Jones Knows’ Premier League Predictions: Gameweek 6
Sky Sports’ Lewis Jones, better known as Jones Knows, is back with his Premier League predictions for the weekend of 10-12 October, and here is how he reads all 10 games – a score and a best bet for every fixture in around 100 words.
His week is shaped by the unusually long international break and the disruption it tends to cause, and that thinking runs through picks from Arsenal’s lunchtime opener to the Monday night at Coventry.
Jones Knows Score Predictions this Weekend
| Fixture | Prediction |
|---|---|
| Arsenal vs Leeds | 1-0 |
| Aston Villa vs Brentford | 2-1 |
| Chelsea vs Bournemouth | 3-1 |
| Ipswich vs Fulham | 2-1 |
| Sunderland vs Brighton | 2-1 |
| Man United vs Tottenham | 1-2 |
| Crystal Palace vs Nottm Forest | 1-1 |
| Hull vs Everton | 1-1 |
| Liverpool vs Man City | 1-2 |
| Coventry vs Newcastle | 1-1 |
Prices are Sky Bet’s and correct at the time of writing. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.
Arsenal v Leeds (Saturday, 12:30)
Jones Knows is building his week around the disruption an unusually long international break tends to cause, and he expects first halves to be the casualty. After the first break of a season, he points out, first-half goals historically dip by around 0.3 a game; in the Premier League slice of that sample the first-half average falls to 0.82, and half of those matches were still goalless at the interval, well above the long-run 27% rate. Leeds reinforce the angle – just two first-half goals conceded in their last 20, 11 of them goalless at the break. He makes the 9/4 about a half-time 0-0 his headline play and still sees Arsenal edging it late.
Jones Knows’ prediction: 1-0 · Best bet: 0-0 at half-time (9/4)
Aston Villa v Brentford (Saturday, 15:00)
Jones Knows thinks the market has gone too far in almost making Brentford favourites at Villa Park. He understands the affection for Brentford but won’t rank them above an Unai Emery side on home soil. Villa’s rebuild, he argues, is quietly coming together – Johan Manzambi, Zion Suzuki and Nicolas Jackson all caught the eye in the win at Tottenham, and there was genuine cohesion despite so many new faces. Crucially, Emery is unbeaten in his last 10 matches after an international break, winning six of them. With home advantage and a manager he trusts implicitly, Jones is happy to oppose the market at 13/8 and take the home win.
Jones Knows’ prediction: 2-1 · Best bet: Villa to win (13/8)
Chelsea v Bournemouth (Saturday, 15:00)
Alex Scott’s six-week absence weakens Bournemouth, and Jones Knows is not convinced the market has reacted enough to it. The Cherries have failed to win all four games they have played without Scott in the Premier League since the start of last season, including a flat 1-1 at home to Burnley. Chelsea at 7/10 to win is bordering on tempting, but he prefers to add goals to the mix: all five of their games have gone over 2.5, averaging 4.4, and both teams have scored in 13 of Bournemouth’s last 17 away games. Combining a Chelsea win, both teams to score and over 2.5 goals at 6/4 is his way in.
Jones Knows’ prediction: 3-1 · Best bet: Chelsea win, BTTS and over 2.5 goals (6/4)
Ipswich v Fulham (Saturday, 15:00)
Jones Knows is rolling the Leif Davis dice again while the prices stay inflated. Davis is operating as an aggressive left-back in Gary O’Neil’s 4-2-3-1 and has become one of Ipswich’s main attacking outlets, effectively a second winger when they have sustained possession. The role is getting the best from him – six shots in his last four starts, three on target and two goals. In a fixture he rates as winnable for Ipswich, Jones expects Davis to find space to work in and makes the 11/4 about him scoring or assisting his best bet, with a 2-1 home win his score call.
Jones Knows’ prediction: 2-1 · Best bet: Leif Davis to score or assist (11/4)
Sunderland v Brighton (Saturday, 15:00)
The betting markets love Brighton, and Jones Knows reckons they love them a little too much here. He detects a hint of overreaction in Sunderland’s injury news around the 2/1 on offer for a home win – Brian Brobbey and Dan Ballard are big players, but this is a side built on system and functionality rather than any one individual. Their underlying profile at the Stadium of Light is strong: just five defeats in 24 home matches since promotion, conceding under a goal a game across that run. Rather than the home win outright, he backs Sunderland on the draw-no-bet line at 11/10, with a 2-1 home win his prediction.
Jones Knows’ prediction: 2-1 · Best bet: Sunderland draw no bet (11/10)
Manchester United v Tottenham (Saturday, 17:30)
Jones Knows thinks Manchester United’s badge is masking how short they should really be. Their running numbers this season are becoming a problem – outrun by a total of 6.5km at Fulham, the second-biggest deficit any side has suffered in a league game this term – and they rank in the bottom five for distance covered, bottom four for sprints and bottom for high-speed runs. A team, he says, devoid of legs. Defeat would be their worst league start in 40 years, yet they are 4/6 to win. He finds that far too skinny and takes Tottenham on the double chance at 6/5.
Jones Knows’ prediction: 1-2 · Best bet: Tottenham double chance (6/5)
Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest (Sunday, 14:00)
Oliver Glasner’s return to Selhurst Park adds spice to a fixture Jones Knows sees as getting fierier by the meeting. With Forest having taken Palace’s most successful recent manager and replaced them in the Europa League, the recent games have been heated – an average of seven cards a game, with all of the last five going over the 4.5-card line. Goals, by contrast, have been scarce, all four recent meetings landing under 2.5, so he leaves the result as a 1-1 draw and attacks the booking angle instead, calling the Evens about over 3.5 cards a fantastic bet the market is sleeping on.
