16 per 90 across 1,751 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Oldham Athletic hold 47.7% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betKabongo Tshimanga has scored in 7 of his last 10 for Barnet, at 0.77 per 90 across 1,751 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Barnet score 2.45 a game. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.
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Why this betCharlie Lakin has scored in 5 of his last 10 for Barnet, at 0.61 per 90 across 879 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Barnet score 2.45 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.
Why this betBarnet win 6.85 corners a game and Oldham Athletic 5.1, with 3.65 and 2.6 of those in the first half.That leaves about 12 in the match, a 65% chance of 11 or more against the 48% implied by 11/10.
Why this betBarnet come in on L W W W W D, and at home they have scored 2.40 a game and conceded 1.60 across 10 matches. They have won 13 of their last 20 overall, drawing 5.Oldham Athletic average 1.45 scored and 1.50 conceded. The venue splits project 2.43 against 1.25, which puts Barnet at about 59% to win, against 18% for the draw.
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 19 of Barnet's last 20 matches and 11 of Oldham Athletic's. Barnet concede 1.45 a game and Oldham Athletic 1.50.On the venue splits the projection is 2.43 against 1.25, which puts both teams scoring at about 70%.
Why this betBarnet have gone past 2.5 goals in 85% of their last 20 matches and Oldham Athletic in 65%, with 95% and 90% going past 1.5.Barnet average 2.45 scored and 1.45 conceded, Oldham Athletic 1.45 and 1.50. On the venue splits that projects 2.43 against 1.25, about 3.7 goals in the match and 73% for over 2.5.
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Barnet 2.43 against Oldham Athletic 1.25, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.9%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Barnet, which is where the board has the match too.
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Why this betTwo things have to land, and the numbers support both: Barnet to win is about 59% and both teams scoring about 70%. Barnet score 2.45 a game and concede 1.45, and Oldham Athletic have scored in 11 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 9/4.
Why this betLouie Marsh has had 2 or more shots in 9 of his last 9 for Chesterfield, at 4.75 per 90 across 644 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.Chesterfield take 15.35 shots a game and hit 4.8 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betDilan Markanday has had a shot on target in 8 of his last 10 for Chesterfield, at 1.18 per 90 across 1,524 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.Chesterfield take 15.35 shots a game and hit 4.8 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betGeorge James McEachran has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Chesterfield, at 1.88 per 90 across 957 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.Crewe Alexandra hold 50.0% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betLouie Marsh has scored in 4 of his last 9 for Chesterfield, at 0.7 per 90 across 644 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.Chesterfield score 1.35 a game. That is about 44% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.
Why this betDilan Markanday has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Chesterfield, at 0.3 per 90 across 1,524 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.Chesterfield score 1.35 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 35% implied by 15/8.
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Why this betChesterfield win 6.1 corners a game and Crewe Alexandra 4.9, with 2.6 and 2.25 of those in the first half.That leaves about 11 in the match, a 66% chance of 10 or more against the 58% implied by 8/11.
Why this betChesterfield have won 8 of their last 20, drawing 7, and at home they have scored 1.60 a game and conceded 1.10 across 10 matches.Crewe Alexandra average 1.25 scored and 1.10 conceded. The venue splits project 1.35 against 0.98, which puts Chesterfield at about 51% to win, against 28% for the draw.
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Chesterfield 1.35 against Crewe Alexandra 0.98, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 10.8%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Chesterfield, which is where the board has the match too.
Why this betDylan Morgan has had a shot in 8 of his last 8 for Crawley Town, at 2.62 per 90 across 584 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.Crawley Town take 12.6 shots a game and hit 3.75 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betPatrick Brough has committed a foul in 7 of his last 8 for Tranmere Rovers, at 1.77 per 90 across 558 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.Crawley Town hold 53.3% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betCrawley Town win 4.15 corners a game and Tranmere Rovers 4.0, with 2.0 and 2.3 of those in the first half.That leaves about 8 in the match, a 70% chance of 9 or fewer against the 56% implied by 4/5.
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Why this betCrawley Town have stayed under 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 20 matches and Tranmere Rovers in 65%, with just 30% and 20% of their matches going past 3.5.Crawley Town average 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, Tranmere Rovers 1.05 and 1.30. On the venue splits that projects 1.22 against 1.08, about 2.3 goals in the match and 61% for under 2.5.
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Crawley Town 1.22 against Tranmere Rovers 1.08, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.7%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Crawley Town, which is where the board has the match too.
Why this betLewis McCann has had a shot in 10 of his last 10 for Fleetwood Town, at 2.11 per 90 across 1,066 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.Fleetwood Town take 13.85 shots a game and hit 4.1 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betChed Evans has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Fleetwood Town, at 2.51 per 90 across 1,328 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.Exeter City hold 46.85% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betRhys Bennett has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Fleetwood Town, at 0.41 per 90 across 1,111 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.Fleetwood Town pick up 2.4 cards a game and there are 4.35 in their matches. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betExeter City have won 5 of their last 20, drawing 8, and at home they have scored 1.30 a game and conceded 0.60 across 10 matches.Fleetwood Town average 1.20 scored and 1.35 conceded. The venue splits project 1.31 against 0.84, which puts Exeter City at about 42% to win, against 28% for the draw.
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Why this betExeter City have stayed under 2.5 goals in 75% of their last 20 matches and Fleetwood Town in 65%, with just 10% and 25% of their matches going past 3.5.Exeter City average 0.90 scored and 0.85 conceded, Fleetwood Town 1.20 and 1.35. On the venue splits that projects 1.31 against 0.84, about 2.2 goals in the match and 67% for under 2.5.
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Exeter City 1.31 against Fleetwood Town 0.84, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.9%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Exeter City, which is where the board has the match too.
