Stayers Hurdle Tips 2021 (3.05pm Cheltenham Day 3)

Many people are talking up the Stayers Hurdle as the battle of Thyme Hill vs Paisley Park, but there is definitely some each-way value to be had and the likes of last years winner Lisnagar Oscar cannot be ruled out.

There are still a lot of horses declared for the Stayers Hurdle but even so, it is hard to see far beyond the first three or four in the ante-post betting market.

 

Stayers Hurdle Betting Tip 2021

The feature on Day 3 is the Stayers Hurdle. An open Grade 1 over 3m. Disappointing that Thyme Hill had to miss the race after a setback last week and that leaves Paisley Park at the top of the market. He’s looked right back to his best this season finishing second to Thyme Hill on his seasonal debut before winning the Grade 1 Long Walk Hurdle at Ascot last time out. He’s a worthy favourite who will be doing all his best work at the end of the race but at the prices I’m happy to look elsewhere.

The one for me is SIRE DU BERLAIS EW (5/1 with Bet Victor). He just loves it here at Cheltenham and this has been the race his whole season has been geared towards. He won a Grade 2 over 2m4f at Limerick to start his season where he kept on strongly that day and Mark Walsh couldn’t pull him up after the line. He was disappointing last time out over Christmas but a lot of the yards horses did so I’m not concerned. He has a fine Cheltenham Festival record winning the Pertemps the last two years including Off a mammoth weight of 11’12 in 2020. I think the return to Cheltenham is key and he’s a worthy each way bet against the favourite as he’ll definitely be there or thereabouts jumping the last.

EACH-WAY BET: SIRE DU BERLAIS EW (5/1 with Bet Victor)

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Stayers Hurdle Trends

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8.

Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting.

Last Run – 8 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Stayers Hurdle, 8/12 winners had their last run with 54 days.

6/12 winners ran in the Cleeve Hurdle (Cheltenham) on their last run, 4 of the 6 won, 1 placed.

Previous Course Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham.

Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 runs over 23-25 furlongs, 8/12 winners had at least 2 wins over 23-25 furlongs.

Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 8 previous runs over hurdles, 10/12 winners had at least 4 previous wins over hurdles.

Rating – 9/12 winners were rated 156 or higher.

Grade 1 Wins – 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous grade 1 win.

Grade 2 Wins – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous grade 2 win.

Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win that season.

 

Stayers Hurdle Recent Winners

Year Horse Jockey Trainer
2009 Big Bucks Ruby Walsh Paul Nicholls
2010 Big Bucks Ruby Walsh Paul Nicholls
2011 Big Bucks Ruby Walsh Paul Nicholls
2012 Big Bucks Ruby Walsh Paul Nicholls
2013 Solwhit Paul Carberry Charles Byrnes
2014 More of That Barry Geraghty Jonjo O’Neill
2015 Cole Harden Gavin Sheehan Warren Greatrex
2016 Thistlecrack Tom Scudamore Colin Tizzard
2017 Nichols Canyon Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins
2018 Penhill Paul Townend Willie Mullins
2019 Paisley Park Aidan Coleman Emma Lavelle
2020 Lisnagar Oscar Adam Wedge Rebecca Curtis

 

Stayers Hurdle 2020 Result

1st – Lisnagar Oscar (50/1)

2nd – Ronald Pump (20/1)

3rd – Bacardys (33/1)

4th – Emitom (10/1)

 

2021 Cheltenham Festival Tips