Man Utd vs Sabah Betting Tips, 7/1 Bet Builder and Predictions

Andy Clark

Man Utd vs Sabah betting tips, bet builder legs and predictions from our stats model, weighing recent form, player props and the latest odds to find the best bets.

Two value bets and both are on the goals markets. Manchester United are 85.0% on the market and the two sides have seen 2.55 goals a game between them – one of the lowest pairings on Thursday’s card.

Champions League - Last 20 Games

Manchester United vs Sabah FK Team Stats

20:00Ref Willy Delajod - 3.99 YC

Manchester United

  • D2-2at Everton06 Sep
  • W5-2Ipswich Town30 Aug
  • L0-2at Hull City22 Aug
  • W3-2Nottingham Forest17 May
  • D0-0at Sunderland09 May
  • W3-2Liverpool03 May

Sabah FK

  • W3-2Hapoel Be’er Sheva25 Aug
  • L1-2at Hapoel Be’er Sheva19 Aug
  • W4-0AGF11 Aug
  • L1-2at AGF05 Aug
  • W2-0at KuPS28 Jul
  • W1-0KuPS21 Jul

Manchester UnitedvSabah FK
DWLWWD
Recent form
WLWLWW
2.00
Goals scored per game
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded per game
1.20
65%
Both teams scored
55%
85%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
65%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
40%
Over 3.5 goals
35%

Manchester UnitedvSabah FK
15.65
Shots per game
13.9
5.8
Shots on target
5.1

Manchester UnitedvSabah FK
1.68
Expected goals for
0.6
1.27
Expected goals against
0.45
51.25
Possession %
38.7

Manchester UnitedvSabah FK
2.60
Home scored per game
1.90
1.30
Home conceded per game
1.10
1.40
Away scored per game
1.50
1.10
Away conceded per game
1.30

Manchester UnitedvSabah FK
4.85
Corners per game
4.3
2.55
First half corners
1.1

Manchester UnitedvSabah FK
9.95
Fouls per game
12.0
1.85
Own cards per game
1.5
3.7
Cards in match
3.8
1.4
First half cards
0.5
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Man Utd vs Sabah Betting Tips

Under 3.5 Goals — 6/5. Manchester United and Sabah FK have seen 2.55 goals a game between them across their last 20. Fewer than four lands about 64% of the time against 45% raw and 43% once the margin is removed – the widest gap of this round.

Both Teams to Score — 19/20. Manchester United saw goals at both ends in 12 of their last 20 and Sabah FK in 12 of 20, for about 60% between them against a fair 48%.

Under 9.5 Corners — Evens. Manchester United take 4.85 corners a game and Sabah FK 4.30, for 9.15 between them against a line set at 9.5 – the lowest corner pairing of the round.

Potential Bet Builder Legs Based on Our Stats Model

These are legs worth considering inside a bet builder, where several combine into a price worth taking. Every one is a market where our stats model gives the selection more chance of landing than the bookmaker’s odds imply.

Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin – so an edge of two or three points sits inside that margin rather than being a genuine disagreement.

The bet builder below is the one we have picked from these markets.

Man Utd vs Sabah Prediction

We are predicting 2-0 to Manchester United. The market makes them 85.0%, the draw 10.5% and Sabah FK 4.5%.

We do not publish a match result view on this fixture. Our model reads corners, cards and shots well and results badly, and across this competition it sits an average of 11 points from the market even after adjusting for league strength.

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