Why this betRonan Hale has had a shot in 9 of his last 10 for Gillingham, at 2.61 per 90 across 1,656 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.Gillingham take 9.3 shots a game and hit 3.05 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betMaldini Kacurri has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Grimsby Town, at 1.35 per 90 across 1,739 minutes, and he averages 92 minutes a game when he plays.Gillingham hold 45.65% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betKieran Green has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Grimsby Town, at 0.42 per 90 across 1,734 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Grimsby Town score 1.65 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 11/5.
Why this betRonan Hale has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Gillingham, at 0.38 per 90 across 1,656 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.Gillingham score 1.30 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.
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Why this betBoth teams have scored in 10 of Gillingham's last 20 matches and 13 of Grimsby Town's. Gillingham concede 1.50 a game and Grimsby Town 1.25.On the venue splits the projection is 1.38 against 1.32, which puts both teams scoring at about 56%.
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Gillingham 1.38 against Grimsby Town 1.32, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.0%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Grimsby Town, which is where the board has the match too.
Why this betJosh Woods has had a shot in 9 of his last 10 for Accrington Stanley, at 2.88 per 90 across 1,625 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.Accrington Stanley take 12.6 shots a game and hit 4.05 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betDajaune Brown has had a shot on target in 9 of his last 10 for Rochdale, at 0.97 per 90 across 1,022 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.Rochdale take 9.93 shots a game and hit 3.13 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betDevon Matthews has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Accrington Stanley, at 1.75 per 90 across 1,492 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.Rochdale hold 55.33% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betJosh Woods has scored in 5 of his last 10 for Accrington Stanley, at 0.55 per 90 across 1,625 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.Accrington Stanley score 1.30 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.
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Why this betCharlie Caton has scored in 3 of his last 7 for Accrington Stanley, at 0.91 per 90 across 496 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.Accrington Stanley score 1.30 a game. That is about 43% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.
Why this betDajaune Brown has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Rochdale, at 0.35 per 90 across 1,022 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.Rochdale score 1.40 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.
Why this betRochdale have won 8 of their last 20, drawing 6, and at home they have scored 1.70 a game and conceded 1.50 across 10 matches.Accrington Stanley average 1.30 scored and 1.60 conceded. The venue splits project 1.76 against 1.10, which puts Rochdale at about 45% to win, against 24% for the draw.
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 13 of Rochdale's last 20 matches and 12 of Accrington Stanley's. Rochdale concede 1.40 a game and Accrington Stanley 1.60.On the venue splits the projection is 1.76 against 1.10, which puts both teams scoring at about 59%.
Why this betRochdale have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Accrington Stanley in 55%, with 80% and 90% going past 1.5.Rochdale average 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, Accrington Stanley 1.30 and 1.60. On the venue splits that projects 1.76 against 1.10, about 2.9 goals in the match and 57% for over 2.5.
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Rochdale 1.76 against Accrington Stanley 1.10, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.5%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Rochdale, which is where the board has the match too.
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Why this betTwo things have to land, and the numbers support both: Rochdale to win is about 45% and both teams scoring about 59%. Rochdale score 1.40 a game and concede 1.40, and Accrington Stanley have scored in 12 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 4/1.
Why this betPaul Mullin has had a shot in 10 of his last 10 for Rotherham United, at 2.6 per 90 across 866 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.Rotherham United take 11.35 shots a game and hit 3.3 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betKian McMahon-Brown has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 8 for Shrewsbury Town, at 1.11 per 90 across 648 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.Shrewsbury Town take 12.15 shots a game and hit 3.55 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betWilliam Boyle has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Shrewsbury Town, at 1.06 per 90 across 1,620 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Rotherham United hold 50.7% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betPaul Mullin has scored in 6 of his last 10 for Rotherham United, at 0.62 per 90 across 866 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.Rotherham United score 1.00 a game. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.
Why this betRotherham United win 3.5 corners a game and Shrewsbury Town 4.65, with 1.05 and 2.05 of those in the first half.That leaves about 8 in the match, a 43% chance of 7 or fewer against the 33% implied by 2/1.
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Why this betRotherham United have stayed under 2.5 goals in 55% of their last 20 matches and Shrewsbury Town in 60%, with just 30% and 25% of their matches going past 3.5.Rotherham United average 1.00 scored and 1.65 conceded, Shrewsbury Town 0.90 and 1.35. On the venue splits that projects 1.32 against 1.05, about 2.4 goals in the match and 58% for under 2.5.
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Rotherham United 1.32 against Shrewsbury Town 1.05, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.0%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Rotherham United, which is where the board has the match too.
Why this betJoe Grey has had a shot in 10 of his last 10 for York City, at 2.09 per 90 across 991 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays.York City take 15.93 shots a game and hit 5.8 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betOllie Pearce has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 for York City, at 1.18 per 90 across 1,299 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.York City take 15.93 shots a game and hit 5.8 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betOllie Banks has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for York City, at 1.21 per 90 across 1,266 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.Port Vale hold 48.8% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
Why this betOllie Pearce has scored in 6 of his last 10 for York City, at 0.55 per 90 across 1,299 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.York City score 1.80 a game. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 48% implied by 11/10.
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New Players Only. Free bet - one-time stake of £50, min odds 1.5, stake not returned. 1X wager the winnings. Wager from real balance first. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Max conversion: £200. Free bets and Bonuses are valid for 7 days. Limited to 1 sport & 5 casino brand/s within the network. Withdrawal requests void all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full terms apply. 18+ | #ad | BeGambleAware.org

