Stuttgart vs Viking Betting Tips, Predictions and Stats

Stuttgart vs Viking betting tips, bet builder legs and predictions from our stats model, weighing recent form, player props and the latest odds to find the best bets.

One tip and four bet builder legs, and the gap between the sides is the reason. Stuttgart are 77.0% on the market against a Norwegian side whose figures come from a league at 38.6 on the UEFA coefficients, against Germany’s 80.4.

Champions League - Last 20 Games

VfB Stuttgart vs Viking FK

17:45Ref Nenad Minaković - 4.33 YC

VfB Stuttgart

  • W4-11. FC Köln04 Sep
  • L1-5at FC Bayern München28 Aug
  • W4-0at F.C. Hansa Rostock21 Aug
  • L0-3at FC Bayern München23 May
  • D2-2at Eintracht Frankfurt16 May
  • W3-1Bayer 04 Leverkusen09 May

Viking FK

  • D1-1at Sandefjord Fotball04 Sep
  • W2-1Aalesunds FK30 Aug
  • W3-1GNK Dinamo Zagreb26 Aug
  • D2-2at GNK Dinamo Zagreb18 Aug
  • L1-2at Rosenborg BK14 Aug
  • W2-1Sarpsborg 0808 Aug

VfB StuttgartvViking FK
WLWLDW
Recent form
DWWDLW
2.05
Goals scored per game
2.35
1.75
Goals conceded per game
1.00
60%
Both teams scored
70%
90%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
70%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
60%
Over 3.5 goals
30%

VfB StuttgartvViking FK
16.8
Shots per game
14.6
6.7
Shots on target
5.65

VfB StuttgartvViking FK
1.64
Expected goals for
1.76
1.5
Expected goals against
1.05
57.75
Possession %
49.2

VfB StuttgartvViking FK
1.90
Home scored per game
3.33
0.90
Home conceded per game
1.11
2.20
Away scored per game
1.55
2.60
Away conceded per game
0.91

VfB StuttgartvViking FK
6.65
Corners per game
6.4
3.8
First half corners
3.55

VfB StuttgartvViking FK
10.4
Fouls per game
12.2
1.85
Own cards per game
2.3
3.55
Cards in match
4.6
0.85
First half cards
1.25

Stuttgart vs Viking Betting Tips

Over 3.5 Cards — 2/3. Stuttgart’s matches averaged 3.55 cards and Viking’s 4.60, for 4.07 between them, and Nenad Minakovic books 4.33 a game. About 61% against a fair 56% – level rather than value, and the likeliest outcome in that market.

Stuttgart to Win — 2/9. Not a bet at that price and not in our record, but the accumulator leg the fixture points at.

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Where the Odds and the Stats Disagree

SelectionOddsOur modelMarketEdgeTip
Over 3.5 Cards2/361%60%+1Tipped

Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.

Every market we priced on this tie, including the ones we are not backing.


Potential Bet Builder Legs

SelectionOddsOur modelMarketEdge
K. Askildsen 1+ Fouls Drawn2/7100%78%+22
R. Hendriks 1+ Fouls Drawn8/1383%62%+21
N. Kemp Fuglestad 1+ Shots1/6100%86%+14
P. Christiansen 1+ Shots1/7100%88%+13

Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.

These are not tips. Every row is priced too short to back on its own – at 1/4 or 2/5 you are risking a lot to win a little, and a 100% record across six matches is not a guarantee of a seventh. They are legs worth considering inside a bet builder, where several combine into a price worth taking. None of them is in our record, because we are not recommending them.

Four legs, all Viking players. Kristoffer Askildsen has been fouled in all 6 of his last 6 across 1,603 minutes, and Patrik Christiansen has had a shot in all 6 across 1,740. A side expected to defend for 90 minutes still gets fouled and still shoots.


VfB Stuttgart vs Viking FK Prediction

We are predicting 3-0 to Stuttgart. The market makes them 77.0%, the draw 14.5% and Viking 8.6%. Stuttgart score 2.09 goals a game at home; Viking concede 1.60 away.

We do not publish a match result view on this fixture. Our model reads corners, cards and shots well and results badly, and across this Champions League round it sits an average of 11 points from the market even after adjusting for league strength.


More Stuttgart vs Viking Tips and Predictions

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