PSV vs Shakhtar Donetsk Betting Tips, 12/1 Bet Builder and Predictions

Andy Clark

PSV vs Shakhtar Donetsk betting tips, bet builder legs and predictions from our stats model, weighing recent form, player props and the latest odds to find the best bets.

PSV take 7.20 corners a game, the highest of any side playing on Thursday. They are 65.5% on the market against a Shakhtar side at 14.6%.

Champions League - Last 20 Games

PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk Team Stats

17:45Ref Halil Umut Meler - 4.91 YC

PSV Eindhoven

  • W3-1at AFC Ajax05 Sep
  • W6-1at FC Utrecht30 Aug
  • W5-1FC Groningen23 Aug
  • W2-1at Excelsior15 Aug
  • D2-2Fortuna Sittard08 Aug
  • L0-4AZ Alkmaar02 Aug

Shakhtar Donetsk

  • W2-1at Karpaty Lviv05 Sep
  • L0-2Polissya Zhytomyr29 Aug
  • W1-0at Metalist 192516 Aug
  • W2-0at FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi09 Aug
  • W5-1Kudrivka03 Aug
  • W3-2at FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih17 May

PSV EindhovenvShakhtar Donetsk
WWWWDL
Recent form
WLWWWW
2.85
Goals scored per game
2.10
1.65
Goals conceded per game
1.05
90%
Both teams scored
60%
100%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
95%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
75%
Over 3.5 goals
40%

PSV EindhovenvShakhtar Donetsk
18.35
Shots per game
14.0
7.7
Shots on target
5.16

PSV EindhovenvShakhtar Donetsk
2.26
Expected goals for
1.58
1.39
Expected goals against
0.99
59.8
Possession %
63.16

PSV EindhovenvShakhtar Donetsk
3.22
Home scored per game
2.00
1.89
Home conceded per game
1.00
2.55
Away scored per game
2.18
1.45
Away conceded per game
1.09

PSV EindhovenvShakhtar Donetsk
7.2
Corners per game
4.89
3.4
First half corners
1.05

PSV EindhovenvShakhtar Donetsk
9.35
Fouls per game
8.21
1.6
Own cards per game
1.58
3.1
Cards in match
3.63
0.75
First half cards
0.47
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PSV vs Shakhtar Donetsk Betting Tips

Under 4.5 Cards — 8/11. PSV’s matches averaged 3.10 cards and Shakhtar Donetsk’s 3.63, for 3.37 between them. Halil Umut Meler books 4.91 a game, which lifts the fixture to 4.14.

R. Flamingo 1+ Shots — 10/11. Ryan Flamingo has had a shot in 4 of his last 6 for PSV, starting 5 of their 6 matches this season. Our figure of 67% compares with the 52% implied by 10/11.

Potential Bet Builder Legs Based on Our Stats Model

These are legs worth considering inside a bet builder, where several combine into a price worth taking. Every one is a market where our stats model gives the selection more chance of landing than the bookmaker’s odds imply.

Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin – so an edge of two or three points sits inside that margin rather than being a genuine disagreement.

The bet builder below is the one we have picked from these markets.

PSV vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction

We are predicting 3-1 to PSV. The market makes them 65.5%, the draw 19.9% and Shakhtar Donetsk 14.6%.

We do not publish a match result view on this fixture. Our model reads corners, cards and shots well and results badly, and across this competition it sits an average of 11 points from the market even after adjusting for league strength.

More PSV vs Shakhtar Donetsk Tips and Predictions

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