Why this betYork City have won 11 of their last 20, drawing 6, and at home they have scored 2.40 a game and conceded 0.60 across 10 matches.Port Vale average 0.65 scored and 1.10 conceded. The venue splits project 1.80 against 0.70, which puts York City at about 55% to win, against 22% for the draw.
Why this betYork City have stayed under 2.5 goals in 50% of their last 20 matches and Port Vale in 75%, with just 25% and 15% of their matches going past 3.5.York City average 1.80 scored and 0.90 conceded, Port Vale 0.65 and 1.10. On the venue splits that projects 1.80 against 0.70, about 2.5 goals in the match and 58% for under 2.5.
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects York City 1.80 against Port Vale 0.70, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.9%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs York City, which is where the board has the match too.


Our latest League Two predictions and best bets are shown above, updated every matchday. Each fixture preview includes our selection, the two probabilities behind it, and the stats that produced them — or an honest blank where the model finds no value.

How Our League Two Predictions Work

Every League Two tip on this page is produced the same way: we calculate our own probability for a market from the underlying record — a player’s shots or goalscoring rate over his last six games, or both teams’ last 20 matches for a team market — and compare it directly to the probability implied by the bookmaker’s price. A selection is only published when our number clears 40%, the price is 4/6 or bigger, and our figure sits within 20 points of the market. Everything else is left out, and the rejected markets are listed with the blanks. It’s a disciplined, stats-led approach rather than a set of hunches.

League Two Best Bets by Market

However you like to bet on League Two, our stats-based selections cover the main markets:

League Two Free Bets

New customers can claim a welcome offer to put towards the matchday. Compare the best free bets on our football free bets page — with offers up to £50 from a range of bookmakers.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the best League Two tips this week? Our latest League Two tips and best bets are shown at the top of this page, updated every matchday with our selection and the probabilities behind it for each fixture we bet.

How do you make your League Two predictions? We calculate our own probability for each market from player and team records, then compare it to the bookmaker’s implied probability. A bet is only published when our figure clears 40%, the price is 4/6 or longer, and the gap to the market is 20 points or less.

Why do some League Two fixtures have no tip? If the model doesn’t find a selection that meets all three criteria, we publish no bet for that fixture — and list the markets we considered and rejected. A blank is a result, not an oversight.

Are your League Two tips free? Yes — all our League Two tips and predictions are completely free.


More football tips: League One tips · Championship tips · Premier League tips · Football free bets

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