Our free Championship tips cover every EFL matchday – best bets, bet builders and accumulators for the biggest second-tier fixtures, each backed by the stats. Every selection on this page carries two numbers: our probability and the market’s. That comparison is the whole method, and it is the only reason to read us rather than anyone else.
Every betting price is a probability in disguise. A shot at 8/11 is the bookmaker saying 58%; a goalscorer at 10/3 is the bookmaker saying 23%. We work out the same number independently and publish both, so you can see exactly where we disagree with the market and by how much.
Our figure comes from the player’s own record rather than from opinion. For a shots or goalscorer line we count how often he has cleared it in his last six matches and check the rate per 90 minutes behind it. For a team market we use both sides’ last 20 matches. Where a rate comes off a small sample we pull it towards a positional baseline before quoting it, because four goals in 266 minutes is a hot streak rather than a rate.
A selection needs three things to appear here. A 40% chance or better on our figure, because a large edge on a 20% shot is a lottery ticket rather than a bet. A price of 4/6 or longer, so the return justifies the risk. And a gap to the market of no more than 20 points — the bookmaker is usually right, and when our number sits far above theirs the likelier explanation is that ours is wrong.
That last rule is why some fixtures appear here with nothing. We publish the blanks too, in the section below the selections, along with the markets we considered and rejected. A round where four of 11 fixtures produce no bet is a result rather than an oversight.
Prices are checked on the morning of the round and change. Where no referee has been appointed we use a league-average official of 4.20 cards a game, the mean across the 25 referees we have measured, and say so on the selection.
Fourteen of our 23 selections sit between 8 and 20 points clear of the price. The other nine are still on this page — they are in the block above with everything else — but a 2 or 3 point edge sits inside the bookmaker’s margin rather than beyond it, and calling that a disagreement would be stretching the word.
A market percentage always includes the bookmaker’s cut, which on these markets runs around 5%. That is why the table starts at 8 rather than at 1: below that, our number and the price are saying the same thing.
What We Are Leaving Out, and Why
Sheffield United vs Norwich — nothing, for the second week running. Their matches average 4.40 cards between them, which on our figures makes four or more a 62% shot against a price implying 33% at 2/1. That is a 29-point gap and we do not publish those. When our number sits that far above the bookmaker’s the likelier explanation is that ours is wrong, and we have seen the same unexplained shape in League One card markets this week.
André Brooks at 7/2 to score and 2/1 for two or more shots. He looked the strongest selection on the whole card. 294 minutes across 4 appearances is not a sample we will publish a rate from, however good the record looks.
Will Lankshear at 13/8 for Middlesbrough. 353 minutes, same reason.
Mateus Mané 3+ shots for Wolves at 6/4. His last 6 read 5, 4, 4, 2, 4, 2 — four of six at that line, which is 67% against a price implying 40%. A 27-point gap, past our cap, and left out for the same reason as the Sheffield United cards.
Two Kinds of Selection on This Page
Fourteen of the 23 are value selections, where our probability beats the market’s by 8 points or more. Those are the bets we think are mispriced, and they average a gap of nearly 12 points.
Nine are not. They average 5 points clear of the price, which is inside the margin rather than beyond it — Millwall vs Bolton both teams to score is level at 55% against 55%, and the two Birmingham vs Wolves legs beat the price by 2 and 3. They are here because they are the likeliest outcomes we could find in fixtures where nothing cleared the value bar, and a page that goes silent on a match is less useful than one that says what is most likely to happen.
Both numbers are on every selection, so the distinction is visible without a label. Where our figure is barely above the market’s, that is what the two columns are telling you.
Two selections sit exactly on our 20-point cap — Burnley vs Bristol City under 9.5 corners and QPR vs Middlesbrough over 9.5 corners. Both are published and both are named here. The Championship corners market prices nearly the same expectation on every fixture while the sides’ own records vary by more than four corners a game, so those gaps come from our number moving rather than the bookmaker’s.
Championship Previews and Bet Builders
Preston vs Blackburn Betting Tips, Predictions and Stats
Swansea vs Wrexham Betting Tips, Predictions and Stats
3/1 Burnley vs Middlesbrough Bet Builder Tips, Predictions and Stats
13/2 Millwall vs Wrexham Bet Builder Tips, Predictions and Stats
Our newest Championship match previews and bet builders, updated as they publish.Here are our best Championship bets across the markets for the current round of fixtures, one standout pick per market. Follow the links for the full stats-based preview behind each.