Jones Knows’ prediction: 1-1 · Best bet: Over 3.5 cards (Evens)
Hull v Everton (Sunday, 14:00)
Jones Knows has found his angle in Hull’s direct, physical approach rather than the result itself. Oli McBurnie’s all-action style and Hull’s long, direct game – the highest long-pass rate in the division and the lowest for possession and build-up – mean opposing centre-backs are fouled around once a game against them, and McBurnie has contested more aerial duels than any player in the league this season (57). That points him to Jarrad Branthwaite, already fouled three times in his last two outings and set for a running battle with McBurnie. The Evens about Branthwaite being fouled is his best bet, with the game a 1-1 draw.
Jones Knows’ prediction: 1-1 · Best bet: Jarrad Branthwaite to be fouled (Evens)
Liverpool v Manchester City (Sunday, 16:30)
Jones Knows expects a hostile Anfield but does not buy the idea that City’s off-field situation will unsettle them. With an independent Premier League Commission having found against the club – a verdict City are appealing, so the sporting consequences are not yet settled – he argues there is little sign so far that it has destabilised the playing group, and a siege mentality could even work in their favour, with Pep Guardiola and Erling Haaland both calling for positivity. Liverpool, meanwhile, are some way short of the finished article and were hit by injuries over the break. On that read he sides with the league leaders at 7/5 for the away win.
Jones Knows’ prediction: 1-2 · Best bet: Man City to win (7/5)
Coventry v Newcastle (Monday, 20:00)
Jones Knows is prepared to forgive Coventry their rough start given the schedule they have faced. They are the only team to have played all of the top three so far, losing 8-0 on aggregate across those games, so there may be mitigating circumstances we will understand better after this one. His interest is at set pieces, where Bobby Thomas is a real threat – 10 shots in five games – against a Newcastle side that has conceded more shots from set plays than anyone, 31 already. Thomas scored three in Coventry’s promotion season and looks ready to strike, so Jones takes the 8/1 about him scoring anytime.
Jones Knows’ prediction: 1-1 · Best bet: Bobby Thomas to score anytime (8/1)
Jones Knows’ Best Bets This Weekend
These are the four plays Jones Knows flags as his headline best bets for the round:
- 0-0 at half-time in Arsenal v Leeds (9/4 with Sky Bet)
- Leif Davis to score or assist in Ipswich v Fulham (11/4 with Sky Bet)
- Over 3.5 cards in Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest (Evens with Sky Bet)
- Jarrad Branthwaite to be fouled in Hull v Everton (Evens with Sky Bet)
Prices are Sky Bet’s and were correct at the time of writing – always confirm the current odds before betting.
Where to Bet on the Premier League
Jones Knows quotes Sky Bet throughout, but prices move and vary between firms, so it pays to hold a couple of accounts and take the best number on any selection you fancy. New customers can claim a welcome offer to get started, and our best UK betting sites and free bets pages run through the strongest options.
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To combine several of his tips into one bet, a football accumulator puts them together at a bigger price, and our best football betting sites guide covers the strongest accounts for goals and result markets.
Who Is Jones Knows?
Jones Knows is the betting-tips persona of Lewis Jones, one of Sky Sports’ most recognisable football tipsters. Writing under “The Jones Knows” banner, he provides weekly Premier League and midweek betting previews, specialising in value bets, best bets and accumulators rather than simply predicting scorelines. His confident, opinionated style — and a willingness to back big-priced calls — has made his column one of the most-read pundit tips in English football.
How Accurate Are Jones Knows’ Predictions?
Jones Knows’ tips are among the most followed in betting circles, and because he deals in specific selections at specific prices, his record is easy to follow. Like any tipster his form runs hot and cold across a season, but his value-led approach — targeting bigger prices rather than short-odds favourites — is why punters track his weekly best bet. We round up his standout results here so you can judge his form for yourself.
Jones Knows’ Predictions This Weekend
His previews typically land ahead of each weekend’s Premier League fixtures, along with midweek cards when they fall, and we update the table at the top of this page as soon as they’re published — so bookmark this page for his latest weekend tips and best bet.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Jones Knows’ predictions this week?
Jones Knows’ predictions and betting tips for this week’s Premier League fixtures are in the table at the top of this page, updated every gameweek.
Who is Jones Knows?
Jones Knows is the tipping persona of Lewis Jones, a Sky Sports football tipster who provides weekly Premier League betting previews, best bets and accumulators.
Where does Jones Knows make his predictions?
He writes “The Jones Knows” column for Sky Sports, giving betting tips and predictions for each round of fixtures.
Are Jones Knows’ predictions free?
Yes. We round up his latest tips for free and update them every gameweek of the 2026/27 season.
What is Jones Knows’ best bet this week?
His headline best bet is listed in the tips table at the top of this page, updated each gameweek alongside his other selections.
More football predictions and tips: Chris Sutton predictions · Paul Merson predictions · Football accumulator tips · Best football betting sites
Predictions are the opinion of Jones Knows (Lewis Jones) via Sky Sports and are not guaranteed. Odds subject to change. 18+. Please gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. GambleAware.org · GamCare.org.uk.