Jones Knows’ Premier League Predictions: Gameweek 5
ones Knows makes his score predictions and best bets for every Premier League fixture in his Sky Sports column. Here are his calls for Gameweek 5 of the 2026/27 season.
Jones Knows fancies Brentford to beat Chelsea and Hull to spring a surprise at Newcastle, alongside home wins for Forest, Leeds and Manchester City and a couple of draws, with stats-based player angles throughout. Here are his predictions in full, followed by his best bets.
| Fixture | Prediction |
|---|---|
| Brentford vs Chelsea | 2-1 |
| Tottenham vs Aston Villa | 1-1 |
| Brighton vs Arsenal | 1-1 |
| Everton vs Ipswich | 2-1 |
| Newcastle vs Hull | 1-2 |
| Nottingham Forest vs Coventry | 2-0 |
| Bournemouth vs Liverpool | 2-0 |
| Leeds vs Crystal Palace | 3-1 |
| Man City vs Sunderland | 2-0 |
| Fulham vs Man United | 2-3 |
Predictions are the opinion of Jones Knows, via Sky Sports, and are not guarantees. 18+. GambleAware.org.
Friday: Brentford 2-1 Chelsea
Jones Knows sees Chelsea as vulnerable to exactly the physical, second-ball and set-piece football Brentford specialise in, pointing to a softness exposed by Hull, who scored from a corner. He notes that among the 17 ever-present Premier League sides since last season, Chelsea have conceded the second-most set-piece goals at 0.5 per game, while Brentford have averaged 0.73 expected goals from set-pieces across the past three meetings. With “a set-piece feast” on the cards, he rates Brentford appealing in the draw-no-bet market and backs the Bees to win.
Saturday: Tottenham 1-1 Aston Villa
Jones Knows makes a strong low-scoring case. Tottenham’s goal problems are well documented — none in four games off just 0.95 expected goals per match — and he notes Roberto De Zerbi’s teams averaged 1.92 goals per game at Brighton and Marseille, against 0.73 at Spurs, suggesting a “mental block”. Villa have scored just once themselves. He sees both sides with genuine attacking-process problems for different reasons — Spurs lacking penetration, Villa lacking shot volume — and rates under 2.5 goals as too good to turn down.
Saturday: Brighton 1-1 Arsenal
Jones Knows notes Fabian Hurzeler is winless in five against Mikel Arteta but has bloodied Arsenal’s nose, with Brighton winning four of those five expected-goals battles — pointing to a tricky game despite Arsenal’s perfect start. He’d be wary of the away-win price, preferring the Brighton double chance. His player angle is Olivier Boscagli, likely tasked with Bukayo Saka, who has drawn 13 fouls in three games (three leading to bookings) — making Boscagli’s 2+ fouls, and a card, appealing given his two cards in two games against Arsenal.
Saturday: Everton 2-1 Ipswich Town
Jones Knows goes back to Leif Davis, ruefully noting he came off him for the Palace game only for Davis to score and assist. He argues Davis is far more than a traditional left-back — getting extremely advanced as a genuine attacking outlet, with two goals and an assist in four games, and four goals in his last seven including pre-season. The shot-on-target price is the angle he likes, feeling it’s big for a player whose positioning regularly gets him into attacking areas, so he backs Davis for 1+ shot on target.
Saturday: Newcastle 1-2 Hull City
Jones Knows likes opposing teams that have just been battered, citing the psychological hangover. Newcastle were hammered 4-1 at Leeds, with Matthias Jaissle admitting the result was hard to digest. He points to a horrible record for sides conceding four or more (excluding games against Arsenal, City and Liverpool) in their next match — just one win in the last 15, with five draws and nine defeats. That makes Hull or the draw interesting to him, and he backs the Tigers to spring a surprise at St James’ Park.
Saturday: Nottingham Forest 2-0 Coventry
Jones Knows makes James McAtee a strong card bet. His case is simple: a player in a Premier League midfield — the most physical, duel-heavy major league in Europe — who has made seven fouls in his last two games, picking up a yellow in both, shouldn’t be as big as the available price to be carded again. He sees it as a classic positional-change angle not yet factored into the market, with McAtee replacing Elliott Anderson’s hustle in the Forest midfield. A big price, and his best bet in a game he expects Forest to win.
Sunday: Bournemouth 2-1 Liverpool
Jones Knows leans on narrative: Andoni Iraola returning to Bournemouth with Liverpool for the first time, an occasion that could turn up the emotional temperature at the Vitality. He notes Iraola spent three seasons there, taking them to their highest-ever finish, and points to awkward first-return results for other managers — Moyes losing at Everton, Potter at Brighton, and draws for Frank, Rodgers and Pochettino at former clubs. With the home crowd and players knowing the manager and an extra edge to the occasion, he backs Bournemouth to win.
