Croatia vs England bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Nations League fixture on Saturday 3rd October 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.
Croatia vs England Team Stats
Croatia take 15.15 shots a game and hit 5.45 on target, against England’s 17.25 and 6.5. Croatia commit 10.05 fouls a game to England’s 9.3, with 2.7 and 2.35 cards a match. Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the result makes it Croatia 23%, the draw 24% and England 53%. 3 legs in this match beat the price bet365 are offering, and they are all listed below with our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.
What Is the Best Croatia vs England Bet Builder?
A. Gordon Anytime Goalscorer, H. Kane Anytime Goalscorer and J. Bellingham 2+ Shot on Target, around 22/1 to 28/1 combined.
Every leg is one the player has done in most of his recent matches, and every one is a line bet365 list, so the whole thing goes on as a single bet builder.
Anthony Gordon has scored in 4 of his last 10 internationals at 0.46 per 90, and England score 2.35 a game — 40% on our numbers against an implied 25%.
Harry Kane has scored in 6 of his last 10 internationals at 0.95 per 90, and England score 2.35 a game — 60% on our numbers against an implied 50%.
Jude Bellingham has had 2 or more shots on target in 6 of his last 10 internationals at 1.52 per 90, and England take 17.25 shots a game — 60% on our numbers against an implied 31%.
If that is longer than you want, the potential legs table runs from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.
| Selection | Odds | Our model | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Kane Anytime Goalscorer | Evens | 60% | 50% | +10 |
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
Croatia vs England Betting Tips
- 01J. Bellingham 2+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip9/4Jude Bellingham has had 2 or more shots on target in 6 of his last 10 for England, at 1.52 per 90 across 950 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.~~England take 17.25 shots a game and hit 6.5 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.
- 02H. Kane Anytime GoalscorerAdd to slipEvensHarry Kane has scored in 6 of his last 10 for England, at 0.95 per 90 across 1,326 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.~~England score 2.35 a game. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
- 03A. Gordon Anytime GoalscorerAdd to slip12/5Anthony Gordon has scored in 4 of his last 10 for England, at 0.46 per 90 across 989 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays.~~England score 2.35 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.
- 04P. Sučić to be CardedAdd to slip5/1Petar Sučić has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Croatia, at 0.27 per 90 across 1,322 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.~~Croatia pick up 1.45 cards a game and there are 2.7 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 17% implied by 5/1.
- 05England to WinAdd to slip4/5England have won 14 of their last 20, drawing 3, and on the road they have scored 3.25 a game and conceded 0.88 across 8 matches.~~Croatia average 2.10 scored and 1.25 conceded. The venue splits project 1.39 against 1.90, which puts England at about 51% to win, against 22% for the draw.
- 06Correct Score 1-2Add to slip15/2On the venue splits this projects Croatia 1.39 against England 1.90, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.9%.~~Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs England, which is where the board has the match too.
- 07Over 2.5 GoalsAdd to slip13/20Croatia have gone past 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 20 matches and England in 50%, with 85% and 85% going past 1.5.~~Croatia average 2.10 scored and 1.25 conceded, England 2.35 and 0.85. On the venue splits that projects 1.39 against 1.90, about 3.3 goals in the match and 62% for over 2.5.
Croatia vs England Best Bets
- 01A. Gordon Anytime GoalscorerAdd to slip12/54 of his last 10, 0.46 per 90
- 02H. Kane Anytime GoalscorerAdd to slipEvens6 of his last 10, 0.95 per 90
Croatia vs England Bet Builder Leg Finder
Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten internationals beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. It covers the player prop markets one at a time — shots, shots on target, fouls committed, fouls drawn, tackles, cards and anytime goalscorer — and sorts each by how often the player has hit the line rather than by price, so a short price with a strong record is easy to spot. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.
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Croatia vs England Bet Builder FAQs
What is the best Croatia vs England bet builder?
A. Gordon Anytime Goalscorer, H. Kane Anytime Goalscorer and J. Bellingham 2+ Shot on Target, at around 22/1 to 28/1 combined with bet365. All 3 legs beat their own price on our numbers.
Can you put odds-on legs in a bet builder?
Yes, and it is often the right thing to do. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but a short leg we make a strong chance is a sound anchor. H. Kane Anytime Goalscorer, which we make 60% against 50% implied, qualifies here — the current price is in the table above.
Which player takes the most shots in Croatia vs England?
Harry Kane of England. He has had a shot in 10 of his last 10 internationals, at 3.46 per 90 across 1,326 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays. England take 17.25 shots a game and hit 6.5 on target. bet365 list H. Kane 1+ Shots, with the current price in the leg finder below.
Who is most likely to have a shot on target in Croatia vs England?
Jude Bellingham of England. He has had a shot on target in 8 of his last 10 internationals, at 1.52 per 90 across 950 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays. England take 17.25 shots a game and hit 6.5 on target. bet365 list J. Bellingham 1+ Shot on Target, with the current price in the leg finder below.
Which player commits the most fouls in Croatia vs England?
Marin Pongračić of Croatia. He has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 internationals, at 2.52 per 90 across 856 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays. England hold 62.6% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. bet365 list M. Pongračić 1+ Foul Committed, with the current price in the leg finder below.
Which player is fouled the most in Croatia vs England?
Elliot Anderson of England. He has been fouled in 7 of his last 10 internationals, at 2.13 per 90 across 1,439 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays. Croatia commit 10.05 fouls a game. bet365 have not listed E. Anderson 1+ Fouls Drawn yet, so there is no price to measure the record against.
Which player makes the most tackles in Croatia vs England?
Petar Sučić of Croatia. He has made a tackle in 7 of his last 10 internationals, at 2.59 per 90 across 1,322 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays. England hold 62.6% of the ball, and Croatia commit 10.05 fouls a game. bet365 list him at 2+ rather than 1+, a line he has cleared in 4 of those 10.
What is the Croatia vs England prediction?
Croatia are 23% to win, the draw 24% and England 53% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. Over 2.5 Goals is the one team market our numbers support.
What time is Croatia vs England?
Saturday 3rd October 2026, 17:00 UK time.
More UEFA Nations League Tips and Predictions
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.