Championship Tips by Market
We cover the Championship from every angle. Here are our tips for each market — follow the links for the full stats-based picks:
- Championship Bet Builder Tips. Our most popular Championship content — several selections from one match combined into a single bet, built from the player numbers for cards, shots and shots on target. See our bet builder tips.
- Championship Shots and Shots on Target Tips. The players most likely to test the keeper in each Championship game, built from shots-per-90 data — see our shots on target tips.
- Championship Card & Bookings Tips. The Championship’s physicality makes it strong for card markets. Our player-to-be-carded and total bookings picks are in our yellow card tips.
How We Pick Our Championship Tips
The Championship is the most unpredictable league in English football, so we build every tip from the numbers rather than reputation — form, expected goals, shots, cards and confirmed team news, weighted for each fixture. Promoted sides, relegated Premier League clubs and mid-table dark horses all get treated on their current data, not last season’s. The full reasoning behind each call is in the match previews linked throughout this page.
Championship Bet Builder Tips
Our most popular Championship content is our stats-based bet builders — several selections from one match combined into a single bet, built from the player numbers for cards, shots and shots on target. See our bet builder tips hub for how we construct every selection.
Championship Accumulator Tips
With 12 games most Saturdays, the Championship is made for accumulators. We pick out the best-value selections across the day’s fixtures for our football accumulator tips, including Championship-only accas across the 3pm kick-offs.
Championship Predictions and Odds
For the season-long picture — who’s tipped for promotion, the title and the drop — see the Opta supercomputer’s Championship predictions, which run the season 10,000 times to project every club’s chances. And for the fixtures and key dates, our guide to when the Championship season starts.
Where to Bet on the Championship
The Championship is one of the most heavily backed leagues in Britain, and the leading bookmakers price up every match plus outright markets on promotion, the title and relegation. New customers can claim Championship free bets to put towards our tips.
18+. New customers only. Further terms apply to each offer. GambleAware.org.
For the strongest accounts for EFL betting, see our guide to the best football betting sites.
When Are Championship Tips Posted?
We post our Championship tips ahead of each matchday — the Friday-night and Saturday fixtures during the week, and midweek rounds as they come. Our most detailed coverage is on the biggest games and the full Saturday 3pm card, with previews usually up a day or two before kick-off, so check back through the week for the latest.
Championship Results
Nothing matches both filters.
| Date | Fixture | Selection | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Sep | Millwall vs WrexhamChampionship | C. Neghli 3+ Shots | 8/11 | Lost-1.00 |
| 2 Sep | Millwall vs WrexhamChampionship | C. Doyle 2+ Shots | 13/8 | Lost-1.00 |
| 2 Sep | Millwall vs WrexhamChampionship | T. Crama 2+ Shotsnot in squad | 4/1 | Void |
| 2 Sep | Millwall vs WrexhamChampionship | J. Coburn Anytime Goalscorer | 8/5 | Lost-1.00 |
| 2 Sep | QPR vs CardiffChampionship | C. Ashford 2+ Shots1 shot | 10/11 | Lost-1.00 |
| 2 Sep | QPR vs CardiffChampionship | O. Tanner 2+ Shots | 5/4 | Lost-1.00 |
| 2 Sep | QPR vs CardiffChampionship | C. Ashford 3+ Shots1 shot | 11/4 | Lost-1.00 |
| 2 Sep | QPR vs CardiffChampionship | H. Vale 3+ Shots5 shots | 10/11 | Won+0.91 |
| 2 Sep | West Brom vs CharltonChampionship | J. Morgan Anytime Goalscorer | 13/8 | Lost-1.00 |
| 2 Sep | West Brom vs CharltonChampionship | C. Kelman Anytime Goalscorernot in squad | 11/4 | Void |
| 2 Sep | West Brom vs CharltonChampionship | I. Price 3+ Shots4 shots | 4/5 | Won+0.80 |
