Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Predictions and Betting Tips

Last Updated on 17/02/2026 by Andy Clark

I’m a dedicated football betting blogger with a passion for helping fans turn insights into informed wagers. With years of experience analysing form, stats and trends across the world’s top leagues, I write clear match previews and expert betting tips that go beyond the obvious. Whether it’s Champions League action or domestic league fixtures, my content aims to give readers an edge — blending data-driven analysis with a love of the beautiful game.

Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Match Preview – Champions League Play-off

Borussia Dortmund welcome Atalanta to Signal Iduna Park, knowing this first leg could set the tone for the entire tie. Both teams arrive in good form, and both picked up convincing wins last time out, which makes this a fascinating matchup.

Dortmund were ruthless in their latest outing, cruising to a 4–0 home win over Mainz. They controlled possession, created chances at will, and once again leaned on Serhou Guirassy to deliver in front of goal. That result extended their winning run and underlined how strong they have become at home, where victories have been coming regularly.

Atalanta also comes into this game with confidence. Their 2–0 win away at Lazio showed composure and control, and they remain unbeaten domestically this calendar year. Raffaele Palladino’s side looks well-drilled and capable of frustrating opponents, even if the absence of Charles De Ketelaere slightly reduces their attacking options.

This feels like a classic first-leg battle. Dortmund will look to press and make home advantage count, while Atalanta may focus on staying compact and keeping the tie alive for the return leg in Bergamo.

Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Predicted Line-ups

Borussia Dortmund Predicted XI (3-4-2-1): Kobel; Can, Anton, Bensebaini; Ryerson, Bellingham, Nmecha, Svensson; Brandt, Beier; Guirassy.

Atalanta Predicted XI (3-4-2-1): Carnesecchi; Ahanor, Djimsiti, Scalvini; Zalewski, Ederson, De Roon, Zappacosta; Bernasconi, Samardzic; Krstovic.

Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Best Bet

Borussia Dortmund to Win at 11/10 with BetVictor

Dortmund’s home form makes them the standout pick here. They have won four of their last five matches, boast a strong record at Signal Iduna Park, and arrive fresh from a dominant league performance. Atalanta are well organised and in decent form, but Dortmund look well placed to edge this first leg on home soil.

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Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Score Prediction

Borussia Dortmund 1–0 Atalanta – 8/1 with bet365.

A tight, tactical contest is expected, but Dortmund’s recent momentum and home strength should be enough to secure a narrow win and a valuable advantage going into the second leg.

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Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Betting Stats

Head-to-head: In their 3 meetings, Dortmund have 1 win, Atalanta 1 win, and 1 draw; average 2.67 goals/game.
Dortmund season goals per match ~2.17.
Atalanta’s season goals per match ~1.44.
Dortmund have ~59% win rate overall this season.
Over 2.5 goals has occurred in ~59% of Dortmund’s matches.
Over 2.5 goals in Atalanta matches ~44%.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) ~56% in Dortmund matches.
BTTS ~44% in Atalanta matches.
Dortmund’s last 6 matches: approx 2.0 goals/game and 4 wins.
Atalanta’s last 6 matches: approx 1.83 goals/game.