Croatia vs Spain Bet Builder Tips, Predictions and Best Bets

Andy Clark

Croatia vs Spain bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Nations League fixture on Tuesday 6th October 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.

UEFA Nations League - Last 20 Games

Croatia vs Spain Team Stats

19:45

CroatiavSpain
LLWLWW
Recent form
WWWDWW
2.00
Goals scored per game
2.40
1.60
Goals conceded per game
0.45
55%
Both teams scored
35%
85%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
45%
Over 3.5 goals
45%

CroatiavSpain
15.35
Shots per game
18.1
5.3
Shots on target
7.1

CroatiavSpain
1.68
Expected goals for
2.16
1.45
Expected goals against
0.46
57.3
Possession %
65.1

CroatiavSpain
5.6
Corners per game
6.6
2.55
First half corners
3.45

CroatiavSpain
9.95
Fouls per game
10.1
1.5
Own cards per game
0.65
2.65
Cards in match
2.9
1.05
First half cards
0.6

Croatia take 15.35 shots a game and hit 5.3 on target, against Spain’s 18.1 and 7.1. Croatia commit 9.95 fouls a game to Spain’s 10.1, with 2.65 and 2.9 cards a match. Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the result makes it Croatia 10%, the draw 15% and Spain 76%. 4 legs in this match beat the price bet365 are offering, and they are all listed below with our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.

Croatia vs Spain Bet Builder

1L. Yamal 2+ Foul Committed4 of his last 10, 1.44 per 90
Why this Leg

Lamine Yamal has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Spain, at 1.44 per 90 across 999 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.

Croatia hold 57.3% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.

2Over 9.5 Corners70% on our numbers
Why this Leg

Croatia win 5.6 corners a game and Spain 6.6, with 2.55 and 3.45 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 11 in the match, a 70% chance of 10 or more against the 52% implied by 10/11.

3Rodri 2+ Foul Committed5 of his last 10, 1.62 per 90
Why this Leg

Rodri has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Spain, at 1.62 per 90 across 1,111 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.

Croatia hold 57.3% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.

4Over 2.5 Goals65% on our numbers
Why this Leg

Croatia have gone past 2.5 goals in 75% of their last 20 matches and Spain in 60%, with 85% and 75% going past 1.5.

Croatia average 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, Spain 2.40 and 0.45. On the venue splits that projects 0.97 against 2.25, about 3.2 goals in the match and 65% for over 2.5.

bet365Add 4-Leg Build to Betslip

What Is the Best Croatia vs Spain Bet Builder?

L. Yamal 2+ Foul Committed, Over 9.5 Corners, Rodri 2+ Foul Committed and Over 2.5 Goals, around 20/1 to 22/1 combined.

Every leg is one the player has done in most of his recent matches, and every one is a line bet365 list, so the whole thing goes on as a single bet builder. Two of these are match markets rather than player props, and in one game those move with each other, so bet365 will price the pair shorter than multiplying them suggests.

Lamine Yamal has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 internationals at 1.44 per 90, and Croatia hold 57.3% of the ball — 40% on our numbers against an implied 29%.

Over 9.5 Corners. Croatia win 5.6 corners a game and Spain 6.6, which makes this about 70% on our numbers against the 52% its price implies. Corners are a separate market from the player legs, so this one multiplies into the builder cleanly.

Rodri has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 internationals at 1.62 per 90, and Croatia hold 57.3% of the ball — 50% on our numbers against an implied 42%.

Over 2.5 Goals. Croatia win 5.6 corners a game and Spain 6.6, which makes this about 65% on our numbers against the 71% its price implies. Corners are a separate market from the player legs, so this one multiplies into the builder cleanly.

If that is longer than you want, the potential legs table runs from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.

