Poland vs Romania bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Nations League fixture on Friday 2nd October 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.
Poland vs Romania Team Stats
Poland take 15.82 shots a game and hit 6.0 on target, against Romania’s 14.24 and 5.06. Poland commit 12.29 fouls a game to Romania’s 13.35, with 3.94 and 4.53 cards a match. Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the result makes it Poland 61%, the draw 24% and Romania 15%. 3 legs in this match beat the price bet365 are offering, and they are all listed below with our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.
What Is the Best Poland vs Romania Bet Builder?
J. Kiwior 1+ Shot on Target, P. Wiśniewski 1+ Shots and M. Cash 1+ Shot on Target, around 14/1 to 16/1 combined.
Every leg is one the player has done in most of his recent matches, and every one is a line bet365 list, so the whole thing goes on as a single bet builder.
Jakub Kiwior has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 internationals at 0.33 per 90, and Poland take 15.82 shots a game — 40% on our numbers against an implied 23%.
Przemysław Wiśniewski has had a shot in 4 of his last 6 internationals at 0.88 per 90, and Poland take 15.82 shots a game — 67% on our numbers against an implied 55%.
Matty Cash has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 internationals at 1.19 per 90, and Poland take 15.82 shots a game — 60% on our numbers against an implied 50%.
If that is longer than you want, the potential legs table runs from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.
| Selection | Odds | Our model | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cash 1+ Shot on Target | Evens | 60% | 50% | +10 |
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
Poland vs Romania Betting Tips
- 01P. Wiśniewski 1+ ShotsAdd to slip5/6Przemysław Wiśniewski has had a shot in 4 of his last 6 for Poland, at 0.88 per 90 across 513 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.~~Poland take 15.82 shots a game and hit 6.0 on target. That is about 67% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
- 02M. Cash 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slipEvensMatty Cash has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Poland, at 1.19 per 90 across 832 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.~~Poland take 15.82 shots a game and hit 6.0 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
- 03J. Kiwior 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip10/3Jakub Kiwior has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Poland, at 0.33 per 90 across 1,350 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.~~Poland take 15.82 shots a game and hit 6.0 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.
- 04S. Szymański 1+ Fouls Drawnbet365TBCSebastian Szymański has been fouled in 10 of his last 10 for Poland, at 2.22 per 90 across 1,136 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.~~Romania commit 13.35 fouls a game. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
- 05D. Drăguş 1+ Foul Committedbet365TBCDenis Drăguş has committed a foul in 10 of his last 10 for Romania, at 1.97 per 90 across 777 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.~~Poland hold 48.0% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
- 06Poland to WinAdd to slip1/2Poland have won 8 of their last 20, drawing 5, and at home they have scored 1.46 a game and conceded 1.15 across 13 matches.~~Romania average 1.95 scored and 1.40 conceded. The venue splits project 1.59 against 1.51, which puts Poland at about 50% to win, against 24% for the draw.
- 07Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip5/6Both teams have scored in 13 of Poland's last 20 matches and 13 of Romania's. Poland concede 1.55 a game and Romania 1.40.~~On the venue splits the projection is 1.59 against 1.51, which puts both teams scoring at about 64%.
- 08Poland to Win and Both Teams to Scorebet3652/1Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Poland to win is about 50% and both teams scoring about 64%. Poland score 1.50 a game and concede 1.55, and Romania have scored in 13 of their last 20.~~bet365's own correct-score prices across 12 winning scorelines put the combination at 2/1.
- 09Over 2.5 GoalsAdd to slip4/5Poland have gone past 2.5 goals in 55% of their last 20 matches and Romania in 70%, with 85% and 85% going past 1.5.~~Poland average 1.50 scored and 1.55 conceded, Romania 1.95 and 1.40. On the venue splits that projects 1.59 against 1.51, about 3.1 goals in the match and 61% for over 2.5.
Poland vs Romania Best Bets
- 01P. Wiśniewski 1+ ShotsAdd to slip5/64 of his last 6, 0.88 per 90
- 02J. Kiwior 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip10/34 of his last 10, 0.33 per 90
- 03M. Cash 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slipEvens6 of his last 10, 1.19 per 90
Poland vs Romania Bet Builder Leg Finder
Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten internationals beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. It covers the player prop markets one at a time — shots, shots on target, fouls committed, fouls drawn, tackles, cards and anytime goalscorer — and sorts each by how often the player has hit the line rather than by price, so a short price with a strong record is easy to spot. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.
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Poland vs Romania Bet Builder FAQs
What is the best Poland vs Romania bet builder?
J. Kiwior 1+ Shot on Target, P. Wiśniewski 1+ Shots and M. Cash 1+ Shot on Target, at around 14/1 to 16/1 combined with bet365. All 3 legs beat their own price on our numbers.
Can you put odds-on legs in a bet builder?
Yes, and it is often the right thing to do. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but a short leg we make a strong chance is a sound anchor. M. Cash 1+ Shot on Target, which we make 60% against 50% implied, qualifies here — the current price is in the table above.
Which player takes the most shots in Poland vs Romania?
Denis Drăguş of Romania. He has had 2 or more shots in 9 of his last 10 internationals, at 3.71 per 90 across 777 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays. Romania take 14.24 shots a game and hit 5.06 on target. bet365 have not listed D. Drăguş 2+ Shots yet, so there is no price to measure the record against.
Who is most likely to have a shot on target in Poland vs Romania?
Jakub Kamiński of Poland. He has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 internationals, at 1.21 per 90 across 964 minutes, and he averages 69 minutes a game when he plays. Poland take 15.82 shots a game and hit 6.0 on target. bet365 list J. Kamiński 1+ Shot on Target, with the current price in the leg finder below.
Which player commits the most fouls in Poland vs Romania?
Marius Marin of Romania. He has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 internationals, at 2.22 per 90 across 811 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays. Poland hold 48.0% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. bet365 have not put this market up for him, so the odds are still TBC.
Which player is fouled the most in Poland vs Romania?
Sebastian Szymański of Poland. He has been fouled 2 times or more in 6 of his last 10 internationals, at 2.22 per 90 across 1,136 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays. Romania commit 13.35 fouls a game. bet365 have not listed S. Szymański 2+ Fouls Drawn yet, so there is no price to measure the record against.
Which player makes the most tackles in Poland vs Romania?
Matty Cash of Poland. He has made a tackle in 9 of his last 10 internationals, at 2.27 per 90 across 832 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays. Romania hold 53.06% of the ball, and Poland commit 12.29 fouls a game. There is no price up for M. Cash 1+ Tackles at bet365 yet – one to watch when the market opens.
What is the Poland vs Romania prediction?
Poland are 61% to win, the draw 24% and Romania 15% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. Both Teams to Score is the one team market our numbers support.
What time is Poland vs Romania?
Friday 2nd October 2026, 19:45 UK time.
More UEFA Nations League Tips and Predictions
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.
