Southampton vs Derby County predictions and betting tips for this FA Cup replay match on Wednesday night with a goals prediction and anytime goalscorer included.
Expert Tipster Prediction: Southampton blew a two-goal lead at Pride Park in the first meeting between these sides but they should be able to make their Premier League quality count here. The Saints have certainly improved since the arrival of Ralph Hassenhutl and he is keen to ‘kick on’ following his side’s 2-1 victory against Leicester at the weekend. They’ve found their shooting boots once again and they aren’t as leaky at the back. There is still work to do but I think they can qualify for the next round here. They will face Accrington in the next round and if they make it through here, their outright price for the tournament is likely to significantly shorten. Derby lost at Leeds on Friday night and although they’ve had an extra days rest, they aren’t as reliable on the road.
It’s been a busy week for Derby County who were caught up in the ‘spygate’ saga on Friday night ahead of their fixture with Leeds United. The Rams were expected to be riled up by the incident but they put in a limp performance against the Whites and they dropped yet more points against sides at the top of the table. Frank Lampard’s side lack consistency on the road and they’ve won six and lost six of their 14 away matches so far. They also have a recent record of WLWLWL on their travels and that makes them hard to predict here. However, they are facing a rejuvinated Southampton side here who should have too much for the Rams. The Saints have won three of their six matches since the Austrian boss took over although it’s been a difficult run of fixtures. They held Chelsea to a draw and beat Arsenal here and they should be too lively for their opponents. Hassenhutl has got the best out of players like James Ward-Prowse, Shane Long and Nathan Redmond, who were seemingly stagnating under Mark Hughes. If the Welshman was still in charge, I would have been all over the away side here but Hassenhutl’s men are a different kettle of fish and should be backed at a short price here. They are the first of our Southampton vs Derby County predictions for Wednesday night.
What are the best odds on Southampton to Win? 7/10 with Bet365
Barring their goalless draw with Chelsea, Southampton’s games have been very entertaining over the past month. They are scoring goals again but as their display in their first fixture showcased, they are far from the finished product at the back. The Saints have kept just a single clean sheet since October 27th and although they held on diligiently against Leicester at the weekend, Derby should find joy in the final third. The Rams have plenty of talent going forward although Harry Wilson’s potential absence is likely to weaken them once again. There were four goals when these met ten days ago and there should be plenty more entertainment here. We only need three goals in this one and that would have landed in four of Derby’s last seven matches. Over 2.5 Goals is priced at 10/11 with William Hill and is the second of our Southampton vs Derby County betting tips.
What is the best price on Over 2.5 Goals? It is 10/11 with William Hill
Always check the line-ups before placing a bet on the anytime goalscorer market but I expect Southampton to play a strong XI in this game. Danny Ings and Charlie Austin are towards the top of the betting but it could be best to back one of the Saint’s wingers. Nathan Redmond is always a threat and he’s upped his performances since Hassenhutl’s arrival. He’s always had plenty of talent but went backwards under Mark Hughes and he is likely to be a threat in this game. The 24-year old scored both goals in the first leg and he’s netted all four goals since the new manager arrived on the south coast. I expect him to be heavily involved once again and he is the third of our Southampton vs Derby County predictions for Wednesday night.
What are the odds on Nathan Redmond to Score Anytime? 23/10 with Betway
Understandably, Southampton start this game as odds-on favourites. Their recent form has been much improved and although Hassenhutl is likely to make a few changes, he has promised to take the competition seriously. Derby are a generous 17/4 to upset the Premier League side and book their place in the fourth round of the FA Cup. A second successive draw can be backed at 3/1.
Our predictions have opted for Over 2.5 Goals but Both Teams to Score? Yes is equally as tempting and is a similar price at 4/5. It’s 9/4 for Over 3.5 Goals if you fancy another four-goal thriller.
Charlie Austin is a player who knows where the goal is but the former Burnley striker’s appearances tend to be fleeting these days. He is 15/4 to find the net first in this game. Shane Long, who netted at the weekend is 17/2 to break the deadlock.
Jack Marriott, who netted in the first leg is priced at 7/1 to net the opening goal whilst the ever-willing David Nugent is priced at 9/1.
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