| 2 Sep | Burnley vs MiddlesbroughChampionship | W. Lankshear Anytime Goalscorer | 13/8 | Lost-1.00 |
| 2 Sep | Burnley vs MiddlesbroughChampionship | W. Lankshear 3+ Shots1 shot | 8/13 | Lost-1.00 |
| 1 Sep | Lincoln vs BlackburnChampionship | A. Reach 1+ Shot2 shots | 4/11 | Won+0.36 |
| 1 Sep | Birmingham vs SouthamptonChampionship | C. Larin 1+ Shot on Target1 shot | 4/9 | Won+0.44 |
| 1 Sep | Stoke vs NorwichChampionship | M. Toure 1+ Shot on Targetnot in squad | 2/5 | Void |
| 1 Sep | Sheffield United vs BoltonChampionship | H. Burrows 1+ Shotnot in squad | 4/9 | Void |
| 1 Sep | West Ham vs WolvesChampionship | J. Bowen 1+ Shot on Target2 shots | 2/5 | Won+0.40 |
| 1 Sep | Preston vs Bristol CityChampionship | S. Twine 3+ Shots1 shot | 10/11 | Lost-1.00 |
| 1 Sep | Swansea vs WatfordChampionship | O. Maamma 2+ Shots | 4/5 | Lost-1.00 |
| 1 Sep | Birmingham vs SouthamptonChampionship | C. Larin 2+ Shots on Target1 shot | 9/4 | Lost-1.00 |
| 1 Sep | Birmingham vs SouthamptonChampionship | J. Stansfield 2+ Shots on Target | 2/1 | Lost-1.00 |
| 1 Sep | Stoke vs NorwichChampionship | M. Toure Anytime Goalscorernot in squad | 7/4 | Void |
| 1 Sep | Stoke vs NorwichChampionship | K. McLean 2+ Shots4 shots | 2/1 | Won+2.00 |
| 1 Sep | Preston vs Bristol CityChampionship | S. Twine 4+ Shots1 shot | 9/4 | Lost-1.00 |
| 1 Sep | Preston vs Bristol CityChampionship | L. Lindsay 2+ Shots | 12/5 | Lost-1.00 |
| 1 Sep | Sheffield United vs BoltonChampionship | H. Burrows 2+ Shotsnot in squad | 2/1 | Void |
| 1 Sep | West Ham vs WolvesChampionship | V. Castellanos 2+ Shots on Target | 13/8 | Lost-1.00 |
| 1 Sep | Lincoln vs BlackburnChampionship | A. Reach 2+ Shots2 shots | 13/8 | Won+1.63 |
| 1 Sep | Preston vs Bristol CityChampionship | D. Burgzorg to be Carded | 11/4 | Lost-1.00 |
| 1 Sep | Lincoln vs BlackburnChampionship | F. Draper to be Carded | 3/1 | Lost-1.00 |
| 1 Sep | Swansea vs WatfordChampionship | E. Bove to be Carded | 13/5 | Lost-1.00 |
| 1 Sep | Birmingham vs SouthamptonChampionship | C. Bragg to be Carded | 10/3 | Lost-1.00 |
| 1 Sep | Stoke vs NorwichChampionship | Norwich to Win1-0 | 5/4 | Lost-1.00 |
| 1 Sep | Preston vs Bristol CityChampionship | Bristol City to Win1-3 | 9/5 | Won+1.80 |
| 1 Sep | Swansea vs WatfordChampionship | Swansea to Win2-0 | 11/12 | Won+0.92 |
| 1 Sep | West Ham vs WolvesChampionship | West Ham to Win4-2 | 19/20 | Won+0.95 |
Void means the player did not feature, so the bet is returned and the stake comes back. Voids are excluded from the strike rate rather than counted as wins or losses. Every settled selection is listed, win or lose. Level stakes of one point. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are today’s Championship tips?
Our latest Championship tips and previews are at the top of this page, updated for every matchday with our best bets and the stats behind them.
Are your Championship tips free?
Yes. All our Championship tips — best bets, bet builders, accumulators and both teams to score — are completely free.
How do you pick your Championship tips?
Every selection is built from the stats — form, expected goals, shots, cards and confirmed team news — weighted for each fixture, never from reputation. The Championship’s unpredictability makes a data-led approach essential.
Do you cover every Championship game?
We preview the key fixtures every matchday and post a tip for the biggest games, with our most detailed bet builders on the standout matches.
Who is predicted to win the Championship this season?
The Opta supercomputer makes West Ham the 2026/27 title favourites — see our Opta Championship predictions for every club’s promotion and relegation chances.
More Championship and football betting:
Opta Championship predictions · When does the Championship season start? · Championship free bets · Bet builder tips · Best football betting sites
Odds and tips were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change. Tips are the opinion of the author and are not guaranteed. 18+. Please gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. GambleAware.org · GamCare.org.uk.