Last Updated on 27/02/2026 by Andy Clark
Wolves play Aston Villa in tonight’s Friday Night Football in the Premier League, looking to upset their local rivals in their quest for a Champions League place. Villa are third going into this weekend, but have only won once in their last four.
Below you will find our 12/1 Wolves vs Aston Villa bet builder tip and best bets for tonight’s derby.
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Key Stats – Wolves v Aston Villa
- All seven of Aston Villa’s previous matches have gone under 2.5 goals
- Wolves have scored only three goals in their last seven matches
- Morgan Rogers has had nine shots on target across the seven games prior to last weekend
- Andre has been booked in four of his last five matches
- Andre made four fouls at Crystal Palace, two against Bournemouth, three against Man City and one against Newcastle
- Aston Villa are third but have won only once in their last four Premier League matches
Wolves Form and Match Preview
Wolves will be relegated this season, but their performances in the last few matches have improved, and they’ve picked up creditable draws against Arsenal and Nottingham Forest.
Aston Villa Form and Match Preview
The pressure is on Aston Villa to keep their place in the top four, with Manchester United now just three points behind them and Liverpool and Chelsea a further three points back. Villa are third going into this weekend but have only won once in their last four, which will concern Unai Emery as the top four battle intensifies.
Wolves vs Aston Villa Bet Builder Tip
Wolves v Aston Villa Betting Tips and Best Bets
- Under 2.5 Goals (Evens)
- Morgan Rogers 1+ Shot on Target (5/6)
- Andre to be Carded (2/1)
Under 2.5 Goals (Evens)
Two of Wolves’ last three matches have ended in a 1-0 loss and 0-0 draw. They’ve only scored three goals in their last seven matches. Aston Villa’s matches have also been low scoring with all of their previous seven games going under 2.5 goals. Their forwards are struggling for goals and it will be interesting to see whether Tammy Abraham gets a start ahead of Ollie Watkins tonight after his goal off the bench against Leeds.
Morgan Rogers to Have 1+ Shot on Target (5/6)
Despite only scoring once in his last 10 matches, Rogers continues to trouble the opposition goalkeeper, which is all we need for this leg of the bet builder. Last week’s match against Leeds was the first time he failed to have a shot on target in eight games. In that time he had nine shots on target and looks the most likely here with Watkins a shorter price, but only having two shots on target in the three matches since his return from injury.
Andre to Be Carded (2/1)
Wolves’ midfielder makes a large number of fouls consistently, and remarkably, he has been booked in four of his last five matches. There is no reason for this run to end tonight with Wolves expected to be on the backfoot for large parts of the game. He made four fouls at Crystal Palace last weekend, two against Bournemouth, three against Manchester City and one against Newcastle — getting a yellow card in all four matches.
Wolves v Aston Villa Predictions Summary
Our best bets for tonight’s Friday Night Football are under 2.5 goals, Morgan Rogers to have one or more shots on target, and Andre to be carded. All three have strong statistical backing, and the match context — a relegation-threatened Wolves side defending deep against a Villa team struggling for goals — supports all three landing together tonight.
For more bet builder tips ahead of this weekend’s Premier League action, head to our hub page, where we have all the top fixtures covered.
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More from Thatsagoal in March
As well as our Premier League predictions for all the upcoming fixtures, we also have you covered for bet builder tips ahead of the weekend action. We will pick out the best bets for each match and add them to a bet builder. Once you have picked out your football tips, you will need some free bets to use and there are plenty available at the moment, including the Midnite welcome offer and BetGoodwin’s welcome bonus for new customers.
If you have used all the well-known bookmakers before, then look through the list of new UK bookies who also have sign-up bonuses.
If horse racing is more your thing, our Cheltenham 2026 tips are in full swing with predictions already made for most of the 28 races. Cheltenham free bets are starting to emerge as well, and there is a quick list of offers below, which you should start signing up for and saving the free bets for Cheltenham week, starting Tuesday, 10th March.
Midnite £30 Cheltenham sign-up offer.
BetGoodwin £15 Cheltenham sign-up offer.
bet365 £30 Cheltenham sign-up offer.
BetVictor £30 Cheltenham sign-up offer.
Andy is the founder, owner and editor of thatsagoal.com, with over 20 years of experience in betting on sports. He has a keen eye for stats, particularly when looking at players to be carded, and these form a large part of the bet builder tips you see on the site. As well as creating daily football tips, Andy also keeps thatsagoal updated with all the best bookmaker promotions and offers for our readers.