Sunday: Leeds United 3-1 Crystal Palace
Jones Knows rates backing Leeds at the right price a wise strategy — organised, aggressive, a set-piece threat and hard to beat, with just one defeat in their last 13, the fewest in the division, capped by dismantling Newcastle 4-1. The first-half numbers stand out most: across their last 19 games they’ve conceded just two first-half goals, keeping 17 first-half clean sheets. With Crystal Palace having shipped 11 goals in four games, he likes the Leeds half-time/full-time angle and backs a comfortable home win.
Sunday: Manchester City 2-0 Sunderland
Jones Knows highlights that Sunderland are the one Premier League side Erling Haaland has never scored against — he’s netted against 24 of the 25 teams he’s faced — making this a dangerous fixture for them given his form: scoring in each of his last three and nine times in his last nine league games, including the derby winner at Old Trafford. Rather than the short price on Haaland to score alone, he adds conditions — Haaland to score in a City win and under 3.5 goals — reasoning Sunderland are awkward to break down and City have been winning without goal-fests.
Sunday: Fulham 2-3 Manchester United
Jones Knows notes another poor result before the break would not suit Michael Carrick, with United having won one of four and thrown away a 2-0 lead against Brighton. The away-win price tempts him with Fulham likely to make it open, but he prefers a goals angle: the sides have the joint-most touches in the opposition box this season (139 each). One player stands out — Josh King, who has touched the ball in the opposition box more than anyone (30 times) and scored twice from 11 shots, five on target — making both teams to score and King 1+ shot on target his pick.
Jones Knows’ Best Bets for Gameweek 5
- Under 2.5 goals (Tottenham v Aston Villa)
- James McAtee to be carded (Nottingham Forest v Coventry)
- Leif Davis to have 1+ shot on target (Everton v Ipswich)
Best bets are the opinion of Jones Knows, via Sky Sports. Odds vary between bookmakers — always check the price and terms before betting. 18+. GambleAware.org.
Where to Bet on Jones Knows’ Predictions
Jones Knows deals in specific bets with prices, so his tips translate straight to the bet slip — from match results and goals markets to his weekly best bet. New customers can grab free bets to put towards them. Below are our top sign-up offers for this weekend’s football.
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To combine several of his tips into one bet, a football accumulator puts them together at a bigger price, and our best football betting sites guide covers the strongest accounts for goals and result markets.
Who Is Jones Knows?
Jones Knows is the betting-tips persona of Lewis Jones, one of Sky Sports’ most recognisable football tipsters. Writing under “The Jones Knows” banner, he provides weekly Premier League and midweek betting previews, specialising in value bets, best bets and accumulators rather than simply predicting scorelines. His confident, opinionated style — and a willingness to back big-priced calls — has made his column one of the most-read pundit tips in English football.
How Accurate Are Jones Knows’ Predictions?
Jones Knows’ tips are among the most followed in betting circles, and because he deals in specific selections at specific prices, his record is easy to follow. Like any tipster his form runs hot and cold across a season, but his value-led approach — targeting bigger prices rather than short-odds favourites — is why punters track his weekly best bet. We round up his standout results here so you can judge his form for yourself.
Jones Knows’ Predictions This Weekend
His previews typically land ahead of each weekend’s Premier League fixtures, along with midweek cards when they fall, and we update the table at the top of this page as soon as they’re published — so bookmark this page for his latest weekend tips and best bet.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Jones Knows’ predictions this week?
Jones Knows’ predictions and betting tips for this week’s Premier League fixtures are in the table at the top of this page, updated every gameweek.
Who is Jones Knows?
Jones Knows is the tipping persona of Lewis Jones, a Sky Sports football tipster who provides weekly Premier League betting previews, best bets and accumulators.
Where does Jones Knows make his predictions?
He writes “The Jones Knows” column for Sky Sports, giving betting tips and predictions for each round of fixtures.
Are Jones Knows’ predictions free?
Yes. We round up his latest tips for free and update them every gameweek of the 2026/27 season.
What is Jones Knows’ best bet this week?
His headline best bet is listed in the tips table at the top of this page, updated each gameweek alongside his other selections.
More football predictions and tips: Chris Sutton predictions · Paul Merson predictions · Football accumulator tips · Best football betting sites
Predictions are the opinion of Jones Knows (Lewis Jones) via Sky Sports and are not guaranteed. Odds subject to change. 18+. Please gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. GambleAware.org · GamCare.org.uk.
