Football Accumulator Tips – Four Picks from Friday & Saturday’s Football
Jamie is back with four more selections after a fantastic win on the midweek cards tips across Tuesday and Wednesday.
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Sassuolo vs Spezia – Sassuolo to win and both teams to score (2/1 Bet365)
Despite currently being in 10th place, Sassuolo have the best record in Serie A over their last 5 games, receiving 11 points. They come up against a Spezia side that are towards the bottom of the table and have lost 4 of their last 5 games. Although Spezia have failed to score in 5 of their 15 away games this season, the sides that they have failed to score against are all above Sassuolo in the Serie A table, and this has meant that they have scored 15 goals in their other 10 away games. Sassuolo have also conceded at home in 13 of their 14 home games this season. Nevertheless, Sassuolo are one of the highest scoring sides in the division, and come up against a side that have conceded the most goals away from home (33). Sassuolo are expected to win this game, but they are not expected to win this to nil. (This is worth backing using the BetBuilder function if using Bet365 due to the 2 goals ahead early payout offer should Sassuolo go 2 goals ahead and not win).
Wolves vs Leeds – Castro Jonny to be carded (9/2 Bet365)
Leeds winger Raphinha started as a left winger in their last game, being fouled twice and his direct opponent was booked in the second half. Raphinha has been fouled 1.31 times per 90 minutes this season and this includes being fouled 10 times in his last 4 starts. Wolves operate with wing-backs and three centre-backs, and in the last 5 times that Raphinha has played against a side using this formation, a direct opponent has been booked on 4 occasions. This includes in the reverse fixture where Romain Saiss was carded. Expected to start at right wing-back is Jonny Otto (listed as Castro Jonny on Bet365), a natural left-back who has just returned from an absence due to a long-term injury. He has started their last two games, making three fouls. His career record for cards is good, considering he has been booked 60 times in 281 games, making over a foul per game on average. This makes the price of 9/2 seem good due to his record and the opponent that he is facing.
Reading vs Blackburn – Lewis Travis to be carded (11/5 Bet365)
This match sees a side desperately needing points to avoid relegation against a promotion chasing side, which is a match that expects cards to be given. An opposition central midfielder has been booked against Reading in around half of their games, including in each of their last 2 and the reverse fixture between these sides. Both Cantwell and Lerma were booked against Reading in midweek due to Reading’s attacking midfielders being highly fouled (Ejaria fouled 2.7 times per 90 minutes, Ince fouled 1.67 times per 90 minutes, and Swift fouled 1.38 times per 90 minutes). This means that the Blackburn midfielders will be up against it. Blackburn central midfielder Lewis Travis was booked in midweek, making a cynical foul towards the end of the game whilst Derby were on a counter-attack. He has been booked 10 times in 37 games this season, including in 3 of his last 6 games, making 1.6 fouls per game on average. He is likely to get stuck in here, and with the ref being Linington, one of the best in the Championship for giving out cards this season, this game is unlikely to be short of them.
Stoke vs Millwall – Lewis Baker to score anytime (13/2 Bet365)
Lewis Baker seems to have gone up a level since signing permanently for Stoke in the January transfer window. In 12 starts for the club, he has scored 7 goals. These 7 goals include 4 goals scored from outside the box, and 3 penalties. For someone that takes penalties and also gets forward, the odds on offer are overpriced considering that Baker has scored in each his last 3 games in a row. As one of the top league scorers since his arrival, and now Stoke’s main threat infant of goal, Baker will be looking to add to his tally for the season and this is certainly priced at odds worth taking.
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