PSV vs Shakhtar Donetsk betting tips, bet builder legs and predictions from our stats model, weighing recent form, player props and the latest odds to find the best bets.
PSV take 7.20 corners a game, the highest of any side playing on Thursday. They are 65.5% on the market against a Shakhtar side at 14.6%.
PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk
PSV Eindhoven
- W3-1at AFC Ajax05 Sep
- W6-1at FC Utrecht30 Aug
- W5-1FC Groningen23 Aug
- W2-1at Excelsior15 Aug
- D2-2Fortuna Sittard08 Aug
- L0-4AZ Alkmaar02 Aug
Shakhtar Donetsk
- W2-1at Karpaty Lviv05 Sep
- L0-2Polissya Zhytomyr29 Aug
- W1-0at Metalist 192516 Aug
- W2-0at FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi09 Aug
- W5-1Kudrivka03 Aug
- W3-2at FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih17 May
PSV vs Shakhtar Donetsk Betting Tips
Under 4.5 Cards — 8/11. PSV’s matches averaged 3.10 cards and Shakhtar Donetsk’s 3.63, for 3.37 between them. Halil Umut Meler books 4.91 a game, which lifts the fixture to 4.14.
R. Flamingo 1+ Shots — 10/11. Ryan Flamingo has had a shot in 4 of his last 6 for PSV, starting 5 of their 6 matches this season. Our figure of 67% compares with the 52% implied by 10/11.
Where the Odds and the Stats Disagree
| Selection | Odds | Our model | Market | Edge | Tip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Flamingo 1+ Shots | 10/11 | 67% | 52% | +15 | Tipped |
| Under 4.5 Cards | 8/11 | 60% | 58% | +2 | Tipped |
| A. Santana Anytime Goalscorer | 5/1 | 31% | 17% | +14 | — |
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
Every market we priced at 4/6 or longer, including the ones we are not backing. A row without a tip is not a weaker suggestion – it is a market where our figure and the price agree, or where the price is better than ours. Shorter prices are in the bet builder legs below.
Potential Bet Builder Legs
| Selection | Odds | Our model | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Nazaryna 1+ Shots | 8/13 | 83% | 62% | +21 |
| P. Wanner 1+ Fouls Drawn | 2/7 | 83% | 78% | +5 |
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
These are not tips. Every row is priced too short to back on its own – at 1/4 or 2/5 you are risking a lot to win a little, and a 100% record across six matches is not a guarantee of a seventh. They are legs worth considering inside a bet builder, where several combine into a price worth taking. None of them is in our record, because we are not recommending them.
PSV vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction
We are predicting 3-1 to PSV. The market makes them 65.5%, the draw 19.9% and Shakhtar Donetsk 14.6%.
We do not publish a match result view on this fixture. Our model reads corners, cards and shots well and results badly, and across this competition it sits an average of 11 points from the market even after adjusting for league strength.
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18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware.org
Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.