Croatia vs Spain Betting Tips

  1. 01
    Rodri 2+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip5/4Rodri has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Spain, at 1.62 per 90 across 1,111 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.~~Croatia hold 57.3% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.
  2. 02
    L. Yamal 2+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip12/5Lamine Yamal has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Spain, at 1.44 per 90 across 999 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.~~Croatia hold 57.3% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.
  3. 03
    Over 9.5 CornersAdd to slip10/11Croatia win 5.6 corners a game and Spain 6.6, with 2.55 and 3.45 of those in the first half.~~That leaves about 11 in the match, a 70% chance of 10 or more against the 52% implied by 10/11.
  4. 04
    Spain to WinAdd to slip3/10Spain come in on W W W D W W, and on the road they have scored 2.83 a game and conceded 0.33 across 6 matches. They have won 15 of their last 20 overall, drawing 5.~~Croatia average 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. The venue splits project 0.97 against 2.25, which puts Spain at about 71% to win, against 19% for the draw.
  5. 05
    Correct Score 1-2Add to slip8/1On the venue splits this projects Croatia 0.97 against Spain 2.25, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.8%.~~Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Spain, which is where the board has the match too.
  6. 06
    Over 2.5 GoalsAdd to slip2/5Croatia have gone past 2.5 goals in 75% of their last 20 matches and Spain in 60%, with 85% and 75% going past 1.5.~~Croatia average 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, Spain 2.40 and 0.45. On the venue splits that projects 0.97 against 2.25, about 3.2 goals in the match and 65% for over 2.5.

Croatia vs Spain Best Bets

  1. 01
    L. Yamal 2+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip12/54 of his last 10, 1.44 per 90
  2. 02
    Over 9.5 CornersAdd to slip10/11About 70% against an implied 52%

Croatia vs Spain Bet Builder Leg Finder

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten internationals beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. It covers the player prop markets one at a time — shots, shots on target, fouls committed, fouls drawn, tackles, cards and anytime goalscorer — and sorts each by how often the player has hit the line rather than by price, so a short price with a strong record is easy to spot. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

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Get Free Bets from a Bookies Sign-up Offer for Croatia vs Spain

Use one of these bookies welcome offers below to get free bets when you bet on Croatia vs Spain, or any of the Nations League matches this week. These are all new customer offers so if you haven’t opened a betting account with them before, you will qualify for the free bets.

Croatia vs Spain Bet Builder FAQs

What Is the Best Croatia vs Spain Bet Builder?

L. Yamal 2+ Foul Committed, Over 9.5 Corners, Rodri 2+ Foul Committed and Over 2.5 Goals, at around 20/1 to 22/1 combined with bet365.

Can You Put Odds-on Legs in a Bet Builder?

Yes. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but inside a builder a short leg we rate well above its price is a sound anchor.

Which Player Commits the Most Fouls in Croatia vs Spain?

Marin Pongračić of Croatia. He has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 internationals, at 2.52 per 90 across 856 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays. Spain hold 65.1% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. bet365 list M. Pongračić 1+ Foul Committed, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Who Is Most Likely to Have a Shot on Target in Croatia vs Spain?

Mikel Oyarzabal of Spain. He has had a shot on target in 8 of his last 10 internationals, at 1.96 per 90 across 1,194 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays. Spain take 18.1 shots a game and hit 7.1 on target. bet365 list M. Oyarzabal 1+ Shot on Target, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Takes the Most Shots in Croatia vs Spain?

Lamine Yamal of Spain. He has had 2 or more shots in 8 of his last 10 internationals, at 4.14 per 90 across 999 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays. Spain take 18.1 shots a game and hit 7.1 on target. bet365 list L. Yamal 2+ Shots, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Is Fouled the Most in Croatia vs Spain?

Dani Olmo of Spain. He has been fouled 2 times or more in 6 of his last 10 internationals, at 1.9 per 90 across 898 minutes, and he averages 60 minutes a game when he plays. Croatia commit 9.95 fouls a game. bet365 have not listed D. Olmo 2+ Fouls Drawn yet, so there is no price to measure the record against.

Which Player Makes the Most Tackles in Croatia vs Spain?

Rodri of Spain. He has made 3 or more tackles in 6 of his last 10 internationals, at 3.24 per 90 across 1,111 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays. Croatia hold 57.3% of the ball, and Spain commit 10.1 fouls a game. bet365 list Rodri 3+ Tackles, with the current price in the leg finder below.

What Is the Croatia vs Spain Prediction?

Croatia are 10% to win, the draw 15% and Spain 76% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. Over 2.5 Goals is the one team market our numbers support.

What Time Is Croatia vs Spain?

Tuesday 6th October 2026, 19:45 UK time.

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